For the same reason I lost that one I guess. Are you asking why the hell am I paying to see flops with small pairs? Not sure what you are asking here. I get say pair 5's see a cheap flop and it comes A, 5, x. Someone starts betting hard thinking his Ax is good and doesn't see the set.

I wouldn't go as far as to say regularly but it happens enough to be noticeable.

Yep I see that now. It's like another poster said, I am believing I have the nuts when I have no where near. Need to stop and think and not get carried away with pretty hands.

How much is 'enough to be noticeable'? And how big are these pots you win? It's great to flop a set of 5's on an A52 board when your opponent holds AK, but how often does that happen? Usually what happens is you miss your set, or you hit it and villain misses/doesn't hit strong enough to call 3 streets. But maybe I'm missing something?

According to poker tracker 10 of my sets out of 33 have been smallish pairs (9 and under) that made a set on the flop. I think what you are getting at is how many small pairs did I pay to the see the flop and missed which I don't know without having a good dig through. I am guessing you will point out that I have wasted a good bit of my win seeing these and mucking aren't you? A good point I hadn't really considered so something else I need to look in to.

Yeah all those times you have to fold postflop adds up.

So how does a typical flopped set pot go for you then? You raise opponent's cbet and get stacks in by the river when he stations you down with his 1 pair? What about all the times you raise his cbet and he has air - does he think you're "making a move" (lol) and shove over your raise with air? Curious how you make lots with your sets.

3bet or fold in sb.

Grunch.

I like to try to reduce all hand histories to the root fundamental basic core discipline and principles involved.

In this case, I think about the two main reasons for betting.

#1) We bet in order to get lessor hands to call
#2) We bet in order to get better hands to fold

Looking at the betting here, can V ever really call you with a lessor hand? Is AQ or KQ really going to stack off on a Q 9 9 J 2 rainbow board???

Also looking at V's stats, his range is pretty wide and definitely includes 9x. Look at that board. Q9 and J9 are smack in the middle of 9x hands V can play.

Since we check/raise turn, I think V only continues with a range of JJ, QQ, 97 - A9 hands, in this case what does our equity look like?

Not so hot

obviously there is more involved here, I don't know the history of whether you have been running sick bluffs on each other or what not, but just based on some simple equity and ranging, our KTo isn't all that hot ESPECIALLY when we c/r with it and eliminate the hands from V's range that we beat.

So back up, and try to put yourself in your villain's shoes. If he has X hand, how would he play it? Could that hand possibly pay you off?

Then looking at the river, is V ever shoving with a hand that we beat? Especially after we check raise the turn? And look at your hand, you have the T blocker so it's highly doubtful V has a flush draw since only an OESFD would continue given a turn check raise (for some reason villains love SFD and never fold them) another hand that may continue despite your turn c/r is a top pair + FD combo, but since the Q is out that eliminates that combo. So your c/r really does reduce the range of hands V can have to hands that beat you...

Anyways, I'm always thinking about "what lessor hand can pay me off" whenever there is big action and big betting. It also works the other way, when we can shove.

I had an interesting hand the other day, I had 55 in the BB, 7 way limpy limpy pot. Game is 2/5nl, eff stacks $600 I cover.

Flop($30) A 5 A
I lead out $100, 2 villains call

Turn($330) 7
I blast the pot for $500 putting them both all-in, they both tank call

River(1.8k+) 8
V1 shows A8 and wins
V2 shows A9
I lose with my boat.

Now, typical thinking would be "Well, pot is only X amount so I need to bet around X..." and that thinking would be wrong in this case simply because in this case I knew it was probable one of the 6 limpers had an ace and if they had an ace they are never folding trip aces no matter what (it is biologically impossible for a live player in the cash game to fold trip aces). I can go ahead and blast away with my boat and get all the money in on turn when I'm 80%+ favorite to win and I know 100% they are never folding turn no matter how weaksauce their kickers are. Just sucked that in this hand one of them binked.

basically, that is an opposite example of your hand, that is, I'm recognizing when a lessor hand can call my big bets whereas from your hand it looks like you don't recognize the circumstances when you want to blast away for value...

food for thought

GL

Brillient post

What DgiHarris said, plus beware of paired boards in the same way you would a board with 3 suited cards.

There is a reason why people are paying off your sets. Its to do with your image.