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September trading thread September trading thread

09-11-2009 , 04:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ahnuld
Dont think im gonna be trading for awhile.

I bought a big chunk of spy march 2010 1000 puts for 59.10 which would mean despite most of my portfolio being invested in stocks, id actually make money if we drop alot between then and now. Imp. vol. is the lowest its been all year and im really bearish. This is an easy bet that wont require me to do much work or make many accurate guesses.
Do you mean the March 2010 $100 puts for $5.9 ?
September trading thread Quote
09-14-2009 , 03:59 PM
Been holding ACAS from my boredom trades of EK/AMD/ACAS. Up about 12% today on strong volume, may look to add not sure yet.
September trading thread Quote
09-14-2009 , 04:35 PM
bought November PALM 14 calls for 1.90 ---- watch the squeeze develop before your eyes after earnings on thursday
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09-14-2009 , 04:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by burkoboy
bought November PALM 14 calls for 1.90 ---- watch the squeeze develop before your eyes after earnings on thursday
you mean when they report excessive cash burn and losses coupled with disappointed pre numbers ?
September trading thread Quote
09-14-2009 , 06:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ahnuld
you mean when they report excessive cash burn and losses coupled with disappointed pre numbers ?
I'm the first to admit I'm a n00b trader, and this may be a really big mistake, but I was thinking about shorting palm because I believe fundamentally they are a short, have negative earnings expectations, and the pre sucks + they have really bad sales numbers.

But....

everyone on fast money thinks this is a short, on that one show options action or whatever they were all talking about bearish plays for this stock, its in the top 10 % wise of most shorted stock relative to shares outstanding, and I've been watching the options volume over the past few trading days and put buying is heavily out numbering call buying.

Seems like everyone is against this stock, and while it makes sense because of the fundamental aspects, it just makes sense for me in a weird kind of way that from a risk/reward standpoint betting that this stock will explode to the upside on ANY good news (or squeeze) and making a killing outweighs the risk of them saying what everyone already seems to know and the stock loses a couple points.
September trading thread Quote
09-15-2009 , 07:09 AM
Heh. I've been having some problems with Palm too. Everything in me says that I need to short it but something is stopping me doing it. Normally I'm just buying companies and debt that I find cheap (not saying I'm any good at it). And at the moment I'm mostly long a lot of debt, so I guess I'm too conservative to short Palm.
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09-15-2009 , 10:40 AM
Wow I'm so screwed for my citi Dec 5 calls. Any thoughts. ? Salvage what I have now or ride it out and average down since I still have a mdew months. But the government plans to sell its stake.
September trading thread Quote
09-15-2009 , 11:20 AM
sold full position (400 shares) HRZ @ $6.62; +$0.11/share div. [bought on 8/26 @ $6.10]
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09-15-2009 , 02:13 PM
palm behaving well today....
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09-15-2009 , 02:15 PM
buy the rumour sell the news..
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09-15-2009 , 03:26 PM
this market is a sick beast
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09-15-2009 , 04:15 PM
lol my etf portfolio is now up 40% since I bought it last november
September trading thread Quote
09-16-2009 , 10:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legacybegins
Been holding ACAS from my boredom trades of EK/AMD/ACAS. Up about 12% today on strong volume, may look to add not sure yet.
Up 28% today. Never added but still holding a decent sized position.
September trading thread Quote
09-16-2009 , 10:25 AM
Out 1/2 ACAS at 3.36, the other half at 3.31. Will keep an eye on it.
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09-16-2009 , 02:33 PM
anyone know why usg is up 21% on no news?
September trading thread Quote
09-16-2009 , 02:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ahnuld
anyone know why usg is up 21% on no news?
CEO saying worst is over at JPM.
September trading thread Quote
09-16-2009 , 07:02 PM
sorry seems like a standard question but when u sell shares and they say it will take t + 3 days to arrive, does that include the day u sell them? I sold shares on monday around midday. Should i be receiving the money today (its thursday morning here in Sydney).
September trading thread Quote
09-17-2009 , 10:21 AM
Long PGH @ 9.20; trailing stop set @ 8.40.
September trading thread Quote
09-17-2009 , 10:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ahnuld
anyone know why usg is up 21% on no news?
there was takeover talk on monday, no clue about yesterday.
September trading thread Quote
09-17-2009 , 11:02 AM
im starting to get long term bearish on ebay. This is an old trade but I think its worth considering going long amzn, short ebay again. If you do a quick glance over ebays message boards you see alot of pissed off sellers that ebay doesnt seem to care about. Alot of them will leave for amzn or other auction sites
September trading thread Quote
09-17-2009 , 11:31 AM
What prompted the 8.8% jump in VLO this morning? Oil prices are about the same as yesterday.
September trading thread Quote
09-17-2009 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rangerxbob
What prompted the 8.8% jump in VLO this morning? Oil prices are about the same as yesterday.
Oil price is up on speculation about Iran's ability to make a bomb. I think we are starting to see everything stack setting up a very similar Q4 to last year. With the plummetting dollar and tension in the Middle East, oil could go $100+ (and will got to $200 if Israel strikes). Combine this with a bit to overzealous recovery in the market and I could see general market declines being supported by strength in commodites only to see the 2nd bubble burst post-Christmas. I sold out a bit early, and got short too early but now feel pretty good about my positions.
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09-17-2009 , 01:48 PM
im long slv and short usd/long cad as my commodity plays fwiw
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09-17-2009 , 03:53 PM
Ahnuld, how do you trade currency? Can you do it from a brokerage account like Charles Scwab?
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09-17-2009 , 04:37 PM
palm beat sales targets, but sounds like they are about to announce a new share offering.
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