Quote:
Christoph Vogelsang opened for 90,000 in middle position, and Jake Schindler called on the button with 88. Pratyush Buddiga woke up with AA in the big blind and made it 400,000. Only Schindler called.
The flop came 87Q. Buddiga check-called 400,000. He check-called 750,000 more on the 3 turn, and the river was a 3. Buddiga checked again, and Schindler used a time extension before shoving all in. Buddiga thought long enough to use at least one extension and then decided to call. Schindler took in a massive pot worth about half of the chips in play.
Blinds 20k/40k
Vogelsang: ~40bbs
Schindler: ~100bbs
Buddiga: ~115bbs
This looks misplayed on every street.
Preflop - huge sizing is questionable here and it almost looks like he just wanted to take it down preflop. Vogelsang opens to 2.2bbs, Schindler flats, and Buddiga makes it 10bbs. I think raising to 7-8bbs (275k-325k) is more than enough and doesn't bloat the pot out of position quite so much.
Flop - Why check? This doesn't accomplish anything other than signal to your opponent you have a 1 pair hand trying to keep the pot small, or a whiffed AK/AJ. He immediately narrows his range and allows Schindler to put in the easy suck bet of 40% pot which Schindler knows Buddiga is calling 100% of the time.
Betting out 250-300k is better imo.
Turn - Meh, I guess calling here is ok, but Schindler's sizing is pretty scary. Most draws and one pair hands would check back in this spot with deep stacks. Hands that bet this size are weighted towards value imo. Calling again is ok as played since Buddiga's hand is so underrepped.
I think Buddiga should have bet 250-300k on the flop, then ~625k on the turn.
River - Check calling sucks, I don't think Schindler triple barrels off very often here (I see an American flag next to his name, not a German flag which is a snap-call).
I think bet/folding 1.1M is best hoping to get value from Qx hands