Quote:
Proof is the winrate per hour at the low stakes. This is impossible, both mathematically and by experience. The could take random 100 floorman of pokerrooms and ask if they have ever seen anything like this is in their career. If you included the one from Stones Casino you would have a 1/99 and what would that tell you. You could up that number to 1000 and you would have the same result. Take a selection of professors in mathematics, some professional pokerplayers which everyone knows is winning like Robl etc. This case is so easy that any lawyer can win it.
Think you are correct though, because doing anything else than settling is beyond stupid. However with how this operation have been going on I would not bet huge amount on it since there seems like everyone related to the Stones Casino is in some sort of selfproclaimed God mode.
No offense but I hope the lawyer of the frauded people is not arguing like this... What does mathematically impossible even mean.. Its statistically unlikely.
Postles lawyer could pick up on these arguments saying stuff like "having a royal flush is x%. Having two royal flush in 10min of play is x% very unlikely, still happening". I say this caus today I read an article of a guy on twitch having this happen to him.
He could show videos of other famous hands, like the robl Antonio's hand in PLO where robl wins 4 runs and which was iirc <0.1%, just to show that people get lucky etc.
It all depends on how it is presented to the jury... And a dry math professor explaining variance etc might be counterproductive.
Also they could say, that postle played elsewhere and lost during that time etc. There is no hands on evidence so far. It is quite obvious that he cheats, but it was also quite obvious that OJ is guily... Though he came free.
But what this lawsuit might accomplish, is that it will maybe frighten Postles helpers. So someone might get scared and will talk, which would obviously be a Gigantic plus to convince the jury.
I still think and hope that a jury will be smart enough to understand, but the case is not a super hammer slam dunk insta win imo.