Quote:
Originally Posted by FatTony-
Well that explains everything about you.
Tabloid journo with no experience covering murder trials = credible
25 year FBI agent = not credible.
On the face of it, that indeed seems silly. But reality is a little more difficult, and a problem I have with Knox supporters is that they seem to not understand the (very slightly more) difficult philosophical underpinnings of reality that turn the superficial on its head.
Let me ask you a question. Who is less credible:
- A senior journalist for a Newsweek sent to cover to trial because of her job
- A self-selected former FBI agent out of tens of thousands of former FBI agents.
There is only one correct answer, and I'll answer for you: the self-selected FBI agent is less credible. Because he is self selected. The reality is that a percentage of experts in every single field get emotionally or intellectually or self-interestedly attached to a non mainstream or indefensible or even outright kooky position. It's called being human. Thus, the expertise of people selected by such selection bias is totally worthless.
This is the same reason why defense experts selected from a wide pool have no credibility except where they testify against self interest. Selection bias is a bitch and the range of opinions among well credentialed people covers nearly the entire range of possibilities. You can find even Nobel laureates in their respective fields advocating everything from
Vitamin C curing the flu/cancer (which is lol), to perpetual motion machines (which is crazy).
Quote:
Lets have a little reality check here. You come from a forum where the moderator thinks he's Jesus. Do u read his blog?
Tjmk is run by a pervert with an unhealthy interest in a dead girl he never knew.
There is no one who can make a case for guilt without sounding bat**** crazy. I've just watched the latest round of guilter theories on pmf and not much has changed. Same **** different day
There's the old favourate "rape prank", rudy the gimp, rudy the standover man, rudy the dupe, rudy the patsy, rudy the fall guy who was paid off to stay silent..... On and on it goes.
You seems angry and emotionally invested in this, although I liked the swipe at Dids (or perhaps Sklansky has finally gone bat****, and i missed it?).
But the theories don't really matter. For you to find Knox guilt "bat**** insane", you have to agree with one of the following statements:
1. It's improbable that four people who know each other, two of them flatmates and one a boyfriend, would end up in the same house on the same night.
2. It's unlikely that a confrontation would happen among these people, or an accident, or sexual misadventures, or a teaching of a lesson, or a prank gone wrong, or drug induced violence.
3. It's impossible that any of the things in step 2 could escalate to the point of murder
4. It's highly improbable that this would be covered up and three parties to the crime would all keep their mouths (partly) shut, never making a full confession.
I'd be interested in which statement(s) you agree with. You have to agree with at least two to make your "bat**** insane" case IMO.
As for the evidence, Sniper/Helicopter Pilot/Terrorist Hunter man's position seems to come down to this proposition:
It's highly improbable that, after a cleanup, there'd be no DNA (except for a bra clasp with Sollecito's DNA on it) or handprints or fingerprints of Knox and Sollecito found by forensics among the samples taken in the murder room.
Do you agree with this proposition?
Last edited by Truthsayer; 01-17-2013 at 07:28 AM.