Quote:
Originally Posted by Bonified
If it was last hand in the session, definitely. Otherwise, it must depend how much time is left and what value there is in being there with say 50k for winning 1/4 for the rest of the session, which is all pretty hard to work out I would think.
He's got about a 27% chance under the circumstances to win one.
0.27 * $50,000 = $13,500
0.15 * $200,000 = $30,000
I know he has some chance to win 2,3 or 4 times in a row, but the better EV play was to run it once. Considering he has to give back $100k, it pretty much is a lock to go for the suckout. That tells you how much TV time is worth to people.