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*** February Trading Thread *** *** February Trading Thread ***

02-02-2010 , 03:43 PM
Also trying to leg this VIX 18-19 put spread for free. Who wants to buy some 18 puts off me?
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02-02-2010 , 04:09 PM
BRK!
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02-02-2010 , 04:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenatorKevin
Also trying to leg this VIX 18-19 put spread for free. Who wants to buy some 18 puts off me?
Being 1 lotted on CBOE... Uh, yeah 1 lotting on CBOE doesn't work kids.
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02-02-2010 , 04:32 PM
which 18 puts u selling ?? month

selling ESH0 at 1102 if the pig gets there... zig zag, ying yang
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02-02-2010 , 04:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DogsBrekky
which 18 puts u selling ?? month
Feb 18 puts for a dime. These things are pretty much worthless.
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02-02-2010 , 05:03 PM
Ended up selling 8 of them... yippie... At least I'm first up for the rest of my order.
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02-02-2010 , 09:26 PM
MPEL - I owe, well actually my youngest brother downunder owes someone a lunch or 3 for a well timed analysis on this MPEL... the bros bought 20T of these sometime today/y'day and made a quick killing

whoever it was -- if you come to NY, email me and we will do a huge lunch
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02-02-2010 , 10:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DogsBrekky
Volume on index futures is useless, you never know if it is stock hedges, outrights or options hedging... bloody useless as an indicator
Its good for framing market personality though.
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02-02-2010 , 11:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DogsBrekky
MPEL - I owe, well actually my youngest brother downunder owes someone a lunch or 3 for a well timed analysis on this MPEL... the bros bought 20T of these sometime today/y'day and made a quick killing

whoever it was -- if you come to NY, email me and we will do a huge lunch
Glad your bro caught it, was a good one! If I ever make it to NY I will take the meal
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02-03-2010 , 12:24 AM
MPEL didnt have spectacular earnings or even meet them (i think...), but it still rallied up pretty significantly.... is this a signal for strength?

I'm still kicking myself for not putting my order in mpel when it was at 3.35 (price which it was at a double bottom)... GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

I'm probably going to regret it, but I'm in at YGE at 13.48
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02-03-2010 , 10:29 AM
zomg, Apple going into mobile ads. Jobs must be crazy. crazy like a fox to be precise.

http://paidcontent.co.uk/article/419...ad-sales-team/

can't wait to see how it affects trading.
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02-03-2010 , 10:37 AM
am I read this right (dogs) there is HUGE volume on brk.b right at the open?

nvm read it wrong
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02-03-2010 , 11:01 AM
Bought back 25 lots BRK A at 112k up to 112,180
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02-03-2010 , 11:06 AM
Dogs, what's your stop on VIX?
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02-03-2010 , 11:26 AM
Sold more OTM calls in GLD to get my short strangle back to 1:1
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02-03-2010 , 11:43 AM
Vix futures dumped this am
shorted oil, stopped. agghhhhhhhhhh

Last edited by DogsBrekky; 02-03-2010 at 11:51 AM.
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02-03-2010 , 12:32 PM
Sold the rest of those VIX 18 puts. Threw another offer out to make this a 1x2 for a 10 cent credit. Will put some thought into making it a 1x3 if I get filled again today.
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02-03-2010 , 04:04 PM
Anyone now what happened in USO at 2:26? Anyone a commodities trader know what happened? I just shorted USO at 2:33, not really understanding what happened? Was this like some kind of messed up order in the oil market? XLE and OIH were down at that point and didn't spike up with USO. Can someone clarify this situation? Was my short understandable? I just thought it was some kind of messed up order in the oil market.
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02-03-2010 , 04:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mEmmerrr
Cross posted:

Got my wellies on, its time to go fishing......

Buying into CNXT at anything below 3.90. Gonna have a stop in at 3.20 or something.

Not going for broke with this one, but setup looks pretty nice even in the face of the brutal selling of the markets.

GLGL

Filled @ 3.88
Switching this to break even, really not liking the position the SPY is in right about now. Looks like a classic retest of broken support for further selling to commence shortly after.
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02-03-2010 , 06:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JooWish622
Anyone now what happened in USO at 2:26? Anyone a commodities trader know what happened? I just shorted USO at 2:33, not really understanding what happened? Was this like some kind of messed up order in the oil market? XLE and OIH were down at that point and didn't spike up with USO. Can someone clarify this situation? Was my short understandable? I just thought it was some kind of messed up order in the oil market.
someone jammed up OIL futures a $1 in a jiffy, USO had a massive buy order at same time (almost) , prolly a hedge ... or some dufus effing with people...
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02-03-2010 , 08:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DogsBrekky
someone jammed up OIL futures a $1 in a jiffy, USO had a massive buy order at same time (almost) , prolly a hedge ... or some dufus effing with people...
I apologize in advance if I word this next question ******edly:

When USO spiked up and then came off, and then retested highs 5 minutes later... is it a good trade to short that and exit if it makes new highs?

The reasons I ask are as follows:
1. I'm not sure if this is an actual trade setup. I expected USO to retest highs and then possible come all the way back off if it failed to break new highs. I'm not sure if this is a pattern or if its something that just looks pretty and therefore I categorize it as a pattern the occasional time it does work out. In other words, I'[m not sure if this is an actual play. I'm not sure if there are any sound technical or supply/demand reasons that make my short a good short above random luck. I'm just trying to understand my trade because I think it is something that happens more often than a random event, but I don't know why.
I realize that if something happens repeatedly I need not know why it happens, but I can't tell if this is something that happens more often relative to my risk/reward in the play or if it's just something that looks pretty and then I categorize it as a pattern afterwards.

2. It seems like an odd trade because I'm shorting USO against the current trend. It is approaching old highs and if USO was going down, it probably wouldn't have retested old highs in the first place.


Lastly, am I even thinking of this trade the right way?
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02-04-2010 , 10:30 AM
Joo - I did that same thing on Oil 2 days ago, I got short on a spike-dump-spike and instantly dusted $2000 on a piddly 2 lot..... that is a very hard trade to pull the trigger on because I have seen situations (Wheat in 1996-97) where they did that and then jammed it up another $2... so

anyway, I bottom fished in the Euro and bought a manly 2 lots 138.16 .....
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02-04-2010 , 11:11 AM
long usd/cad at 1.069
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02-04-2010 , 11:12 AM
lol got 1/2 my short spy margin called on me at close yesterday
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02-04-2010 , 11:25 AM
My short GLD strangle looks like poop at the moment. Any idea why we gapped down a buck fifty on GLD? Was going to buy back a few puts at .88 and suddenly it goes 1.20 offer.
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