Quote:
Originally Posted by deathduck
Then of course, theres always the other explination. This is the thing that scares me about poker the most. 1 in 1,000,000 players will have the worst overall luck of all those 1,000,000 players in any givin amount of time. Maybe you are in the bottom 10 or something?
Good point. And you're probably looking at it at the wrong way. This forum has over 150.000 members. Suppose 100.000 are active poker players. Suppose an active poker player plays 200.000 hands per year. That means there are 200k batches of 100k hands in which "extremely bad luck" can rear its ugly head.
So even if the chance of getting this unlucky is 1 in 200.000 you can still expect a post EVERY YEAR on 2p2 with truthful graphs.
Being 1 in 200.000 makes you really unlucky. You're not quite a reverse lotto winner yet, but it's getting close. Because of the huge scale of 2p2 it would be incredibly unlikely if nobody got insanely lucky or insanely unlucky.
I could do the math about the exact chance of something like this happening, but it would be pretty meaningless. 100.000 players at 200.000 hands a year play 20 billion hands a year. So even funny stuff like flopping a royal flush 3 times in a row is conceivable. After all, you only 1 in 20 billion odds.
Large numbers are funny that way.
Last edited by markov; 12-14-2008 at 01:17 PM.
Reason: sloppy math