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Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Why Do Wins Come in Waves?

03-06-2015 , 02:00 PM
Ant Zinno wins back to back WPT's. Dan Colman goes on an insane run. Dan Smith won multiple tournaments in a short time. Multiple bracelet wins by someone new every WSOP. What is behind these short bursts of insane run good? Is it increased confidence? Or, is there something unexplainable that people tap into for a short time (the zone) only to
fall out of this "zone". Is it cosmic (the secret, choice center, meditation etc. )? When you consider 30,000 people play the WSOP it seems unlikely that every single year someone binks at least 2 events, and yet it always happens. Thoughts?
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:04 PM
It's a result of the positive test strategy and misunderstanding what random distributions look like.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:09 PM
Just like the ocean my friend, just like the ocean
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03-06-2015 , 02:16 PM
Doesn't take many changes to **** up your game.
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03-06-2015 , 02:17 PM
how come one day i seem unstoppable in online sit n goes and then the next day I question whether I even know what I am doing
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:21 PM
To see a world in a grain of sand
and heaven in a wild flower
Hold infinity in the palms of your hand
and eternity in an hour
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03-06-2015 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MOZARTapp
To see a world in a grain of sand
and heaven in a wild flower
Hold infinity in the palms of your hand
and eternity in an hour
this
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:25 PM
Why Do Waves Come in Wins?
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:27 PM
Cobination of decreased money-pressure, increased confidence, and opponents often knowing against whom they play now, means, increased Ivey-Effect.

Though, I am in a backing deal for online MTT's, and after busting ~45 MTT's in a row, I won a 7-Game MTT for $2.7K and a PLO Hi MTT for €2.1K within one week. What I want to say is that none of the reason I mentioned above fully fits in my case...

I am pretty confident that my feeling that wins come in streaks are just a result of my selective memory, because I have no reason to remember a week where I broke-even and had some 6th and 18th places etc.

And regarding WSOP...Don't forget the Omaha, Limit and Mixed events have small fields...
If you are in a room with more than (iirc) 40 people, how high do you think that the chance that two of them are born on the same day is?
It's significantly higher than 50%
And with a few dozen K players at the WSOP, and several small field events with just 50-300 players, I think the chance that some guy wins 2 of them is not as unlikely as it seems, not even if everyone would be equally skilled, I think.

Though, 2 NLHE braclets in one WSOP would acutually be a pretty rare, I think.
Did that ever happen in the post-moneymaker-era?

Last edited by TooRareToDie; 03-06-2015 at 02:32 PM.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:28 PM
I think there is a steam of consciousness thing going on that we on occasion tap into. We don't specifically know how to do it, thus, our results go back to normal.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cetacean
It's a result of the positive test strategy and misunderstanding what random distributions look like.
ding ding ding
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cetacean
It's a result of the positive test strategy and misunderstanding what random distributions look like.
You don't speak often, but wisely.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:36 PM
Lucky runs are measured in number of hands, not tournaments.
If the designated number of hands is not used up at the end of a tournament, they carry over to the next one.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:36 PM
Confidence is like 90% of the reason.
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03-06-2015 , 02:37 PM
You only remember the guys who wins in waves is all.

Playing live tournies is a venture you will never see your full ev play out even in a lifetime hence why live tourny results are lulz worthy n a indication of nothingness.
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03-06-2015 , 02:37 PM
what is lost is what is won
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03-06-2015 , 02:40 PM
There's a guy up there—some hamburger guy—that had his stand burned down last night. But he's still got a little stuff left, and for you people that still believe capitalism isn't that weird, you might help him out and buy a couple hamburgers.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 02:44 PM
^
Trying too hard?
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03-06-2015 , 02:47 PM
I've never won a wave before.

Where would you even put it?
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03-06-2015 , 02:53 PM
LOL DONKAMENTS
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03-06-2015 , 03:20 PM
Its called variance for every back to back winner their are 100 players who win one thing
or final table one event for the year. Sure skill matters, but luck plays a bigger part in these tournaments.
Why Do Wins Come in Waves? Quote
03-06-2015 , 03:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by everydaygrind
Confidence is like 90% of the reason.
+1

Winning flips is all about confidence.
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03-06-2015 , 04:00 PM
it's neither skill nor variance. It's choiceless awareness.
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03-06-2015 , 04:01 PM
Light travels in waves and so do wins therefore sleep with a night light on at all times.
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03-06-2015 , 04:01 PM
4 days ago i thought i had turned some corners and really had everything coming together

Today im not even playing cause im not even sure if i know how to play anymore

4 days ago FTs seemed easy

Today im questioning if ill ever see a final table again

DAMN WAVES
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