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PLO50 HU 200bb deep 4bet pot AA+weak FD PLO50 HU 200bb deep 4bet pot AA+weak FD

12-23-2012 , 05:11 PM
fishy guy, he doesnt like to bluff, more on the passive side
he saw me 4bet AKQ2 (but i dont really know if he is smart enough to account it)
what do you think about my perception of his range:
AcAh5s4s 34.17% 203,412 3,170
9***,Ks*s**,As*s**,T8*s*s 65.83% 393,418 3,170

Hero (SB): $98.11 (196.2 bb)
BB: $140.53 (281.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A 5 4 A
Hero raises to $1.50, BB raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $13.50, BB calls $9

Flop: ($27) 7 9 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $15, BB raises to $72, Hero raises to $84.61 and is all-in, BB calls $12.61

Turn: ($196.22) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($196.22) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Spoiler:
Results: $196.22 pot ($0.50 rake)
Final Board: 7 9 9 J 2
Hero showed A 5 4 A and lost (-$98.11 net)
BB showed 4 3 9 5 and won $195.72 ($97.61 net)
[/hand_history][/converted_hand]

Last edited by GaKo; 12-23-2012 at 05:17 PM.
PLO50 HU 200bb deep 4bet pot AA+weak FD Quote
12-24-2012 , 06:02 AM
well, after you cbet and he shoves I think it's a pretty easy get it in spot. This is why imo:

* We got a low fd which helps alot against bare 9xxx
* We know for a fact that our opponents know we cbet more than AAxx in this spot and therefore he could have fold equity.
* This Cbet size makes him believe he got some fold equity (I assume).
* We don't have the As blocker.

There is alot of combohand draws like 8sTs that could make this move

Edit: saw that you had included 8sTs in your calcs, but there is alot mroe combodraws that would play equally
Edit2: Dont post results please
PLO50 HU 200bb deep 4bet pot AA+weak FD Quote
12-24-2012 , 11:16 AM
ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
5,435,780 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 979
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
AcAh4s5s44.06% 2,394,340942
(Ks*s,As*s, 9, T8:ss):15%!aa55.94% 3,040,498942

Think this is a better way to put in the range you're trying to give him as you've given him all combos of those hands, and he's not 3betting 100% of hands pre. I guessed 15%, but you'll know more. Also, when you put in T8*s*s, it specifies the suits aren't the T or 8, so a better way is T8:ss (T8, with two spades).
PLO50 HU 200bb deep 4bet pot AA+weak FD Quote

      
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