This is the legal/obstruction of justice version of the poker player who plays like a maniac pre-flop and then turns into the perfect God mode player post-flop. Both things don't exist.

$200k criminals do not carefully, successfully, and without leaving any evidence trail, obstruct justice.

Correct.

And you overlay video of his actions from before 7/18/18 with a giant poster of his tiny winnings.

And you overlay video of his actions from after 7/18/18 with a giant poster of his large winnings

Suspicious?

100% I would be leaving the site unless they ban the player right away

there's a reason i only play stars atm lol

I am a civil litigator. But civil litigators use expert testimony and complex statistical evidence too.

And I think the error you make (and I think it's actually a whopper of an error) is assuming that in any way this case is nothing more than a morass of statistics. This case is actually EASIER to explain than many federal financial fraud cases, and the DOJ routinely wins those despite facing the best defense attorneys around.

If you are actually an experienced prosecutor (and I have no doubt you are), I am very shocked that you see this case as complex. This case is NOT dependent on statistics. It's dependent on things juries understand perfectly well, such as the presence or absence of cell phones, looking at the crotch, friends being in and out of town, and bulges in the hats. You are acting like what the prosecutor would do here is spend days explaining poker statistics to a jury. But only the dumbest prosecutor would do that here. You don't have to, and it's not the way to win cases like this.

Who exactly observed Mike Postle crushing over a decent sample of hands?

We need to get Joey on Joe rogan once everything's out. Think it would be great to get the story out there if Mike doesn't get in trouble with the law.

What's the most popular theory?

I saw Harlan doing the same thing to a guy in a hand with Mike. Probably just a coincidence they both lined up with the cards while texting.

I play PLO 100 and 200 on stars and we're only what, 4ish years from bots taking 1.5 million out of those games so...

Dream: anyone watching the stream/going over the hands now? People like Veronica who grew suspicious and got this ball rolling?

What a load of ****ing nonsense. How is this helping anything?

Agreed. I'm not going to say it's impossible something is up, but it doesn't seem especially likely to me. If their commentary was part of their being "in on it", they're terrible accomplices.

Great points but...

Why aren't we hearing anything from these guys right now?

if I was accused/suspect of cheating and was innocent I would give all possible information that would innocent me right away

nah, plenty of uninformed morons still feel super inclined to chime in with their worthless opinions

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vaF...outu.be&t=1167

Like the commentators, I watch this and go 'wtf?!' lol

Question about the RFID excuse:

Watch from around 21:40.

He never turns his cards over. He throws them straight in the muck.
They land infront of the dealer face down. The dealer scoops up all cards.
The RFID computer has registered the cards as 88.

So how does anyone decide that the computer is wrong and they think it is now exactly '78'? This is a lie.
If the RFID doesn't know the cards, and noone else saw the cards, then there is no other information.
I think that he did have 88.


Here they are later discussing that same hand:
https://youtu.be/0vaF0kwjQhg?t=1505

"So Rita's asking why the call on the river if he knows he's beat?"

25:25 Kasey: "Justin just said he didn't have 88, he had 78"

It's not necessarily Justin's idea.
Either someone on the team told Justin this fake info, to relay it to Kasey, or the idea came out of Justin's head.

Why can he not? Is there a law against it? Will it trigger an immune response?

I think there are people who would put him in just to see how he does. I would if I had money (one reason why ...)!

Mike Matusow gets stakes from the best players in the world.

Some of them are talking, but you haven't noticed because they don't have highly visible platforms.

Also, aside from Justin Kuraitis, are any of them really being accused of cheating? I doubt any of them feel a sense of urgency to defend themselves against anything.

We haven't heard from any of them though. Theres no way they are all in on it and it went on this long. Safe to assume the casino/lawyers contacted all the announcers and people working on the show and told them not to talk publicly about any of this.

There's a sucker born every minute.

This looks similar to the blue background from berkeys video from today. The blue background is used from the feed. When mike clicks his phone on here, he quickly turns it back off. Odd because he isnt checking the time on his phone or anything like that. Hes just staring at the blue background that i presume is what the feed he was getting with hole cards looked like.

My instinct based on all I've seen is that it's two or three including Mike.

I doubt any of the regular commentators are in on it. Why split the cash with any of the people that are not needed to run the operation. Also the conspirators would likely know to keep the circle very small because loose lips sink ships. They might be way dumber than I think [don't answer that ] but if more than three were in on it I would think they would realize the risk of getting caught rises exponentially.


and this:

The most natural reaction from the commentators or anyone affiliated with Stones is to publicly downplay the possibility of cheating having occurred in their house. This posture, especially when clumsily communicated by JFK, has the effect of making them seem complicit. Not saying they couldn’t be, but their public response (washing social media, etc) is not very good evidence of it.

The only two possibilities if cheating is happening (1) their system is compromised; or (worse) (2) their people are compromised are extremely bad for business. They don’t want to say a damn thing now until they have conducted a thorough review. They tried to do a quick “investigation” in the hopes it would blow over. When it didn’t they find themselves in a tricky spot: if they don’t find anything they subject themselves to further negligence claims. And that’s the better outcome.

That's a real big "if" and wouldn't it be much easier to simply watch the live feed? Also, that doesn't explain why Mike can't see cards when players' cards aren't picked up by the room's RFID system.

Also, phones weren't allowed to be out much in the later days and wouldn't it be pretty obvious some dude keeps pointing his phone at your cards? How does he do his magic when he's in pots with 5 other players? He watches the feed or someone else is watching it for him.

Justin and 100% of the commentators aren't suspicious at all I take it all back.

He can't be trusted to pay the money back. Apparently, Mike Matusow can.

As a civil litigator you present your cases based on the preponderance of evidence standard. And certainly from a civil litigation perspective, high winrates and oddly looking at ones phone can be enough to win a civil trial. But a criminal trial obviously requires a different standard. I don't know if this (as a criminal trial) would be "complex" per se. However, if the only evidence a prosecutor has is high winrates and odd behavior, is that sufficient to meet the criminal standard? I really don't know. But if I'm a prosecutor and put out for the court that MP is looking oddly at his phone and postulate he is receiving information about other players' hole cards: I would want to be able to show with evidence that my theory is actually true.

How many 1-3 / 2-5 crushers (there are many) have survived the move up to higher stakes, even 5-10? Andrew Neeme? no. Jeff Boski? no the list is long of people stuck at low stakes, unable to move up, so desperate to get out of a tight life spot they're making youtube videos. Good on them!

But to suggest he just MOVE UP overlooks the reality that this 1-3 plays much higher occasionally, just with guys who are fish in 1-3. You'd really move up in this pond?

His explanations sound off in my opinion -- but I'm not good at reading off. Nothing coming from Postle has mitigated the accusations against him so far as my opinion can tell.

Also, I want to add in case Postle is reading this: stop talking. This is common sense even though I am not a professional anything. Get a lawyer too, but imo first stop talking. Whether you are innocent or guilty.