Is he repping top set exclusively? - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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Is he repping top set exclusively?

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10-23-2015 , 11:38 AM

eSBe

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 189

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players -

Hero (BTN): $22.18
SB: $10.10
BB: $10.56
UTG: $15.18 is 33/20 after 78 hands. seems to be agro- has ~15% 3b
MP: $6.50
CO: $4.54

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 4

UTG raises to $0.35, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.35, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.85) J

(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.43, UTG calls $0.43

Turn: ($1.71) A

(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1, UTG raises to $4.64, Hero folds- xb turn to avoid xr is not an option, right? I suppose that b/f turn with second nuts is nitty but from my experience they always have it.

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10-23-2015 , 12:43 PM

F_Ivanovic

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 4,659

Bet more on flop. Obviously don't check turn. Given villain seems to be aggro I don't want to b/f turn. We have position so lets see if he's willing to fire river again and make a decision then.

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10-23-2015 , 12:49 PM

thesublimeobject

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 152

This board is pretty dry, but I don't see how we can b/f here.

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10-23-2015 , 11:37 PM

SolarAU

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 1,795

Obv. Only AA we are worried about, which is in UTG's preflop range for sure, but is AAxx x/c flop super often? Maybe only if villain is a passive nit.

Use bigger sizing on flop, call turn.

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10-24-2015 , 02:10 AM

Mindead

adept

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,030

Quote:

Originally Posted by F_Ivanovic

Bet more on flop. Obviously don't check turn. Given villain seems to be aggro I don't want to b/f turn. We have position so lets see if he's willing to fire river again and make a decision then.

Are we folding on a brick river if he fires again? If not, I don't see the point on calling the turn of instead shoving to protect our hand against draws (We can't save any part of our stack if he decides to shove pot size on a river brick neither)

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10-24-2015 , 02:24 AM

Rei Ayanami

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 11,685

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mindead

It's more nuanced than that: They can end up checking on rivers that are significant texture-shifters, and they can bluff said draws on brick rivers.

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10-24-2015 , 02:55 AM

mumpfmampf

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 1,553

Come on. For one, you´re up against a laggy type, not some 14/10 nit. What´s more, there´s so many draws on the board that you can barely count them (ANY card that doesn´t pair the board and isn´t a deuce will make a straight on the river). There´s no way I´m folding now.

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10-24-2015 , 03:15 AM

Mindead

adept

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,030

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rei Ayanami

It's more nuanced than that: They can end up checking on rivers that are significant texture-shifters, and they can bluff said draws on brick rivers.

I got it

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10-25-2015 , 02:09 PM

NMcNasty

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2004 Posts: 3,990

I am actually OK with folding this turn against nits. Check/calling a lower set or some draw with the intention of checkraising turn just isn't a play a lot of players make, neither is trying to get it in deepish with just AJ.

Apparently your opponent isn't a nit though, so I think you have to call/call. I'm still not confidant at all in that though. Even without a nit read I think its pretty rare you're seeing a player make a play or value-raise worse here.

Getting to showdown gets you info, is better for your image, and gives you some peace of mind though, and of course it is optimal.

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10-25-2015 , 02:16 PM

#10

OmahaFanatical4

banned

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 5,123

why can't he have aces up? he has no way of knowing you flopped top set. you could have virtually anything with this action

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