Results: $0.71 pot ($0.02 rake)
Final Board: 8 6 J 2 J
Hero mucked Q A 3 J and won $0.69 ($0.35 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$0.34 net)
At the moment I open from CO around 35% so this is ez open and call to 3bet ofc.
BTN call me. I dont have stats how he play. Only 12 hands and 75/0. In those 12 hands he saw 2 times SD and both he win.
Flop I play CBet because I can get calls from and hands like 97**, 9T**, TQ**. I think i should bet more then 4bb to 7,5bb pot. Around 5.5-6 should be fine.
Anyway turn = blank so ez 2nd barrel. Maybe my sizing also should be little higher.... still many many worse hands can call me.
River is good for me. Seems like all draws missed. And I dont know better in that situation is x/c or bet small like I do.
Seems like there is more missed draws then hands which can call me so maybe better I should give the opportunity to bluff.
I would bet flop and turn bigger just as you suggested. (these limits, people dont know their math, so closer to pot when hit, nor do they adjust...)
I think river is a bet because he can alot of times be thinking you are drawing, and call with aa/kk.
But in argue with that, aa/kk is such small part of their range here... So i think a check to induce bluff here is perfect because J may seem a super scary card when all draws miss..
I just think a general rule of thumb in bet or induce situations is wtsd and aggro stat.
If aggro, c/c here.
If wtsd high bet.
If wtsd and aggro low, you are better off c/cing or b/f small i guess
Seems like there is more missed draws then hands which can call me so maybe better I should give the opportunity to bluff.
this is correct logic,
the calling range to target is hardly any KK at all, some J which we dominate, possible QQ, there would be 2 betsizes, a small one for the KKQQ and a pot size after tank against the dominated J. But most of his range is neither of those, so checking should be more frequant,
pot turn unless he is very slow player
Quote:
closer to 3/4 of pot
this suggestion above is super bad imo, it's either pot or <1/3. you cannot balance bluffs imo with 3/4, if they was calling 3/4 they are calling more.