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August Beginner's Bankroll Thread August Beginner's Bankroll Thread

08-21-2013 , 10:57 PM
So I have been going through HEM2 and was a little bit shocked when I saw the following:

Low pairs (22,33,44,55,66) | 992 hands | -5,77 bb/100
Medium pairs (77,88,99,TT)| 821 hands | -0,67 bb/100
Big pairs (JJ,QQ,KK) | 608 hands | +470,23 bb/100
AA | 197 hands | +510,20 bb/100 hands

I have always thought that you should be a winner with any pair overall in 6max... The big pairs and AA are fine I guess but the low pp's and especially the medium pp's are a big shock. How can I break even with medium pp's??

When I break them down into positions I get this:





What can I do about this? I guess it will be a good idea to drop every low pair except in the CO or BTN (but then I would only use these pairs to steal or to ocasionally setmine against very bad opponents). But should I also drop medium pairs in the blinds? Any advice is really appreciated.


BTW, It's only about bb/100 hands. $$$ ia not relevant because these hands are played over different levels: 2NL, 5NL and 10NL
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 12:18 AM
F2012, small pocket pairs aren't always going to be profitable. You'll only ever flop a set ever 8.5 times you have a small PP, and even then it's not guaranteed that you'll win your opponents stack.

Things to consider:

- don't be afraid to X/F as the PFR aggressor in places you won't be getting any folds/value. This will mostly apply against fish, which are everywhere in the micros.

- Versus competent regs, if such a thing exists at <10nl, you shouldn't always set mine. Folding to a button open in the blinds with a small pocket pair is fine. This is especially true as against competent regs they're very unlikely to pay you off when you do hit your set.

Those two points should help immensely. People overplay small pocket pairs as though they're always going to be the nuts. It's just not true.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 12:37 AM
I actually lol'd when I clicked the picture and saw the sample size.

Although I can tell you that you're calling too much in the BB w/****ty PP's.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 12:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OlyBrah
F2012, small pocket pairs aren't always going to be profitable. You'll only ever flop a set ever 8.5 times you have a small PP, and even then it's not guaranteed that you'll win your opponents stack.

Things to consider:

- don't be afraid to X/F as the PFR aggressor in places you won't be getting any folds/value. This will mostly apply against fish, which are everywhere in the micros.

- Versus competent regs, if such a thing exists at <10nl, you shouldn't always set mine. Folding to a button open in the blinds with a small pocket pair is fine. This is especially true as against competent regs they're very unlikely to pay you off when you do hit your set.

Those two points should help immensely. People overplay small pocket pairs as though they're always going to be the nuts. It's just not true.
Ty, will def be folding more blinds from now on. But does this count for med pairs too? I feel like I x/f too many flops with them when I'm OOP or try to float OOP, neither are working very good as can be seen.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MMSS
I actually lol'd when I clicked the picture and saw the sample size.

Although I can tell you that you're calling too much in the BB w/****ty PP's.

yeah lol sample size, but as you already pointed out ("Although I can tell you that you're calling too much in the BB w/****ty PP's.") this def raises some flags.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 01:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by F2012
Ty, will def be folding more blinds from now on. But does this count for med pairs too? I feel like I x/f too many flops with them when I'm OOP or try to float OOP, neither are working very good as can be seen.

yeah lol sample size, but as you already pointed out ("Although I can tell you that you're calling too much in the BB w/****ty PP's.") this def raises some flags.
1 - You need to understand your ranges in spots and villains ranges and their tendencies. I dunno what stakes you're playing but I'd assume you're still playing against people who on average are far too passive, this is awful for when we are set mining because we don't have the implied odds that they are going to barrel. So instead of being like fold more you should work on understanding why you are doing each and it'll sort itself out.

I assume you understand why we can see in our stats that we are calling too much (for example) yet this doesn't mean we should fold more in every spot.

I do agree about your x/f flops from that 99 hand highlighted where you have raised SB vs BB, called a raise and then folded one of the driest flops you could have hoped for. Definitely not good.

2 - This is just because it stands out quite a bit, just be careful you aren't trying to make big adjustments based on trivial sample sizes was more the point.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 02:05 AM
All pp's should be profitable at these levels I think. I have about the same sample size and 44 is the only pair that has negative all-in adjusted results. And that's probably because I've been set over setted 3 times, while I never managed to get stacks in when I had the only set with 44. Over a small sample such things will decide your winrate. You could also check your set-flopping frequency. Over a small sample that may be way off, which will have a huge effect on your winrate.

My overall VPIP with any pair is 97%, 96% with 22-66, so I play them even more than you do.

Comparing to your stats, it seems it could be a lot variance. With medium pairs I have the exact same WTSD as you, while my W$SD is 10% higher.

You are 3betting medium pairs a lot on the button. I guess this is TT? Why? Seems to me you are folding out most hands that we have crushed, get 4bet by those that crush us and get a call from the hands we are flipping against. I rather keep their A8s in there and let them flop tp.

Post my AF and AFq% is quite a bit higher than yours.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 03:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TDA2
@asriva:

H1, 3bet or fold pre. Postflop looks good, bigger OTR.
H2, raising the turn is spew. Call turn, x/decide river. Don't minraise pre.
H1 - Wanted to play with a fish in the blinds, so just flatted.
H2 - What size do we open with bvb ? I 3x from all positions, 2.5x from button and 2x from SB.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 03:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by asriva
H1 - Wanted to play with a fish in the blinds, so just flatted.
H2 - What size do we open with bvb ? I 3x from all positions, 2.5x from button and 2x from SB.
Is obv ok if ur pfr to play with a fish with weaker holdings, but u cannot match a utg range of a non-fish.

I open 3x everywhere except btn where I open 2.5x, unless there's a fish in blinds abs I go back to 3x if he's calling a lot pre.

Don't think of SB as such a stealing spot. It is, but don't lay villain excellent odds to call with such a wide range. I read a lot on this at one point and I think mathematically it would be correct for villain to call a minbet from SB with like 40% of hands or something like that
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 03:23 AM
So we open 2.5x from SB as well ?

And stop sitting on my left every time.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 03:29 AM
@TDA

H1 - Seems ok, but would you do the same with KK/AA here ? What about QQ ?
H3 - Raise turn to build pot ? Or did you have some read that BB was very likely to raise here ?


@F2012

I think you are 3betting way too much with low pocket pairs.
Also, you are not aggressive enough with medium pocket pairs.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 03:46 AM
Yeah was gonna ask if that was you!

I'd advocate opening to at least 3x in SB. You can even make it 4x which I've heard some people say. Guess as usual it depends on who BB is
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 04:17 AM
What opening range do we have if we open to 3x in SB ? This is also another problem I have, what range to open from SB and what range to call from BB, what range to defend vs BB's 3bet etc. Assume villain is a standard 22/18/6 player.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 04:39 AM
Tough question and I'm certainly not qualified to answer with any certainty. Have a look at the cotw threads on blind play first, then just have a think about it I guess and do some work in pokerstove. Nor trying to be evasive, I just can't explain it very well, and considering how I'm playing at the moment I wouldn't really wanna send u down the wrong path if I'm wrong!

On that note will be playing a sesh fri night, then having the weekend off. Mainly coz I'm on a stag weekend but also think my game/mindset will benefit from a little time away
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 04:42 AM
I will hopefully have tonnes of free time from Monday and I'll get down to the studying and math in earnest.
August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
08-22-2013 , 05:38 AM
    Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: $1.97 (98.5 bb)
    BB: $1.31 (65.5 bb)
    MP: $1.39 (69.5 bb)
    CO: $1.36 (68 bb)
    Hero (BTN): $4.67 (233.5 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with J K
    2 folds, Hero raises to $0.05, SB raises to $0.16, BB folds



    Hero raises to $0.45






    SB calls $0.29







    Flop: ($0.92) J 2 K (2 players)







    SB checks, Hero bets $0.75,







    SB calls $0.75



    Turn: ($2.42) 4 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $1










    SB calls $0.77 and is all-in







    River: ($3.96) A (2 players, 1 is all-in)







    Spoiler:
    Results: $3.96 pot ($0.14 rake)
    Final Board: J 2 K 4 A
    SB showed J A and won $3.82 ($1.85 net)
    Hero showed J K and won $0.00 (-$1.97 net)




    Yeah I know, Pre' is pretty bad.
    My image definitely helped me later on though.





      Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $2.52 (126 bb)
      SB: $2.01 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $2.03 (101.5 bb)
      MP: $1.62 (81 bb)
      Hero (CO): $4.90 (245 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with T T
      MP folds, Hero raises to $0.06, 2 folds, BB calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.13) 8 T Q (2 players)





      BB checks, Hero bets $0.10, BB calls $0.10

      Turn: ($0.33) 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.26, BB raises to $0.52





      Hero raises to $4.74 and is all-in







      BB calls $1.35







      River: ($4.07) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Spoiler:
      Results: $4.07 pot ($0.14 rake)
      Final Board: 8 T Q 7 J
      BB showed Q A and lost (-$2.03 net)
      Hero showed T T and won $3.93 ($1.90 net)



      Ship it.


      Anyway, I've been mixing up NLHE with some PLO. I really need to stay away from PLO for now though. Really not the greatest of help for the bankroll it would seem.
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 06:42 AM
      You make this GIF yourself? They are pretty funny hahaha!
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 06:47 AM
      I don't make the gifs myself, no. :P Just search Tumblr for them mostly.
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 07:00 AM
      agree with dunna in that you should be opening 3x vs most in the SB. I'd 2.5x vs nits since there range is usually inelastic. I open about 45% in the SB as a standard which is slightly less than my button opening range.

      @ oly yeah that KJo is a flat pre.
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 08:28 AM
      Watching Premier League Poker. It's amazing how **** some of these players are (see: Sexton, Frankenberger in particular).
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 09:36 AM
      Quote:
      Originally Posted by TDA2
      H1 snap call.
      H2 villain can't hold KQdd, the Qd is on board. IMO it's a fold at nitring.
      H3 I'd consider donk/3bet the flop. River sizing is fine, his range is weak.
      Re H1, afterward I thought that this might be the case but I've been trying to be really tight around which hands I am willing to be AIPF with. In the small sample I had on villain, I believe that was the 4th time I'd seen him do that. Oh well - I'll keep that in mind for the future.

      H2 .. yikes, embarrassing. I don't even know where that came from. Oops! My thinking matched yours here so I'm glad to see a fold wasn't completely uncalled for.

      H3, I do pull the donk/3bet move at times but also pull a X/R every now and then. Would you mind commenting on the merits of that in this situation? Is it more or less identical? I suppose in the donk/3bet situation you are guaranteeing more money goes into the pot (along with the possibility of villain folding).

      Thanks for your help with these hands.
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 11:09 AM
      Donking is usually better on boards where people are less inclined to Cbet.
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 11:31 AM
      Will be 3xing from sb from now.

      I dont think I ever donk otf. Is that a leak ?
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 04:35 PM
      ^^ yep definitely. I don't do it enough either.
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 04:35 PM
      The turn and river hates me.

      h1: Limp/call pre is often a small or mid pp, most pp's are floating paired boards and a lot of pp's are ahead of me on the turn. Continue betting?

      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $1.36 (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
      SB: $1.08 (VPIP: 17.42, PFR: 16.85, 3Bet Preflop: 5.08, Hands: 187)
      BB: $1.00 (VPIP: 21.82, PFR: 10.91, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 58)
      UTG: $1.72 (VPIP: 16.19, PFR: 10.31, 3Bet Preflop: 1.26, Hands: 469)
      MP: $1.27 (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
      Hero (CO): $3.52

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 5 5

      fold, MP calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, MP calls $0.06

      Flop: ($0.19, 2 players) 5 8 8
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.12, MP calls $0.12

      Turn: ($0.43, 2 players) 8
      MP checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.43, 2 players) T
      MP bets $0.22, Hero calls $0.22

      Spoiler:
      MP shows 3 3 (Full House, Eights full of Threes) (Pre 18%, Flop 0%, Turn 1%)
      Hero shows 5 5 (Full House, Eights full of Fives) (Pre 82%, Flop 100%, Turn 99%)
      Hero wins $0.84



      h2: gotta fold that river, I suppose...

      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BTN): $2.00
      SB: $3.75 (VPIP: 4.17, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      BB: $1.57 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
      UTG: $1.29 (VPIP: 12.77, PFR: 4.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 49)
      MP: $2.00 (VPIP: 13.07, PFR: 9.87, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 154)
      CO: $1.74 (VPIP: 11.88, PFR: 1.98, 3Bet Preflop: 1.47, Hands: 207)

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 7 J

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.06, SB calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.18, 3 players) J 7 K
      SB bets $0.04, BB calls $0.04, Hero raises to $0.23, SB calls $0.19, fold

      Turn: ($0.68, 2 players) J
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.44, SB calls $0.44

      River: ($1.56, 2 players) K
      SB bets $3.02 and is all-in, fold

      SB wins $1.51
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote
      08-22-2013 , 05:31 PM
      BTN: $29.16 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 15, 3B: 10, AF: 3.0, Hands: 20
      SB: $30.46 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 56
      BB: $13.74 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 9, 3B: 8, AF: 4.0, Hands: 34
      UTG: $26.07 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 1.8, Hands: 1166
      Hero (MP): $29.61
      CO: $28.06 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 29, 3B: 20, AF: 6.0, Hands: 31

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP with A A
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, BTN raises to $2, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.90, BTN calls $2.90

      Flop: ($10.15) 6 7 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.80, BTN calls $3.80

      Turn: ($17.75) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.70, BTN raises to $20.46, Hero calls $13.76

      River: ($58.67) 8 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $58.67
      BTN shows 9 Q
      Hero shows A A
      BTN wins $56.67
      (Rake: $2.00)
      I have to keep telling myself "these are the people I make money off". So terrible...
      August Beginner's Bankroll Thread Quote

            
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