Quote:
Originally Posted by Exothermic
???... so a guy limps on the button and you flop 2nd best set, and on the turn even if he shoves his whole stack into a small pot why in the world are you going to put him on for you to fold?.. your logic is zomg he limped aces/jacks on the button and is now shoving the turn on me?.... come on now, you guys must be folding everything but the nuts without thinking about the hand at all, to fold whether you win the hand or not would be a bad/incorrect play regardless
No no no. The problem with the hand is not how to find a fold. Everyone is (I think) agreed that that would be difficult.
The problem is:
Villain limps on BTN. Can literally have ATC.
Hero had a mid PP. Hero needs to raise here. He is almost certainly ahead.
Hero flops a set. Only behind now to AA.
Hero must bet the flop here.
If he had done, villain may well have folded and hero wins the pot. Checking the set & slowplaying here is awful.
Once villain hits his set on the turn hero is pretty much doomed, but the only reason it definitely happened was passive play.
As you say, villain may have called a flop bet with his JJ anyway. But he may not. Checking the flop means he never had to make that decision.