Villain seems like a bad reg, 34/18, calling 35% preflop, folding to flop cbets 64% (6/11), raising 9% (1/11), only cbet flop 36% (4/11).

Le Popup (200 hands):


Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($12.82)
BB ($26.10)
UTG ($41.23)
Hero ($28.66)
CO ($30.83)
BTN ($41.87)

Dealt to Hero A T 2 Q

UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.10, CO calls $1.10, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.85

FLOP ($3.65) J 8 7

UTG checks, Hero bets $2.40, CO calls $2.40, UTG folds

TURN ($8.45) J 8 7 3

Hero checks, CO bets $6, Hero calls $6

RIVER ($20.45) J 8 7 3 8

Hero checks, CO bets $14.75, Hero folds

CO wins $19.53


I thought villain had a lot of hands in his range that could shove turn, i.e. 2pair, sets, straights, and that he would jam more often than just call.

That said, I think I have at least 35% equity vs villains betting range on the turn, and I get to realize all of that equity by check-calling, i.e. when I improve on the river, villain will rarely bluff me off the best hand.

Thoughts?