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02-13-2010 , 11:24 PM
I always seem to have a deal going where I start to win 2 sessions, and give back the money in the following 2 sessions.

The stats indicate I am play steady, and show the same numbers between the sessions.

I can't think of any reason why this is happening, as I haven't had any tilting issues during the losing sessions.

Another thing, I am running at -0.5bb/100, over 48k hands, which I can't understand why I am not getting winning rates, as I am playing regular TAG rates. I have posted my info in the stats section and haven't gotten too many advice, other then to stop paying off on the river which I have done.

Just can't seem to find momentum to move up. Thanks for any help.
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02-14-2010 , 05:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawaiiloans
I always seem to have a deal going where I start to win 2 sessions, and give back the money in the following 2 sessions.

The stats indicate I am play steady, and show the same numbers between the sessions.

I can't think of any reason why this is happening, as I haven't had any tilting issues during the losing sessions.

Another thing, I am running at -0.5bb/100, over 48k hands, which I can't understand why I am not getting winning rates, as I am playing regular TAG rates. I have posted my info in the stats section and haven't gotten too many advice, other then to stop paying off on the river which I have done.

Just can't seem to find momentum to move up. Thanks for any help.
Maybe just a breakeven streak? even the best players have those and they can last up to 300k hands
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02-14-2010 , 06:39 AM
Human intuition about conditional probability is often very poor and can give rise to some seemingly surprising observations. For example, if the successive tosses of a coin are recorded as a string of "H" and "T", then for any trial of tosses, it is twice as likely that the triplet TTH will occur before THT than after it. It is three times as likely that THH will precede HHT.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Penney's_game
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02-14-2010 , 06:53 AM
Post hands you're not sure about.

Also, how many tables are you playing?
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02-14-2010 , 06:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dan233
Maybe just a breakeven streak? even the best players have those and they can last up to 300k hands
Yeah that's what Im guessing, but even at micro stakes? I play very straightforward TAG, but I can't seem to put out a profit.

Quote:
Post hands you're not sure about.

Also, how many tables are you playing?
I've been very active in the micro stakes forums, and have been applying the results I have received.

I am getting a HEM review from a coach so maybe that will help out. I've been reading the strategy posts and my stats are not too different from the winning TAGs. Of course I am not saying I am the best poker player but I am out of options as to what's going on.

I currently play 6 tables, most of it is 4 tables however.

Here is my graph.


Last edited by hawaiiloans; 02-14-2010 at 06:38 PM.
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02-14-2010 , 06:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zmaniac17
Human intuition about conditional probability is often very poor and can give rise to some seemingly surprising observations. For example, if the successive tosses of a coin are recorded as a string of "H" and "T", then for any trial of tosses, it is twice as likely that the triplet TTH will occur before THT than after it. It is three times as likely that THH will precede HHT.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Penney's_game
What does this have to do with breakeven stretches?
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02-14-2010 , 07:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawaiiloans
What does this have to do with breakeven stretches?
Just that as you play more hands it becomes increasingly less likely that its variance and more likely that its you.

Suggestions to try raise your red line.

- 3 Bet slightly more when you flop a very strong hand that may not have great showdown value.

- Never get out of line without an extremely good hand.

- Squeeze from late position.

- Play a slightly wider range of hands from the button/co if your c bets are being folded to often and you're not getting check raised. If you're getting check raised a bunch pick a new table.

- Get a seat to the left of a high vpip fish with a high fold to flop bet/turn bet.

- Take a look at your bet sizing. Make sure its correct. People won't fold if it isn't.

- Check raise your strong hands against people who c bet to often.

Last edited by zmaniac17; 02-14-2010 at 07:28 PM.
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