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100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. 100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise.

07-30-2014 , 12:54 PM
No hand converter but will try and make it readable. No stats either.

I was BTN, villain was MP in 5 handed game. Pre-flop he opens to 4.5BB (CO had posted BB) and I raised to 15BB with A J T 4

Flop (32.5BB): 3 4 7 Check, check.

Turn (32.5BB): 2 Check, I bet 21BB's, villain calls.

River (74.5BB): 9 Check, I bet 42BB's, villain shoves. We started hand 189BB effective so it was 111BB to call.

Pre-flop is standard especially against this villain who was playing very loose. Flop not so much. Pair and a FD with this SPR is good enough to B/GII but for some reason I checked. Turn I decided to bet thinking if he hasn't bet now he can't be that strong. Could maybe rep spades and if a club comes he probably doesn't expect me to have that. I could check back too though cause getting raised OTT sucks.

River I bet for value and villain shoves. I think he'd just lead a flush here so the check/raise surprised me. I also think he might have lead turn or flop with a club flush draw. It didn't make a lot of sense to me but I didn't have an awful lot of reads on villain other than he was playing quite loose and aggressive and that he was probably capable of bluffing.
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote
07-31-2014 , 05:03 AM
Call.
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote
07-31-2014 , 07:05 AM
It would be a very weird line with the nut flush.
I think it makes sense with a K flush.
And it makes alot of sense with the Ac blocker even though it's a poor bluff.


This is against a range of Ac blocker, nut flush and K flush
ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
15,595 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 34729
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
JcTcAd4d41.97% 6,5450
Ac,Kc:cc58.03% 9,0500

This is only against bare Ac and K high flush.

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
11,480 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 34729
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
JcTcAd4d57.01% 6,5450
Ac!cc,Kc:cc42.99% 4,9350

Clear call on both cases.

Last edited by guimz; 07-31-2014 at 07:14 AM.
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote
07-31-2014 , 10:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by F_Ivanovic
It didn't make a lot of sense to me but I didn't have an awful lot of reads on villain other than he was playing quite loose and aggressive and that he was probably capable of bluffing.
If this isn't the read that makes you call I don't know what you're looking for.

But I think normally I'm folding here. Normal players don't bluff in this spot very often and are almost never value shoving worse.
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote
08-02-2014 , 05:06 AM
to weird a line with blocker, i fold
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote
08-02-2014 , 02:02 PM
Given Villain's line I would call. What did he have?
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote
08-03-2014 , 12:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DogdayCicada
Given Villain's line I would call. What did he have?
Results were I called and he turned up with some random garbage - think it was 8854 (didn't have any of the FD's)
100NL 3rd nut flush facing river raise. Quote

      
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