The article 2 days ago by Dr. Scott Atlas of Stanford has a lot of people up in arms. Basically, with the exception of stretching IFR a bit in his favor he makes almost perfect sense.
Link:
https://thehill.com/opinion/healthca...otal-isolation
Quote:
Fact 1: The overwhelming majority of people do not have any significant risk of dying from COVID-19.
Fact 2: Protecting older, at-risk people eliminates hospital overcrowding.
Fact 3: Vital population immunity is prevented by total isolation policies, prolonging the problem.
Fact 4: People are dying because other medical care is not getting done due to hypothetical projections.
Fact 5: We have a clearly defined population at risk who can be protected with targeted measures.
Some numbers from the article:
-NYC people under 18 have less than 1 in 100,000 chance of dying from CV;
-99.2% of the confirmed CV deaths in NYC had an underlying condition (e.g. obesity, diabetes, heart disease, kidney disease, etc.);
-NY state hospitalizations for under 18 is 0.01%;
-NY state hospitalizations for 18-44 is 0.1%;
-80% of scheduled brain surgeries were missed;
-uncounted acute sufferers missed procedures and either died or are permanently disabled.
Of course a lot of people just "LOL Stanford" and summarily dismiss the article.
Last edited by PokerHero77; 04-24-2020 at 07:50 PM.