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Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post)

10-26-2020 , 03:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by George Rice
Like I said, it was an oversimplification. Questions could have been asked on direct examination that established that the poker community or his opponents now think him a cheat, and that warrants awarding the plaintiff damages. If his lawyers want to argue that the plaintiff has no way of knowing what his opponent's think (the point of the objection you raised), then they should avoid suggesting the opposite on direct. Otherwise they have opened the door for the defense to go there.

In the Postle case, they basically claim he was hurt financially because he now has a reputation as a cheater. So they have to go there to win on that point. If they has just filed slander per se and libel per se, maybe they could have avoided whether or not Postle knows what his opponents think.

The plaintiff presents his case first. So the defense will know what they're claiming, what evidence they have, how effective they were in their presentation, etc., and will adjust accordingly. Although most of this will be hashed out in the discovery phase.
they did file per se, iirc.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 03:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by George Rice
Like I said, it was an oversimplification. Questions could have been asked on direct examination that established that the poker community or his opponents now think him a cheat, and that warrants awarding the plaintiff damages. If his lawyers want to argue that the plaintiff has no way of knowing what his opponent's think (the point of the objection you raised), then they should avoid suggesting the opposite on direct. Otherwise they have opened the door for the defense to go there.

In the Postle case, they basically claim he was hurt financially because he now has a reputation as a cheater. So they have to go there to win on that point. If they has just filed slander per se and libel per se, maybe they could have avoided whether or not Postle knows what his opponents think.

The plaintiff presents his case first. So the defense will know what they're claiming, what evidence they have, how effective they were in their presentation, etc., and will adjust accordingly. Although most of this will be hashed out in the discovery phase.
I am not a lawyer, but iirc they did file per se. I expect his case will be, "they called me a crook, I'm not a crook, book 'em Dano."
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 04:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by inmyrav
I am not a lawyer, but iirc they did file per se. I expect his case will be, "they called me a crook, I'm not a crook, book 'em Dano."
Yes they did, but not only that. The other claims will require them to prove damages.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 04:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Why
The sheer volume of legal costs compared to the comparatively small damages that could be won make this a case where a quiet mutual dropping of the action would be best all round, as Postle is the lowest form of poker life, but even so he is not worth risking potential bankruptcy over, and from his point of view he has a moral victory that nothing has ever been proven against him.

It is all so fascinating, as there is not a single reputable figure who has come out in support of him, and his legal team seem to have minimal visible credentials in defamation cases, or understanding poker, whereas the wide range of people he has attacked have a massive support and knowledge network. I estimate it 90% likely he would win a case, just because those attacking him were so swayed by emotion they overlooked the need to get evidence to support their accusations.
I agree That too many people have already been hurt and all sides should walk away. No one should face anything more than ridicule for what they write on the internets.

If the suit is even real.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 04:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by George Rice
Yes they did, but not only that. The other claims will require them to prove damages.
Yeah but that's the pea shooter, not the cannon. per se is the cannon.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 06:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by inmyrav
Yeah but that's the pea shooter, not the cannon. per se is the cannon.
I don't understand your point. Including all those other claims is where the big money is, potentially.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 08:08 PM
Maybe the defamation prevented him from making a living in crooked cards games.

Is he a poker player or a card sharp? He said he was one of the biggest winners on UB.

Does he know how to play? Can he beat an honest game? On the games one the stream, he didn't 3! premium hands in a very loose game. Although he won big anyway, that cost him tremendous EV.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 09:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
On the games one the stream, he didn't 3! premium hands in a very loose game. Although he won big anyway, that cost him tremendous EV.
Are you suggesting it's almost as if the cards of the other players hadn't registered yet and he wanted to wait for that information and to see the flop before committing one way or the other? Couldn't be.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-26-2020 , 09:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by George Rice
Are you suggesting it's almost as if the cards of the other players hadn't registered yet and he wanted to wait for that information and to see the flop before committing one way or the other? Couldn't be.
Even if he knew the hole cards, it would be better to build the pot with a premium hand.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-28-2020 , 03:15 PM
Non-Update: I looked at the docket today. No further activity since the oct 8 entry of a blank summons form.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-28-2020 , 06:05 PM
got my settlement check in the mail woohoo
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-28-2020 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ejames209
got my settlement check in the mail woohoo
sell out
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-28-2020 , 06:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PLIKITYPLAK
sell out
you're not wrong!
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 02:10 PM
I hope Postle collects from everyone involved. Especially from polk and ingram. There should be consequences for destroying a persons reputation and ability to generate income with no proof. they all went to far imo. I hope they all pay.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 02:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by executiveauto
I hope Postle collects from everyone involved. Especially from polk and ingram. There should be consequences for destroying a persons reputation and ability to generate income with no proof. they all went to far imo. I hope they all pay.
They did not destroy his reputation, or remove his ability to generate income.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 02:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by executiveauto
I hope Postle collects from everyone involved. Especially from polk and ingram. There should be consequences for destroying a persons reputation and ability to generate income with no proof. they all went to far imo. I hope they all pay.
How are there still "Postle is innocent" trolls? wtf
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 04:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by persianpunisher
How are there still "Postle is innocent" trolls? wtf
The join dates of such people tell me they're either friends of Postle himself, or people who missed out on the year-plus of research done by dozens of people.

But yeah, it's pretty insane. Figure that it's one of the few things on which both Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu agree, so being firmly on the side of Postle being clean puts a person pretty far into the weeds.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 06:43 PM
The problem all along was that people confused - and still confuse - suspicion as being as strong as actual evidence. Marle Cordeiro's case was rejected on jurisdiction grounds, but when one reads the case against Postle, there is suspicion, but no evidence. The accusation "She further alleges that defendant suspiciously folded a strong hand, allegedly because he was aware that plaintiff’s hand was stronger." is such a weak example, as he would doubtless counter he had a read on her, and it feels more like clutching at straws to build a case, rather than being a decisive example of his cheating.

While playing in these live games, defendant won more money than any other participant. Plaintiff alleges that defendant was being fed the other players’ hands, apparently through his cell phone device, which defendant kept between his legs during these games. From July 18, 2018, to September 29, 2019, defendant allegedly recorded net winnings in more than 94% of the games in which he played, becoming an in-house celebrity.

Plaintiff alleges that defendant was able to achieve these results by engaging in a pattern and practice of using one or more wire communication mechanisms to defraud his opponents by gaining knowledge of the other players’ cards. Plaintiff has participated in a Stones live poker game with defendant at least once. She further alleges that defendant suspiciously folded a strong hand, allegedly because he was aware that plaintiff’s hand was stronger.


So although the few defenders of Postle (notable by their average single figure number of 2+2 posts) have no credibility, they do actually have a point, as like it or not, to date there has been no proven cheating by Postle, and his accusers are still not certain how he cheated.

Here in the UK people learned the hard way that one should preface accusations with the word "alleged", that is something that would be good practice for his accusers to follow, as at the moment he has effectively gagged public debate about the cheating allegations against him.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 08:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Why
Here in the UK people learned the hard way that one should preface accusations with the word "alleged", that is something that would be good practice for his accusers to follow, as at the moment he has effectively gagged public debate about the cheating allegations against him.
For journalists reporting on allegations made by others, they make use of the word alleged to prevent themselves being accused of making the allegations themselves. If you make an allegation about someone, it's not like using the word "alleged" is a get out of jail free card, you will still need to substantiate the allegations or the injured party might have cause to come after you.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 09:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Why
The problem all along was that people confused - and still confuse - suspicion as being as strong as actual evidence. Marle Cordeiro's case was rejected on jurisdiction grounds, but when one reads the case against Postle, there is suspicion, but no evidence. The accusation "She further alleges that defendant suspiciously folded a strong hand, allegedly because he was aware that plaintiff’s hand was stronger." is such a weak example, as he would doubtless counter he had a read on her, and it feels more like clutching at straws to build a case, rather than being a decisive example of his cheating.

While playing in these live games, defendant won more money than any other participant. Plaintiff alleges that defendant was being fed the other players’ hands, apparently through his cell phone device, which defendant kept between his legs during these games. From July 18, 2018, to September 29, 2019, defendant allegedly recorded net winnings in more than 94% of the games in which he played, becoming an in-house celebrity.

Plaintiff alleges that defendant was able to achieve these results by engaging in a pattern and practice of using one or more wire communication mechanisms to defraud his opponents by gaining knowledge of the other players’ cards. Plaintiff has participated in a Stones live poker game with defendant at least once. She further alleges that defendant suspiciously folded a strong hand, allegedly because he was aware that plaintiff’s hand was stronger.


So although the few defenders of Postle (notable by their average single figure number of 2+2 posts) have no credibility, they do actually have a point, as like it or not, to date there has been no proven cheating by Postle, and his accusers are still not certain how he cheated.

Here in the UK people learned the hard way that one should preface accusations with the word "alleged", that is something that would be good practice for his accusers to follow, as at the moment he has effectively gagged public debate about the cheating allegations against him.
UK law and American law on this is miles apart. You should really know that basic fact before making these kinds of posts.

Marle not knowing UK is as unsurprising as her liking Alex Jones though, not sad at all she lost, even to Postle. Guess she can't dump another 6 figures in high stakes games when they could barely beat 2/5.

Last edited by aoFrantic; 10-31-2020 at 10:04 PM.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
10-31-2020 , 11:31 PM
Everything is evidence, especially when you quantify it. Not talking legally here, but scientifically. Feelings like "the winrate is too high" or "that's an odd fold" are reasons for suspicion.

Someday, hopefully, the exact win rate will be quantified and compared, along with the sample size and the standard deviation for MP alleged godmode sessions, MP non-godmode, and all the other players. That's evidence, but just one piece. Add in other evidence like behavior at the table, certain action frequencies, and you can build a case. Lots of people were convicted or found responsible for things without knowing exactly how they did it, but it takes a lot to do that. The Marle complaint is ridiculously inadequate if that's all it was.

I'd also like to see an analysis of how often he was dealt premium hands, how often he hit the flop, hit draws, etc. I'm expecting these to be not terribly out of line, as the videos do not show him being on a card heater, which is what most non-players will think of when they say maybe he was just lucky, that's why he won so much.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
11-01-2020 , 12:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimM
Everything is evidence, especially when you quantify it. Not talking legally here, but scientifically. Feelings like "the winrate is too high" or "that's an odd fold" are reasons for suspicion.
Yeah, this. The results are evidence.

An extreme (and stylized) hypothetical would be someone offering an even-money bet that he can flip a coin 30 times and get 30 tails. You snap call, only to watch as he pulls off the feat right before your eyes. You may not have any idea how he's doing it, but the outcome by itself would be evidence of shenanigans, simply because it's almost literally a billion-to-one shot.

Of course, what Postle accomplished is not nearly as mathematically improbable, but it was still unlikely enough for knowledgeable poker people to look crook-eyed at it. I say it all the time, it's why experienced poker players are certain he was cheating, and the doubters tend to be either donks or poker muggles.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
11-01-2020 , 12:16 AM
No news about Galfond?

Man I hate these marketing stunts. No reason to for him to put himself to this, but when he did then no news is really bad conduct.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
11-01-2020 , 12:21 AM
His company is named in the defamation suit. Of course he is quiet now.

The good news is now he has every incentive to quietly continue work on the stats.
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote
11-01-2020 , 12:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimM
His company is named in the defamation suit. Of course he is quiet now.

The good news is now he has every incentive to quietly continue work on the stats.
Have he said so?
Mike Postle cheating allegations (FAQ in first post) Quote

      
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