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Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Miss draw - Good spot to bluff?

04-13-2011 , 01:34 PM
Opponent had been at the table less than 10 hands can assume they are reg but thats it

Is this a good spot to keep betting?

Thanks

Poker Stars $10.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (MP): $11.27
CO: $5.04
BTN: $5.22
SB: $10.24
BB: $10.93
UTG: $4.79

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with Q 5 A 3
UTG calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, SB calls $0.05, BB checks

Flop: ($0.40) 2 7 5 (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $0.30, UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.10, SB folds, BB calls $0.80

Turn: ($2.60) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.30, BB calls $2.30

River: ($7.20) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6.85
Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Quote
04-13-2011 , 01:37 PM
i suspect you get called super light in these spots, at least it happens to me very often 3barreling a board where all the draws missed.
i would give up river, or at least bet smaller if you have to bluff. $6.85 doesn't really look like a value bet.
Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Quote
04-13-2011 , 01:46 PM
I agree with napsus. I expect you get called here fairly light, and fairly often, but cant say with any strong certainty since we dont really have much of a read on the villain. That doesnt mean I dont think you shouldnt bet though. At this point I think we built up enough of a pot that I think is worth fighting for, and that in a lot of instances we stand a good chance to win. Once we decide to bet the turn I think we pretty much have follow that line to its bitter end. Most often I think two barreling is a waste unless we are willing to pull the trigger on the third when nothing much has changed.

I also agree with napsus that the bet looks more like of a "I hope he folds" type bet. I would tone it down a bit and expect to pick it up often enough.
Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Quote
04-13-2011 , 01:46 PM
what super light calling hands do they have?
Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Quote
04-13-2011 , 01:51 PM
^ pick any random two pair you like.
Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Quote
04-13-2011 , 01:52 PM
Half pot is fine on the river. If your opponent is solid and perceives you as the type of player who pots the whole way through with a set, you may want to try a fullpot line, but I'd rather just mix this in with the other halfpot value bets.

Fairly light calling hand is maybe a junk 2p (like a busted K543 or pair+mid hearts draw that spiked the king). A weird near-pot bet may make them look you up.
Miss draw - Good spot to bluff? Quote

      
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