Hi Forums,
I've taken it upon myself to do my own little bankroll challenge. My goal is to run $100 up to $5k to build a bankroll enough to play 100NL with the goal of eventually being a 200NL regular. I have played quite a bit of live poker and MTTs online and have dipped in cash games but never too it that seriously.
I deposited $100 and started at 2NL where I'd like to say I crushed the game.
Eventually, I moved up to 5NL where I ran quite bad, however, after a bit of a sunrun I built up a bit (after some rakeback as well) to take a shot at 10NL.
At 10NL I think it went about as bad as it possibly could have gone. I'm -EV in my all ins and down 4.5BI over 2300 hands. It's a small sample, however, the question becomes, am I losing at this stake, or did I run into it bad where my -EV isn't truly -EV against ranges, just against specific circumstances when I got it in? I'll detail a few hands below.
1.) Run KK into AA pre - standard.
2.) I feel like this was significantly unlucky.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (UTG): 135.9 BB
MP: 101.5 BB
CO: 119.2 BB
BTN: 115.1 BB
SB: 107.7 BB
BB: 64.7 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB,
BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q

Q
Hero raises to 2 BB,
fold,
fold,
fold, SB calls 1.5 BB,
BB calls 1 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 3 players) 9

4

5
SB checks,
BB bets 2 BB,
Hero raises to 7 BB,
fold,
BB calls 5 BB
Turn: (20 BB, 2 players) Q
BB checks,
Hero bets 12 BB,
BB calls 12 BB
River: (44 BB, 2 players) K
BB bets 20.9 BB,
Hero raises to 92 BB,
BB calls 22.8 BB and is all-in
Hero shows Q

Q

(Three of a Kind, Queens)
(Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 95%)
BB shows K

K

(Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 5%)
BB wins 124.8 BB
3.) I'm not 100% sure on this one - I maybe over valued bottom set and I likely should have raised earlier in the hand.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 122.4 BB
MP: 128.8 BB
CO: 120.3 BB
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 210.9 BB
BB: 211.7 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2

2
fold,
fold,
CO raises to 3 BB,
Hero calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB,
fold
Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) A

Q

2
SB checks,
CO bets 3.1 BB,
Hero calls 3.1 BB,
fold
Turn: (16.2 BB, 2 players) K
CO bets 11.6 BB,
Hero calls 11.6 BB
River: (39.4 BB, 2 players) 3
CO bets 28.1 BB,
Hero raises to 82.3 BB and is all-in,
CO calls 54.2 BB
Hero shows 2

2

(Three of a Kind, Twos)
(Pre 48%, Flop 85%, Turn 23%)
CO shows J

T

(Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 52%, Flop 15%, Turn 77%)
CO wins 194 BB
4.) Against SB I didn't give much credit, however, I may have stationed here.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 189.3 BB
CO: 103.9 BB
Hero (BTN): 140.5 BB
SB: 100.5 BB
BB: 187.1 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9

9
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 3 BB,
SB raises to 12 BB,
fold,
Hero calls 9 BB
Flop: (25 BB, 2 players) 4

4

5
SB bets 17 BB,
Hero calls 17 BB
Turn: (59 BB, 2 players) 6
SB bets 35 BB,
Hero calls 35 BB
River: (129 BB, 2 players) 7
SB bets 36.5 BB and is all-in,
Hero calls 36.5 BB
SB shows Q

Q

(Two Pair, Queens and Fours)
(Pre 81%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows 9

9

(Two Pair, Nines and Fours)
(Pre 19%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
SB wins 192 BB
5.) I feel this hand is standard as well.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 114.8 BB
BTN: 201.7 BB
Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 140.6 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K

A
CO raises to 2.5 BB,
BTN raises to 9 BB,
Hero raises to 25 BB,
fold,
fold,
BTN raises to 201.7 BB and is all-in,
Hero calls 75 BB and is all-in
Flop: (203.5 BB, 2 players) 6

T

2
Turn: (203.5 BB, 2 players) J
River: (203.5 BB, 2 players) J
Hero shows K

A

(One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 34%, Flop 8%, Turn 11%)
BTN shows K

K

(Flush, King High)
(Pre 66%, Flop 92%, Turn 89%)
BTN wins 193.5 BB
Feedback is much appreciated. I'm moving back down to 5NL to build that roll back up and take another shot, but I feel like I need to review these hands as well to know where I'm making mistakes, or if I'm simply just running bad in these spots.
Last edited by camosunkid; 05-19-2025 at 01:35 PM.