Apple discussion thread - Page 30 - Business, Finances and Investing Forum

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01-28-2017 , 04:33 PM

#726

stinkypete

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,783

Quote:

Originally Posted by ToothSayer

The epic butthurt if this moves against him it will be epic. Imagine...you think you're getting your stupidly lost wealth back...BAM bankrupt because idiots bought iPhones.

I don't have any skin in the game with AAPL but I'm more excited for this earnings report than any others

If anyone isn't familiar with fscomeau, here's a hilarious summary of his story:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXWM2dBA3IE

Quote

01-28-2017 , 05:37 PM

#727

rafiki

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 41,247

Quote:

Originally Posted by stinkypete

I don't have any skin in the game with AAPL but I'm more excited for this earnings report than any others

If anyone isn't familiar with fscomeau, here's a hilarious summary of his story:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXWM2dBA3IE

dying

Quote

01-28-2017 , 06:21 PM

#728

ASAP17

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 5,882

Quote:

Originally Posted by grizy

With Samsung phones going up in flames, Apple ecosystem lock-in, and lack of well reviewed high end Android alternatives (except the Pixel), I think perfectly rational people would buy a lot of iPhones.

IT departments for example rather deal with iPhones than a billion androids.

Samsung recorded record profits (not to mention the stock is at ATHs unlike AAPL) & the trend is shifting back in their direction in the battle between the two companies. The note 7 issue was a lot of noise especially in the longer term view.

The recent run has nothing to do with iPhones, it's all on deregulation/repatriation hopes given how much cash AAPL has overseas. Since that's my opinion, I think the risk is to the downside even if it's still in a firm technical uptrend in the short term.

Quote

01-28-2017 , 07:20 PM

#729

stinkypete

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Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,783

fooscamoo to live stream AAPL earnings: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetb..._5k_upvotes_i/

Quote

01-28-2017 , 07:39 PM

#730

rafiki

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 41,247

I just hope it's real is all

Quote

01-28-2017 , 08:27 PM

#731

Love Sosa

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 2,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by stinkypete

fooscamoo to live stream AAPL earnings: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetb..._5k_upvotes_i/

Quote:

Originally Posted by rafiki

I just hope it's real is all

It just hit the number one spot on /r/all

I've only heard of this user from you guys today, but based on his comment in this thread that he can't even afford a 30 dollar webcam I'm leaning towards fake. He mentioned he lost a lot at 5/10 nl as well...maybe a 2p2er?

Props to the guy even if it is fake, still entertaining stuff. Would definitely be one of the best levels of all time on reddit, and there's been some good ones.

Quote

01-28-2017 , 08:33 PM

#732

Love Sosa

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 2,308

Quote

01-30-2017 , 03:31 AM

#733

SootedPowa

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 3,935

Quote:

Originally Posted by rafiki

Not sure how many of you have seen this yet, but I'm entertained.

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetb...last_stand_my/

Quote:

Originally Posted by stinkypete

fooscamoo to live stream AAPL earnings: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetb..._5k_upvotes_i/

Quote

01-30-2017 , 03:32 AM

#734

SootedPowa

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 3,935

Quote:

Originally Posted by ToothSayer

The epic butthurt if this moves against him it will be epic. Imagine...you think you're getting your stupidly lost wealth back...BAM bankrupt because idiots bought iPhones.

Spoiler:

Quote

01-30-2017 , 04:07 AM

#735

ToothSayer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 13,237

I'm tempted to play along for peanut money. Anyone with me?

Quote

01-30-2017 , 06:14 AM

#736

TheMVP

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,760

Quote:

Originally Posted by ToothSayer

I'm tempted to play along for peanut money. Anyone with me?

I'm in, had $200 lying around on IB so bought some Feb 17 $120 puts to join the sweat

Quote

01-30-2017 , 06:44 AM

#737

dundalk

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 567

V tempted ..

He writes v well .. maybe if it goes wrong, he can get some bus-money, from a book - maybe a film.

U can see how chatrooms, of small penny stocks, can get a wave behind them, if targeted the right way.

Quote

01-30-2017 , 01:47 PM

#738

stinkypete

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,783

Quote:

Originally Posted by ToothSayer

I'm tempted to play along for peanut money. Anyone with me?

i'm just trying to decide if i should play the reverse or the reverse reverse

Quote

01-30-2017 , 02:08 PM

#739

mrbaseball

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 13,672

Funniest outcome would be such an epic upside blowout that his 128 calls saved him.

Quote

01-30-2017 , 02:17 PM

#740

stinkypete

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,783

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrbaseball

Funniest outcome would be such an epic upside blowout that his 128 calls saved him.

sure would

Quote

01-30-2017 , 02:18 PM

#741

ToothSayer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 13,237

Which of these is the closest to his actual chances of hitting $100 by expiry (a bit less than 3 weeks)?

1 in 1000
1 in 100
1 in 10

Interested where all y'alls heads are at at the tails.

Quote

01-30-2017 , 02:53 PM

#742

stinkypete

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,783

I think 1 in 100 is pretty clearly the answer out of those 3. If anyone thinks it's 1 in 10 they should be piling on the 100 puts.

Bought some 120 and 115 puts for the sweat! LEGGGGOOOOOOO FSCOMEAU!!!!!!!!!!

Quote

01-30-2017 , 03:35 PM

#743

Love Sosa

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 2,308

I don't follow AAPL closely but probably closer to 1/1000

Quote

01-30-2017 , 04:05 PM

#744

grizy

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Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 20,796

I am in... bought 120 puts. Just to sewat this guy. Quite possibly the most expensive sweat I've done outside of poker.

I think 1/100, just out of random unexpected events like a random game ending (e.g. Lord Drumpf slaps AAPL with a giant tax bill for some reason. Or a total (Note 7 style) iPhone 7/7+ recall)

Last edited by grizy; 01-30-2017 at 04:13 PM.

Quote

01-30-2017 , 10:22 PM

#745

ASAP17

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 5,882

Most hilarious scenario for that guy is if it doesn't move at all. Btw I think he's completely full of ****.

Quote

01-31-2017 , 02:31 AM

#746

OlafTheSnowman

journeyman

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 373

Martin Shkreli estimated the 100 puts at 1% and unsuccessfully tried to convince the guy to sell his position for a 10% profit. The crazy guy audio starts at 6:30-7ish
https://www.facebook.com/martinshkr/...1376433632925/

Quote

01-31-2017 , 02:41 AM

#747

ToothSayer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 13,237

Oh God, that was both painful and hilarious. Thanks for posting

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01-31-2017 , 03:39 AM

#748

stinkypete

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,783

Quote

01-31-2017 , 06:33 AM

#749

rafiki

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 41,247

How great would it be if some Trump-induced scenario tanked the whole market and he got there that way? Man that would be a feel-good story.

Quote

01-31-2017 , 10:44 AM

#750

pizarro1

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 374

Someone pointed out already on reddit calling it fake, this is the position he allegedly is holding:

I checked it as well in IB to see if I could find any corresponding volume to that price, I can't find it. Unless there's a sound reason this transaction volume did not show up, I can't see how he could've gotten 3000 x 100 puts @ an avg price below 6 cents.

He bought his position before the 28th of January, so only look at the volume before that.

Quote

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