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01-21-2026 , 04:16 AM
#1
OmahaDonk
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5-10-20 (5) PLO on WPT. Villain is 48/25 and seems unpredictable. Not a thinking player. 1000 eff.

Hero in HJ with AAKQss no hearts

Pre: V opens LJ to 115, hero 3b to 400, V calls

Flop (855) : K63hhh
V jams 600
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01-21-2026 , 04:24 PM
#2
Echemondo
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Fold idk why we need analysis here
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01-22-2026 , 11:34 AM
#3
Javanewt
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Agree this is just a sigh-fold. Terrible flop.
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01-22-2026 , 09:32 PM
#4
Your Mom
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I don't think it's that simple and there are plenty of worse hands in villain's range.
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01-23-2026 , 02:58 AM
#5
Your Mom
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just for example, this hand was played at 1/2/4, but I would argue the 5/10/25 game tends to be even crazier generally speaking on ClubWPTGold.

Anyway, I 4 bet out of the straddle to like 380 with aces and the 3 bettor calls. The flop is 789 rainbow. The 3 bettor shoves for 600 more. I call. The 3 bettor shows KT43 and I (amazingly) hold.
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01-23-2026 , 05:12 AM
#6
BullyEyelash
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I guess V could have AhKJTr
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01-23-2026 , 08:47 AM
#7
OmahaDonk
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullyEyelash
I guess V could have AhKJTr
What about 8765? KJT9?

Why would he shove a set or flush?
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01-23-2026 , 09:45 AM
#8
Javanewt
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It's less than a pot size bet -- would look even stranger/stronger to bet 1/3 or 1/2 his stack. Obviously he could be full of it, but I'm not going to find out.
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01-23-2026 , 11:25 AM
#9
BullyEyelash
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OmahaDonk
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullyEyelash
I guess V could have AhKJTr
What about 8765 KJT9

Why would he shove a set or flush
Well, he's not a thinking player He shoves with a flush because it's the best hand. He shoves with a set (or any 2p) because it beats AA, and if you have a flush he can still make a boat. He shoves with Ah-garbage because you might fold. He shoves because it's the easiest thing to do, and it feels better in.

You're over 3-1 v KJT9 and a tiny dog v 8765, so if his range is that wide, call getting 2.425-1.

I guess we need a solver. His range is any flush, set, 2p, straight draw (eg J765), or any other Kxxx. We can assume he would've 4bet AI with the other two aces pf.
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01-24-2026 , 02:31 AM
#10
Echemondo
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It doesn't matter what his hand is, it matters how ours is doing vs his range. We are either way behind here or flipping. There's no scenario we are way ahead.

These aren't the spots to gamble vs a maniac. Especially when we can't top up to cover in a capped game
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01-25-2026 , 12:42 AM
#11
Your Mom
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We are getting a really good price. Your logic is off.
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01-25-2026 , 12:43 AM
#12
Your Mom
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BullyEyelash
I guess V could have AhKJTr

He could have 8642
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01-25-2026 , 12:58 AM
#13
BullyEyelash
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Your Mom
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullyEyelash
I guess V could have AhKJTr

He could have 8642
He could indeed.
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01-25-2026 , 01:36 AM
#14
OmahaDonk
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Echemondo
It doesn't matter what his hand is, it matters how ours is doing vs his range. We are either way behind here or flipping. There's no scenario we are way ahead.

These aren't the spots to gamble vs a maniac. Especially when we can't top up to cover in a capped game
If we are flipping it’s a huge print.
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01-25-2026 , 01:40 AM
#15
BullyEyelash
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Echemondo
It doesn't matter what his hand is, it matters how ours is doing vs his range. We are either way behind here or flipping. There's no scenario we are way ahead.

These aren't the spots to gamble vs a maniac. Especially when we can't top up to cover in a capped game
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullyEyelash
Quote:
Originally Posted by OmahaDonk
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullyEyelash
I guess V could have AhKJTr
What about 8765 KJT9

Why would he shove a set or flush
Well, he's not a thinking player He shoves with a flush because it's the best hand. He shoves with a set (or any 2p) because it beats AA, and if you have a flush he can still make a boat. He shoves with Ah-garbage because you might fold. He shoves because it's the easiest thing to do, and it feels better in.

You're over 3-1 v KJT9 and a tiny dog v 8765, so if his range is that wide, call getting 2.425-1.

I guess we need a solver. His range is any flush, set, 2p, straight draw (eg J765), or any other Kxxx. We can assume he would've 4bet AI with the other two aces pf.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Your Mom
We are getting a really good price. Your logic is off.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Echemondo
It doesn't matter what his hand is, it matters how ours is doing vs his range. We are either way behind here or flipping. There's no scenario we are way ahead.

These aren't the spots to gamble vs a maniac. Especially when we can't top up to cover in a capped game
Let's get a solver going My range estimate fir V seems accurate based on OP's posts.
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