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"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? "We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right?

04-16-2016 , 10:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
$17.5B?

I thought it was $50B plus?
$17.5B was the principal amount of the investors' original investment.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 10:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by roddy
"As far as we know Durrrr is in 8 digit debt"

You don't seem to understand what I'm saying, we do know as fact Durrrr is still around playing high stakes. The gossip you're referring to we don't know, we also don't know his backers are "sketchy". Although I'm inclined to believe it, but give me facts over gossip any day.
This this this this this. Anyone any proof that Dwan is staked apart from some minging attempt at banter with the whole "Chinese Triads" thing?
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 10:10 AM
Banks also have assets to cover their liabilities even if they are less liquid than the deposits.

When there was a run on the UK's Northern Rock in 2007 the government had to put in 1.4 billion and take it into public ownership to stop the run. They eventually lost 400m on the deal when they sold it, though it was argued at the time they sold it too cheap.

This was a company with a 45 billion mortgage book though, so the loss from guaranteeing the deposits was a small fraction of the size of the business.

As a moderate libertarian obviously this isn't something that "should" happen, but the other choices
1) banks scrapping savings accounts and replacing them with long-term savings bonds you can't cash in or

2) banks only lending money very short term or with the right to call it in at short notice

seem worse than

3) the present state - banks taking deposits you can withdraw short term but giving long term loans you repay over years or decades,

even if 3) requires some form of government intervention.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 10:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
$17.5B?

I thought it was $50B plus?

Finding a lot of articles discussing how a lot of his victims still haven't been paid a dime. So, I'm not seeing much restitution here and the only guarantee I see is that they'll get "most" of their money back, but hardly ALL of it...the way Full Tilt players will receive.

Most of Madoffs victims won't see a dime. Every single Full Tilt player will see every single penny...not a Ponzi scheme. The situation with Madoff has concluded. The situation with Full Tilt is still ongoing.

You can talk about Ponzi schemes when Pokerstars defaults on restitution payments. Until then, there is no scheme.
"Most" of Madoff's victims wont see a dime yet every Full Tilt player will get every single player? There are more artful ways to avoid being proven wrong son.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 10:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pocket_zeros
"Most" of Madoff's victims wont see a dime yet every Full Tilt player will get every single player? There are more artful ways to avoid being proven wrong son.

I wasn't proven wrong. You didn't address half of my post. Particularly the part where most of Full Tilt's depositors willingly lost money on the site without even being remotely schemed into doing so the way they are in an actual Ponzi scheme. How were these people deceived, exactly?

The only reason this gets labeled as a Ponzi scheme is because your outdated 200 year old political system can't keep up with the times and create a new legal term to describe it. Which, is really what should happen.

Please explain how the majority of losing players who deposited money on this site were schemed into losing their money. If you can't then there is no "scheme." Trying to equate a poker site to an investment fund is ******ed. Your entire legal system in the US is ******ed.

I'm sorry, but Full Tilt was not scheming anyone into believing they would see a guaranteed return on their deposit the way actual Ponzi schemes do. 90% of the losing players who accounted for the majority of the money on the site we're not investing in anything, guy. They were willingly losing money without any deception taking place.

Last edited by LeakyChips; 04-16-2016 at 10:53 AM.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 10:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
I wasn't proven wrong. You didn't address half of my post. Particularly the part where most of Full Tilt's depositors willingly lost money on the site without even being remotely schemed into doing so the way they are in an actual Ponzi scheme. How were these people deceived, exactly?

The only reason this gets labeled as a Ponzi scheme is because your outdated 200 year old political system can't keep up with the times and create a new legal term to describe it. Which, is really what should happen.

Please explain how the majority of losing players who deposited money on this site were schemed into losing their money. If you can't then there is no "scheme."
What does a losing player have to do with the fact that Full Tilt did not properly segregate player funds? It's a gambling site - losing players are going to lose what they gamble. The question is whether Full Tilt properly segregated the funds that were on deposit and/or whether they had financial backstops to guarantee they could return all those funds to players. They couldn't. The only reason Full Tilt players got their money back was because there was a financial incentive for a competitor (PokerStars) to make those players whole, which was done to protect the industry and maintain the trust of players. The only reason Madoff investors are getting their money back is because the conservator found enough deep pockets in the industry to sue for their tacit enabling of Madoff's actions.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 11:05 AM
Because the money in the Full Tilt system wasn't acquired by deceiving depositors into believing that they would see a guaranteed return on their investment. In an actual Ponzi scheme the investors in the fund are deceptively guaranteed a profitable return on the investment. Hence, the term "scheme."

No such guarantee was ever made by Full Tilt and the fact that they didn't have enough funds in their system to cover player accounts doesn't make it a "Ponzi scheme" by default.

Is it financial fraud of some kind? Yes.

Is it a "Ponzi scheme?" Nope.

P.S. If a person was dumb enough to leave all their money on a poker site after the government started causing issues for online poker sites in 2006, then they deserve to have issues getting their money back. Only a naive child would think everything is fine with online poker after the biggest site in the world was kicked out of the market in 2006. I have no sympathy whatsoever for any player (myself included-I had $5k on Absolute Poker that I'll never see again) who kept money on an online poker site after 2006. Players had ample time to remove their funds to a more secure place and they possessed all the warning signs that would motivate them to do so.

Last edited by LeakyChips; 04-16-2016 at 11:23 AM.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 11:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
Because the money in the Full Tilt system wasn't acquired by deceiving depositors into believing that they would see a guaranteed return on their investment. In an actual Ponzi scheme the investors in the fund are deceptively guaranteed a profitable return on the investment. Hence, the term "scheme."

No such guarantee was ever made by Full Tilt and the fact that they didn't have enough funds in their system to cover player accounts doesn't make it a "Ponzi scheme" by default.

Is it financial fraud of some kind? Yes.

Is it a "Ponzi scheme?" Nope.

P.S. If a person was dumb enough to leave all their money on a poker site after the government started causing issues for online poker sites in 2006, then they deserve to have issues getting their money back. Only a naive child would think everything is fine with online poker after the biggest site in the world was kicked out of the market in 2006. I have no sympathy whatsoever for any player (myself included-I had $5k on Absolute Poker that I'll never see again) who kept money on an online poker site after 2006. Players had ample time to remove their funds to a more secure place and they possessed all the warning signs that would motivate them to do so.
Full Tilt claimed that all player funds were held in a segregated account, which by definition meant that 100% of funds would always be available for demand withdrawals. So there was a reasonable expectation by players that their money was safe.

Full Tilt instead those funds as a piggy bank for ongoing operating expenses and dividend payments. They expected future player deposits and the absence of a mass withdrawal to cover their illicit commingling activity. That by definition is a ponzi scheme.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 11:39 AM
I don't perceive degenerate gamblers paying for entertainment on a poker site that clearly operated in a legal grey area as "financial investors" hoping to gain a return on their deposit.

These were customers purchasing a product. No investments were made by these people. As a result, no "Ponzi scheme" took place. As investments need to take place in order for a "Ponzi scheme" to take place.

I've already said that I agree there was financial fraud, but I'll never agree that this was a Ponzi scheme because it wasn't. Just because you can present a few parallels between an actual Ponzi scheme and the situation with Full Tilt doesn't make the situation with FT a Ponzi scheme...it makes it a coincidence and nothing more.

Last edited by LeakyChips; 04-16-2016 at 11:46 AM.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 11:47 AM
How far off the tracks have we gotten since post #1????

You boys and your online pokerZZZ.....

(emphasis on the ZZZ as you guys are boring the crap out of what was a fun read)

Can you take it back to your containment thread please?
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 11:51 AM
Oh, I think the discussion is over trixie.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 11:56 AM
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 01:51 PM
Hey leaky chips. I played on FTP from 2006-2011 and did 6 figure bank wires every year from 2007-2010. I loved FTP and will always have fond memories of their site. However, what you post is not true on cash outs prior to Black Friday. I attempted to bank wire either 120k or 160k in both Jan and March of 2011, and was told both times they were having problems with their processors and to check back soon. I didn't think anything of it at the time because of of all prior smooth withdrawals, their god like status within online poker, and my immense love for the site itself. But the fact is I wasn't able to cash out in early 2011 as I had done for 4 straight years prior to 2011.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 02:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
I don't perceive degenerate gamblers paying for entertainment on a poker site that clearly operated in a legal grey area as "financial investors" hoping to gain a return on their deposit.

These were customers purchasing a product. No investments were made by these people. As a result, no "Ponzi scheme" took place. As investments need to take place in order for a "Ponzi scheme" to take place.

I've already said that I agree there was financial fraud, but I'll never agree that this was a Ponzi scheme because it wasn't. Just because you can present a few parallels between an actual Ponzi scheme and the situation with Full Tilt doesn't make the situation with FT a Ponzi scheme...it makes it a coincidence and nothing more.
No, they were paying for a service. There is no "product."

/nit
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-16-2016 , 02:21 PM
FTP was in a bad way before BF. There were problems with payouts before then.

And not everyone is getting repaid in full.

Basically LeakyChips, you're wrong.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-17-2016 , 01:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ItsAboutTimeIAte
Hey leaky chips. I played on FTP from 2006-2011 and did 6 figure bank wires every year from 2007-2010. I loved FTP and will always have fond memories of their site. However, what you post is not true on cash outs prior to Black Friday. I attempted to bank wire either 120k or 160k in both Jan and March of 2011, and was told both times they were having problems with their processors and to check back soon. I didn't think anything of it at the time because of of all prior smooth withdrawals, their god like status within online poker, and my immense love for the site itself. But the fact is I wasn't able to cash out in early 2011 as I had done for 4 straight years prior to 2011.
I don't care if you had problems. It doesn't make it a Ponzi scheme. I'm not arguing with anyone about financial fraud taking place.

Maybe, the government was screwing with processors. Technical difficulties are common for entities under investigation by US authorities.

Can I ask you...what went through your head after Party got kicked out of the USA in 2006? Did Black Friday seriously take you by surprise? The only thing that surprised me about Black Friday was the fact that it didn't happen much sooner.

Poker sites are only one area of focus for the government...they were focused on taking down a lot of sites. This all started in 2006. Cannabis horticulture sites were also being taken down starting in 2006. That's when Overgrow.net was taken down and the owners extraditied to the US. Now that poker sites are down they're focused on going after alternative media sites that promote conspiracy theories. The situation with poker sites was all part of a large plan by the government to take over the internet.

Poker players look at Black Friday being all about poker. In reality, that was just one tiny little step in a much larger plan.

Last edited by LeakyChips; 04-17-2016 at 01:39 AM.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-17-2016 , 03:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pocket_zeros
The FDIC insurance is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government. Not officially on paper but it became obvious as such after the 2008 financial crisis. There isn't anything on this planet that is worth more than that. If the US government were to fail you'll have a lot more problems than getting your money out of a bank.

$250K limit on the FDIC though. Just pointing out.



EDIT:

Also, Full Tilt was clearly not a ponzi scheme. A ponzi scheme is an actual defined thing with an actual specific definition. Full Tilt just didn't meet the definition. Ponzi scheme was said in press releases for what I assume are publicity reasons; people have heard of "ponzi scheme".

Last edited by Lego05; 04-17-2016 at 03:46 AM.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 12:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pocket_zeros
The difference is banks are supposed to use fractional reserve banking to borrow short and lend long - it's their approved and regulated business structure. It's not hidden from customers and any temporary shortfall is backfilled by the Federal Reserve and any permanent shortfall (insolvency) is backfilled by the FDIC.
If by the FDIC you mean tax payers then, yes, it's backfilled by the FDIC...
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 06:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
So, I take it the US government (or some other hedge fund) will be refunding all of Madoff's victims, then? Because that's "how a Ponzi scheme works" and all. At least that's how it's working in the Full Tilt situation as all of their players are being paid back.

Full Tilt will be the first "Ponzi scheme" in history where nobody loses any money. That's because it's not a Ponzi scheme. I could go on all day discussing how the circumstances surrounding Full Tilt's situation in no way reflects the circumstances surrounding documented Ponzi schemes. Least of which, this is a poker site where 90-95% of depositors lose their money after depositing and never expected a return on their investment as they do in an actual Ponzi scheme. None of these losing players were deceived at all.

I can simply prove this isn't a Ponzi scheme by linking you to the restitution thread where every single player is being paid back the money they had in the account. Nobody lost any money here...they simply lost access to it for a short amount of time. Again, this wouldn't take place in an actual Ponzi scheme. Every single player would be screwed.

Can you link me to the Madoff restitution thread? No, you can't...because that was an actual Ponzi scheme.

When Pokerstars took over Full Tilt they became Full Tilt. The situation continued on after this point. When Pokerstars starts to default on payments then you can call this a "Ponzi scheme." Until then...this in no way is a "Ponzi scheme."
Lol. Full Tilt was a Ponzi scheme. Lots of people lost money because of what happened. Stars paid the freight to keep players whole but that doesn't magically make it not a Ponzi scheme.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 07:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeakyChips
I don't care if you had problems. It doesn't make it a Ponzi scheme. I'm not arguing with anyone about financial fraud taking place.

Maybe, the government was screwing with processors. Technical difficulties are common for entities under investigation by US authorities.

Can I ask you...what went through your head after Party got kicked out of the USA in 2006? Did Black Friday seriously take you by surprise? The only thing that surprised me about Black Friday was the fact that it didn't happen much sooner.

Poker sites are only one area of focus for the government...they were focused on taking down a lot of sites. This all started in 2006. Cannabis horticulture sites were also being taken down starting in 2006. That's when Overgrow.net was taken down and the owners extraditied to the US. Now that poker sites are down they're focused on going after alternative media sites that promote conspiracy theories. The situation with poker sites was all part of a large plan by the government to take over the internet.

Poker players look at Black Friday being all about poker. In reality, that was just one tiny little step in a much larger plan.

Not everyone on the planet can see the hidden truths of reality as people like you see it. Sheeple gonna sheeple in the end, and all you can do to help is you continue talk about your predictions that you did not actually make before the fact. Perhaps with enough of that hindsight insight more people will finally understand your special grasp of how everything is interrelated.

Be sure to keep all the theories on yellow sticky notes so that the government cannot spy on them as they take over the internet, especially now that you have alerted them that you are onto them. You are that important, so you should take proper precautions.

All the best.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 08:58 AM
op wrote this 8 years after the fact so hellmuth was wrong
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 08:58 AM
Phils a pretty smart guy or must be to have all you idiots still following him or kissing his ass after making a fool out of all of us and at a mnimum promoting (therefor assisting) blatant theft by UB.

But **** it yeah lets keep talking about how good the guy is, why not
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 10:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PasswordGotHacked
Phils a pretty smart guy or must be to have all you idiots still following him or kissing his ass after making a fool out of all of us and at a mnimum promoting (therefor assisting) blatant theft by UB.

But **** it yeah lets keep talking about how good the guy is, why not
Yea. Not to mention, he was friends with Russ Hamilton, too.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 11:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by markksman
Lol. Full Tilt was a Ponzi scheme. Lots of people lost money because of what happened. Stars paid the freight to keep players whole but that doesn't magically make it not a Ponzi scheme.
Right, because people making financial transactions with a poker site had no idea that there was fraud involved when those transactions started showing up on their bank accounts as "golfballs" and "weddingphotos."

Those people DESERVED to lose their money for keeping that much on a shady poker site that handles transactions like that. They knew fraud was involved and had no business keeping that much money on the site in the first place. I have no sympathy for players that lost money on Full Tilt and I believe it's an insult to victims of actual Ponzi schemes to try to equate Full Tilt players to them.

Players were willing participants in the fraud (myself included), not victims. Go spout your "Full Tilt victims" whiney little b***h sob story to someone who gives a ....
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote
04-18-2016 , 01:15 PM
The main difference between ponzi schemes and fulltilt, is full tilt actually had revenue and the ability to exist indefinitely with a profitable business model. A ponzi scheme cannot.

Just because they paid out dividends in excess of their assets and/or retained earnings (I don't know the specifics of what they did), doesn't qualify it as a ponzi.

They look similar to the untrained eye, but they are very different. It's not fair to lump them in the same category.
"We'll see if you'll even be around in 5 years" Was Phil Hellmuth right? Quote

      
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