Non-nut FD IP
06-05-2014
, 02:59 PM
I'm short stacking 5/5 PLO w $300. Dealt A
7
65 in CO.
3 limpers, I make it 25, blind and limpers call.
$130
flop Q
62
It's checked to me. I bet $50 to fold a queen, but still to be able to get away if I get check-raised. I won't automatically fold but I will consider it, based on who raised, how much, etc.
====================
This got me thinking about how much to bet non-nut flush draws in general. I'm probably not getting rid of the nut flush draw, but I can fold other higher flush draws, which would be great.
This may be a bad example because it is short-stacked, but if stacks were $500 is this an automatic pot bet/ fold to a check-raise?
765 in CO.3 limpers, I make it 25, blind and limpers call.
$130
flop Q
62It's checked to me. I bet $50 to fold a queen, but still to be able to get away if I get check-raised. I won't automatically fold but I will consider it, based on who raised, how much, etc.
====================
This got me thinking about how much to bet non-nut flush draws in general. I'm probably not getting rid of the nut flush draw, but I can fold other higher flush draws, which would be great.
This may be a bad example because it is short-stacked, but if stacks were $500 is this an automatic pot bet/ fold to a check-raise?
06-05-2014
, 05:36 PM
I´m not a short stacker, but betting/getting it in with non nut draws seems like a bad idea given how lightly people will stack off vs you.
You´re a massive dog vs the entire range of flush draws plus two random cards
People can stack off vs you with Jack high spades, no pair, and be a 60 % favourite
I check behind
You´re a massive dog vs the entire range of flush draws plus two random cards
| ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation |
| 5,874,480 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: Q 6 2 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ac 6c 7s 5s | 34.78% | 2,018,241 | 49,477 |
| ssxx | 65.22% | 3,806,762 | 49,477 |
People can stack off vs you with Jack high spades, no pair, and be a 60 % favourite
| ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation |
| 820 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: Q 6 2 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ac 6c 7s 5s | 39.39% | 323 | 0 |
| Js Ts 9d 8d | 60.61% | 497 | 0 |
I check behind
