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PLO100: River bluff when FD hits PLO100: River bluff when FD hits

03-02-2010 , 01:48 PM
Villian is 28/15/1.4 over 316 hands. (same from previous post) Flop bet seems standard. Turn seems like a reasonable spot to peal given my FH and flush out along with my straight, though unlikely to be good. One other factor for my calling the turn was I though I could bluff the club draw when it hit on the river; however, I think I am mistaken in believing this. When villian pealed on the flop, I put him on something like

J8xx, AcQxcx,AcKxcx,AcJxcx,AcAxcx, QQxx,TTxx,99xx,QhJThx,

When he bet the turn, I think he no longer has any sets, two pairs, or lower straights. Therefore, his range (albeit this is pretty tight), seems like

AcQxcx,AcKxcx,AcJxcx,AcAxcx

I realize I'm missing a lot of hands, but I think this illustrates that a lot of his range is club draws w/gut shot or OESD that make it to the river so I think I should have c/f. Do you agree with this analysis?

Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $768.90
SB: $86.00
BB: $95.50
UTG: $113.35
Hero (MP): $103.65
CO: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP with 8 6 J T
1 fold, Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $3.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($8.50) T 9 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $8, CO calls $8

Turn: ($24.50) J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $22, Hero calls $22

River: ($68.50) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $68.50
PLO100: River bluff when FD hits Quote
03-02-2010 , 04:44 PM
Your range for him is way too narrow imo. I think a lot of times he has bare JK on the flop looking for a safe turn, or a QTK hand. Still, I think you're right he has a lot of clubs in his range, so I don't really like your line. Also if you don't think he has sets or two pair in his range when he bets turn (I think they very well might be) then yeah, turn is probably a c/f, though I probably still c/c and c/f rivers that don't improve me.
PLO100: River bluff when FD hits Quote
03-02-2010 , 04:51 PM
pre and flop are good. c/f turn. he could well have nuts+fd or nfd+set. if the board pairs, you dont know if youre good, if the flush hits you dont know if it hit him.
PLO100: River bluff when FD hits Quote

      
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