Quote:
Originally Posted by bbfg
Shouldn't that Brazil story be in direct contradiction with your 'let it rip'-thesis?
I see 2 scenarios:
1/ Immunity post-infection isn't long or strong => let it rip isn't worth it.
2/ Immunity doesn't protect against mutations => let it rip results in more mutations.
Hey, I favored harsh actions early to contain and eradicate it. But cuck experts failed to anticipate the threat and likely outcome, so here we are.
Given that the cumulative deaths (= infections) are the same in open societies vs 3x lockdown + restricted + masks + economy destroyed ones, neither (1) or (2) apply since the outcomes are the same as measured in real world data.
Given that immunity seems to be working very well in making the second wave less intense (just look at the countries like Slovenia and Czechia who had no first wave), I think the let it rip immunity approach is clearly preferable and sensible.
In this case my money is on a nasty Brazilian strain that antibodies and possibly vaccines don't work on.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Washington Post
There is also some early evidence that antibodies might not recognize the P.1 variant, which could lead to reinfection.
Will vaccines work?
There’s no strong evidence right now suggesting that vaccines won’t work against the Brazil variant. However, scientists have raised the possibility that this variant can evade antibodies, which would impact the current vaccines’ effectiveness.
As for mutations, apart from the fact that severe lockdowns and restrictions haven't helped at all in the long run over the course of the pandemic in lowering infections, corona is spreading through the world's mammals at a rapid rate. For example, minks in Denmark had to be mass culled when they got a nasty variant that could be transmitted to humans. That cat is well and truly out of the bag, and this is looking a lot like a flu or cold scenario where there are so many mutations a vaccine can't keep up (except this one destroys your lungs and is a cousin of a 10% death rate virus).
Last edited by ToothSayer; 01-27-2021 at 06:54 PM.