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Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen?

04-11-2020 , 09:39 PM


2P24L
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-11-2020 , 09:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by THAY3R
Bat to Pangolin to Uyghur to Human
Not sure if this is another consthayeracy theory or a racist joke
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 01:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cs3
Prediction:
If MLB declares they can resume before July, several high profile players will speak out and refuse to play.
I’ve kinda written off MLB, but I doubt it will be because of the players. It just seems like a complete logistical nightmare in every way.

There is an absolute zero percent chance football won’t be played though, no matter what the situation. SEC Country...football first, public health and safety a distant third or fourth after god and more football. The governors down there already want to open up.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 08:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 27offsuit
I saw that, for others he basically said let anything that is going to fail fail. If a boeing or a delta fails, it doesn't mean they fire all the employees. The employees actually get more equity in bankruptcy. The only people that lose are the speculators and **** those guys.
Things that should happen, but won't
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 11:15 AM
Obama bailed everyone out. Trump could oops into a good decision out of pettiness.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 11:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by muttiah
Lol none of this will happen.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 27offsuit
Good talk.
We've already made Summer fully online (with a few potential exceptions, which probably don't end up being exceptions) and have prepared to do the same for Fall. There's definitely a chance students are not allowed back to colleges en masse in Fall 2020.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 02:05 PM
Predicting at some point Dow down to 19350 due to missile strikes.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 07:08 PM
I expect this to have approximately the same effect as the 1918 pandemic did, as far as l long-term social behavior is concerned in the US.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-12-2020 , 07:26 PM
Prediction: More people over the age of 100 will have died of COVID-19 in the US by June 2020 than people under the age of 30.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 11:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
I expect this to have approximately the same effect as the 1918 pandemic did, as far as l long-term social behavior is concerned in the US.
You mean close to none?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 01:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
if you are 40, smoke and 50 pounds over weight you have already told the world you dont care if you live or die, so why should anyone worry about your health or welfare.

and drink a 30 pack every day or two.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 01:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JAAASH3
Prediction: More people over the age of 100 will have died of COVID-19 in the US by June 2020 than people under the age of 30.

Not sure which one is winning or losing here whichever way you look at it but I have been hearing more and more stories of peeps under 30 dying.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 01:45 PM
there is always a group that thinks "it cant happen to me"
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 02:25 PM
It could happen to me but that'd be a bad beat.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 02:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
there is always a group that thinks "it cant happen to me"

I'm glad I'm not in the "it can't happen to me" group. Been pretty much under locked in my house for over 3 weeks now but I'll be the first to admit if you asked me before this happened if I would of been able to do this. I would of said no way would I be able to shelter in place. I also wouldn't have predicted that I would end up having zero drinks while sheltering in place as it's just something that happened I guess because I have never drank at home.


I look at it as not being scared, trying not to be stupid.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 02:43 PM
Death rate of this seems higher the more data we get. Current global rate over 6%. US rate about 4%. US number is without any serious shortages of beds or ventilators.

I know there are likely a lot of undiagnosed moderate cases out there, so getting a true mortality rate is difficult... but at the very least it appears more deadly than some of the earlier data suggested.

There is also a COVID survivor FB page for people to see about donating blood for treatment etc... most of the stories posted on there (many from those never hospitalized) show very severe illness that lingered for 21 days or more. I feel like the story that this was a moderate/mild illness for most was oversold. I guess it depends on how you define moderate. Many of these people are just now able to take short walks, a month or more later.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 04:42 PM
I was prepared to mock the hell out of the more over 100 than under 30 prediction, but then I googled the number of people over 100 in the US, and had to rethink my position
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 08:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by plaaynde
You mean close to none?
Yes
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 10:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OodaThunkett
I predict that long before any vaccine gets approval for mass use there will be a home-testing kit and spot checks with large penalties for anybody who can't prove they tested negative before they left home.

selling on this for usa ... govt. can't get organized enough for any such thing, can't even plan it let alone execute it
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 10:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
Death rate of this seems higher the more data we get. Current global rate over 6%. US rate about 4%. US number is without any serious shortages of beds or ventilators.

I know there are likely a lot of undiagnosed moderate cases out there, so getting a true mortality rate is difficult... but at the very least it appears more deadly than some of the earlier data suggested.

There is also a COVID survivor FB page for people to see about donating blood for treatment etc... most of the stories posted on there (many from those never hospitalized) show very severe illness that lingered for 21 days or more. I feel like the story that this was a moderate/mild illness for most was oversold. I guess it depends on how you define moderate. Many of these people are just now able to take short walks, a month or more later.
Say what? The opposite is true, the only data worth looking at for FR is S Korea and Germany since they are the only ones with their testing **** together. FR in Germany is .3 % right now and I think S Korea last I saw was .8-.9 region. These are the only places with any significant testing of patients with little to no symptoms I believe, the rest of the countries numbers are virtually meaningless for FR since they have massive severity bias.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-13-2020 , 11:21 PM
What an enemy? A tiny virus threatens to take down a "super power." How many times bigger is, say, Russia than a coronavirus?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-14-2020 , 12:47 AM
I think nursing homes are going to end up being really bad. From the ruralist of rural to the highest of high-end, they all use the cheapest labor possible. When those employees need to go to work to get paid, it will be a deadly combination. Just too many people coming and going.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-14-2020 , 07:16 AM
You may be right. Heard there were 5 deaths at a local home yesterday, found out this morning one was my great aunt.

She was in bad shape as of late with dementia, etc but COD will most likely be attributed to covid LDO.

Last edited by RichGangi; 04-14-2020 at 07:26 AM.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-14-2020 , 11:45 AM
Sorry for your loss.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
04-14-2020 , 02:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 27offsuit
I think nursing homes are going to end up being really bad. From the ruralist of rural to the highest of high-end, they all use the cheapest labor possible. When those employees need to go to work to get paid, it will be a deadly combination. Just too many people coming and going.
yea i thought about this earlier. min-wage workers who probably hate life, cant risk missing their job. they will come to work sick, probably ill prepared to deal with the virus. probably no anti viral supplies to deter from spreading it too.

the companies spend as little money as possible to extract as much as possible from these olds.

nursing homes are basically death traps at this point.


In canada its estimated that over +50% of deaths from covid so far are directly from nursing homes.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote

      
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