Quote:
Originally Posted by CompEng
It's pretty clear to villain that hero most likely has Khigh fl, and less often Qhigh fl. Roope doesn't have the Ks, and nobody decent tries to rep 23s trying to fold a range of ~[80%Ks*s, 20%Qs*s]. It's just massively -EV to do so.
Can he do this with AA? well that would be pretty stupid too I think, given that he's opening himself up to being 4bet-shoved on on the turn and having to fold a hand with equity.
So I don't think pairing river changes anything.
edit: I agree with urubu's comment that it's super rare for him to have 23s. But it's also super rare for him to be bluffing here, probably never.
After "what?" it is pretty clear he has K / Q highflush ? If i can bet 1:3th the pot, and 1:2 pot and if i get raised i can put opponent on nuts / second nuts on boards it is prehty hard to have powerfull raising hands , it would be pretty sweet.
Flop 1:3 forces him to float with ~any gutter ~any pair ~any 1x spade ~any feeling to do so
If i continue turn with my 1:3 flop bet range, which probably is prehty wide, how much of it would i be folding to a turn raise?
prehty much
well if villain is blufffing (what he can do as much as he wants, because we have so much crap it is not funny, and only thing we can do is call and check call river with our "LEGIT HANDS", or he can raise with flushes & PROTECT against pokketrokkets, which i ofc have like 50%++ cause i 3bet preflop)
We dont have the flushes or sets to call the raise that often. So we ~have to fold, unless we want to balance some sort of leading range otr with BLUFFS & flushes too / probably call the turn with wraps etc where we can still check call when hit, but i feel it is pretty ******ed / hard to not leaky leaky millions.
The turn re-raise," being repping 23s / nutflush" is meh, it is not poker, it is safe safe poker where we arent opening doors.
"Can he do this with AA? well that would be pretty stupid too I think, given that he's opening himself up to being 4bet-shoved on on the turn and having to fold a hand with equity. "
i am never folding after i 4bet turn, it is not funny (might be +EEVEE) to fold outs on spots where it is hard to have outs, and i have mostly crap.
Poker is all about to give your crap legit case to win pots with goodie cards protecting em