Quote:
Originally Posted by SHIPIT2ME
I know in poker the answer is always "it all depends". But let's take the following situations.
1- 10 player home game or B&M MTT. Players r both nits and good players 6 folds, 4 calls for 100 bucks each. Hero has k of hearts, Q of clubs in the bb. Flop comes 5c, Qd, 8c. If I'm correct. I am 63.3/33.3 favorite. Should I bet as I'm going to win the hand and no club draw is going to suckout or should I b cautious in my betting?
I'm not sure where you come up with 63.3/33.3. Against 3 opponents in a limped pot, it is unlikely you have that high a probability of winning with only one pair (and they don't add to 100, so I don't know where you get the numbers).
There are 3 opponents. At this point, collectively, they could have about anything. The fact that they all limped into the pot actually suggests that they aren't good players, but that is a different issue.
There is no reason to think one of them has a flush draw or straight draw, or that they don't have one. The likelihood is that your top pair is ahead, and you should bet. If you get a caller or two, you now have to start thinking that they might have a draw. If you get raised, you have to have serious concerns about your hand. In an unraised, multi-way pot, you do not want to risk your entire stack with 1 pair.
I think your real question is more about if you are pretty sure you are ahead but that your opponent has a draw. In this case you need to bet for value, and to avoid giving him a free chance to beat you. You want to bet enough so that he is not getting correct odds to call, but will be enticed to call. If you make it too much he will probably fold and you get no value; if you make it too little he will be getting the correct price to call and in the long run you will lose money. If you check, he is getting a super price and in the long run you will lose money.