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00 3bet pot- bluff river or not? 00 3bet pot- bluff river or not?

02-21-2014 , 03:17 PM
Hey,

Villain is the same reg like in the AQ85 hand i posted a minute ago.

Given the 1k sample he seem not to 4bet light (1%) and fold to cbets 40ish and raise like 15% so pretty standard i think. Turn and river is no sample.

I think flop is a clear bet by any means – i canīt think about any argument for not betting without further reads on villain (say he auto stabsflop etc.).

Given i have Qhi i want to bet turn tho any reasonable bet commits me vs a jam. This card deosnīt change much and doesnīt improve my range very much at all if ever (compared to his its bad card) but i think its still a bet with this hand (the part of my range that was ahead on flop should be ahead on turn too and i donīt have tons of rundowns at all (combinatorics!). That said i could pot turn to maximise FE but that means i need to split my range and use 2 betsizes. I am not sure if i want to do that (because this is the the only draw w/o Sshowdown value i can think of and because i will have a B/f range here (dry QQ+) and my other draws should have some SDV).

Potting in generell should be an exception with my range i think on that turn cause it doesnīt really improve my range (but might be best vaccum play).

Anyway i decided to bet for the reason stated above.

River is really bad for my range and my value jamming range is really narrow and i can imagine be this is a river i should check with my whole range (besides some few 86 and A3 but i guess we bet most qq+ on turn!)

At the same time i am at the bottom of my range so i feel i should bluff but this river sucks so much that „bottom of my range“ isnīt an argument anymore?

What you guess think?


€3/€6 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
2 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
SB (€721.40) 120bb
hero (BB) (€1,402.36) 234bb

Pre-Flop: (€9, 2 players) hero is BB J Q 9 8
SB raises to €18, hero raises to €54, SB calls €36

Flop: 10 2 7 (€99, 2 players)
hero bets €66, SB calls €66

Turn: 5 (€231, 2 players)
hero bets €162, SB calls €162

River: 4 (€555, 2 players)
hero argggggg....

Cheers!
00 3bet pot- bluff river or not? Quote
02-21-2014 , 03:50 PM
I'm trying to find something that folds to a river bet here, not much of anything. T98x that doesn't jam the flop? I think its fine here to not have a bluffing range when his folding range is so tiny. Think of this hand as balancing your c/f'ing range
00 3bet pot- bluff river or not? Quote
02-21-2014 , 05:20 PM
He'll be getting more than 4-1 to call so you'll be getting called pretty light. That said, your bluff only has to work less than 20% of the time to work and he hasn't given us reason to believe he is very strong here. I'd probably fire the rest in there and hope for the fold
00 3bet pot- bluff river or not? Quote
02-21-2014 , 05:25 PM
I would've considered check jamming flop. As is, I would either bet really small or just cf on river.
00 3bet pot- bluff river or not? Quote

      
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