Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register

12-27-2023 , 04:55 PM
My book is coming tomorrow and I’m excited to get it. I really don’t enjoy no limit hold em that much but it is the most widely available game so I play it more than I’d prefer and have done ok (basically play it when decent limit games are not available or I don’t feel like traveling to play them). That said I have plenty of room to improve and given my history of reading 2p2 books I am fairly certain it will be worth far more than 22 bucks for me (and basically anyone that ever plays 1-3 or 2-5 and wants to do better). Look forward to giving my thoughts after I get a chance to read it.
Quote
12-27-2023 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
First, if you are using internet experience to guess as to how live 1-3 players play, you are almost certainly overestimating them.

Second, you are not saying that they will bet into you more often if you raise than if you limp, are you? Yes, those bets detract from the added benefit of getting checked to when you raise. But it doesn't negate the almost purely logical conclusion that having everyone be in for six usually means about double the EV for three. You are saying that their reraises need not be with premium hands, but I have always said that as well. if you are in a game where that is frequently going on, you don't make the play (especially not with a high proportion of your hands since that might encourage lots of reraises. )
I agree live fish will play worse (preflop) than internet fish but that means more reverse implied odds not less for 76s.

I'm thinking of all the scenario's where 76s get's stacked. Surely a fish will not fold any QJ offsuit or suited correct? So any T98 board we are probably going to get stacked.

Any board where we flop/turn/river a lower flush we probably get stacked. And there are very few boards where we will cooler our opponent. We will need to be very disciplined in folding flushes versus river aggression if we raise 76s preflop.

But I don't think you can have a strong opinion either way unless you prove it with data.

I'm still looking forward to the book but I'm just relaying my concerns with raising a weak hand like 76s preflop vs a bunch of limpers.
Quote
12-27-2023 , 08:27 PM
The cost of raising preflop with 76s otb makes it a worse play than limping. It is not more +EV to raise it.
Quote
12-27-2023 , 08:34 PM
Yeah, the current theory, which can't be based on GTO, but maybe partly on simulations and data, is that pps and Axs are strong in these loose games because they can make the nuts or close. Low suited connectors and gappers are weaker like 5-way than HU, because you make worse flushes, worse straights, worse trips, and worse 2-pairs. It is similar to why 8765 is not a very good PLO hand.
Quote
12-27-2023 , 08:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
Yeah, the current theory, which can't be based on GTO, but maybe partly on simulations and data, is that pps and Axs are strong in these loose games because they can make the nuts or close. Low suited connectors and gappers are weaker like 5-way than HU, because you make worse flushes, worse straights, worse trips, and worse 2-pairs. It is similar to why 8765 is not a very good PLO hand.
Yes this.
Quote
12-27-2023 , 09:37 PM
So to break it down to the authors of the book

A hand has three options

Raise
Call
Folding is neutral or zero EV

We are saying that the EV of limping 76s otb and keeping pot small and ranges wide is higher than raising and playing a hand versus the Remaining callers if any. The reason this is , is that low stakes live cash players overvalue large suited hands pre, like Q3s, and will correctly have pot odds to continue versus us after they limp
Quote
12-27-2023 , 11:26 PM
Two authors think it is a good play, so it can't be that bad. Raising reasonably large with 76s on the button has value even if it might be slightly ev- on the hand. It makes you harder to read, and may give you action etc. You can have low cards after raising. It plays pretty well against 2 high card hands with deception, position, and initiative. Maybe better than against 5 mostly marginal hands, where you are more likely to make dominated good hands. The ev of limping the button with it is positive, but slight. If you are making pot builder raises, I would save them for hands with more ev.
Quote
12-27-2023 , 11:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
Two authors think it is a good play, so it can't be that bad. Raising reasonably large with 76s on the button has value even if it might be slightly ev- on the hand. It makes you harder to read, and may give you action etc. You can have low cards after raising. It plays pretty well against 2 high card hands with deception, position, and initiative. Maybe better than against 5 mostly marginal hands, where you are more likely to make dominated good hands. The ev of limping the button with it is positive, but slight. If you are making pot builder raises, I would save them for hands with more ev.
If the whole idea is that we're playing against a bunch of fish, then trying to be harder to read or having board coverage are two things that really don't matter.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 12:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
If the whole idea is that we're playing against a bunch of fish, then trying to be harder to read or having board coverage are two things that really don't matter.
Yeah, but 1/3 players who are paying attention may put the preflop raiser on a narrow range, and you will rarely get 3-bet, so it doesn't cost you that much to mix it up a little.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 05:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
Yeah, the current theory, which can't be based on GTO, but maybe partly on simulations and data, is that pps and Axs are strong in these loose games because they can make the nuts or close. Low suited connectors and gappers are weaker like 5-way than HU, because you make worse flushes, worse straights, worse trips, and worse 2-pairs. It is similar to why 8765 is not a very good PLO hand.
I disagree with this simply because reads matter a lot in these games. A lot. There are hands where I am sticking it in with thr bottom part of the straight and ones where I am folding instantly without much thought.

These games are populated with players who will often play with their hands face up. Why pass up opportunities against them with hands that would be suboptimal against better players?
Quote
12-28-2023 , 05:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Fish stacks on average are much smaller than reg stacks so stacks will very likely be below the buyin amount.

But even if stacks were big I'm pretty sure this isn't true. You would rather raise a hand like A4s to outflush someone or a pocket pair to hit a set. Suited connectors will get outflushed too often (because fish will call too many higher suited cards) and players will have you dominated as well with hands like A7s/K6s.

You also will have lower SPR (Stack to Pot Ratio) so when you do raise preflop and hit a draw (either OESD/FD) it will be hard to get away from your hand. Implied odd hands drawing to the worse flushes/straight's don't do well vs a fish's calling range when multiplied. You want pocket pairs and Nut Flush Draw type hands.

The one exception to this rule is JTs because every time it makes a straight, it is the nut straight.

I think this analysis overlooks the fact that fish will often pay off weak flushes with two pair or even weaker hands.

Fish find it really hard to fold.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 05:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chillrob
Guys, AQo isn't some monster hand. Why don't some of you with big online databases show us what your long term results are with AQo in EP and see if it would have caused any significant drop in your win rate if it had been folded every time.
Especially in games where an EP raise is going to be called in 3 or 4 (or 5 or 6) spots.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 05:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
In my previous book The Theory of Poker Applied To No Limit I proved mathematically, via a toy game, that it is not always better to bet the same amount regardless of the strength of your hand even in heads up games (even when the opponent knows your strategy and knows that the larger bet will only be a bluff or the best hands.) Page 251.

At these levels your bet sizes should have absolutely nothing to do with disguising your hand and everything to do with the strength of your hand.

At these levels I am not trying to hide the strength of my hand so much as make it so opponents will find it that they cannot fold post-flop if they hit a mediocre hand.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 06:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfan655
Dude I said a million times I was criticizing the guy who played 6000 hours - doing something for 6000 hours is not a hobby. I think a lot of the people in this thread are getting triggered as they have low hourlies and I'm smacking people with a reality check - if you're on these forums you're an above average player already with some level of intelligence. Pursue the game to a higher level - don't just grind low stakes forever and always wonder if you could of made it.
You are still missing the point.

Some people don't play higher than $1/$3 because of skill. It is because they don't want to.

They aren't wondering if they could have made it. They simply do not care. They play because they find it fun and a distraction from "life". Literally no desire to challenge themselves at higher levels.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 06:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
There are plenty of games where three or four players play pretty well.
Of course. No argument.

There are also many tables where only 1 or 2 obvious players play well enough to recognize you limped with KK and they might not even be skilled enough to adjust.

Understanding the skill level of your opponents is the whole point of exploitative poker.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 06:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
I read mostly the preflop part. From what I read of the rest, I think the postflop part is better and more conventional.
....

They suggest limping in loosely to take advantage of postflop mistakes.
These type of games are generally all about post-flop play. Post flop are where the biggest bets are (hence the biggest mistakes).
Quote
12-28-2023 , 10:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CodyBLAHHH
I just assume that any people insinuating that the math guys have never heard of game theory are trolls/idiots/both. With that said, does anyone really want this take? If we are going to get the old school math guys to write something wouldn't it make more sense to be their take on current meta/post solver world than "How Do To The Obvious but by Meeeeeeeee (I wrote the theory on this but let's minimize it to the lowest common denominator because things and stuff!"?
How dare someone write a book on how to beat games that actually exist, rather than your theoretical everyone playing perfectly and losing to rake games that don't
Quote
12-28-2023 , 10:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimL
You are still missing the point.

Some people don't play higher than $1/$3 because of skill. It is because they don't want to.

They aren't wondering if they could have made it. They simply do not care. They play because they find it fun and a distraction from "life". Literally no desire to challenge themselves at higher levels.
You're not grasping the 6000 hours - it didn't sound like this was over a 10-20 year period, this sounded more recent. But it really doesn't matter - everyone has an opinion I just wouldn't waste my time like that.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfan655
You're not grasping the 6000 hours - it didn't sound like this was over a 10-20 year period, this sounded more recent. But it really doesn't matter - everyone has an opinion I just wouldn't waste my time like that.
It’s been about ten years maybe more
Quote
12-28-2023 , 01:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimL
These type of games are generally all about post-flop play. Post flop are where the biggest bets are (hence the biggest mistakes).
Limping in with sort of junk may work if you are an old school limit player who is really good at reading donks, but it doesn't work for everyone.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 02:42 PM
There is an error on the back cover. The end of the title says "Let Them Give You" rather than "Help Them Give You".
Quote
12-28-2023 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfan655
You're not grasping the 6000 hours - it didn't sound like this was over a 10-20 year period, this sounded more recent. But it really doesn't matter - everyone has an opinion I just wouldn't waste my time like that.
If you had bothered to read this thread instead of just pounding the same point over and over, you would have seen that he actually clarified that it over about 15 years.
That's about one 7 hour session per week.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 06:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
There is an error on the back cover. The end of the title says "Let Them Give You" rather than "Help Them Give You".
Thanks. I've fixed it.

Mason
Quote
12-28-2023 , 09:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker

Okay so I reached out to a 3rd party (who will not be named unless he wants too) to confirm all of the math in my private conversations with Sklansky. This 3rd party is an expert in poker theory and formulas and I asked him to double check all of the math and equations in this example.

Here is the example:



Guess what? Sklansky's math is 100% accurate and correct.

But here is the problem: The only way to understand how he communicates this math, is if you are an expert yourself (this is a huge problem).

Problem #1

Statement from Sklansky: Your EV is 55% of the pot, whether you call or you fold. This is poorly worded and will confuse amateurs.

You can't win 55% of the pot by folding.

Translating Sklansky (this could be a book unto itself):

What Sklansky meant is that your EV is 55% of pot BEFORE they bet (because they check/give up 55% of hands) and 0% facing the GTO Bet.

Again, you can't interpret this unless you an expert and are well versed in theory------->the exact opposite of the target demographic.

My best advice for future books would be to use formulas and make the formulas as easy and accessible as possible.

Disclaimer: The above was relayed to me by an expert who assured me ALL of the math is sound and correct, the only problem is in the presentation and the communication of the content.

Happy Holidays!
If you needed to consult an "expert" to help you with simple math that any normal kid masters in middle school, you are incapable of providing meaningful criticism of anything having to do with poker strategy.

I read The Theory of Poker more than 20 years ago, before I walked into a public cardroom for my first session of 4/8 limit. I certainly was no "expert" as a complete novice, and I already understood this stuff.

You have mountains of data, but show no signs of intelligence whatsoever. No one should pay any attention to your nonsense.
Quote
12-28-2023 , 10:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mason Malmuth

In a $1-$3 no-limit game, David was dealt the

K K

two positions to the right of the button. The first four players limped in and David only called. The next two players folded, the small blind called, and the big blind checked.

I limped A A early in a 1-2NL game as there a an active raiser to $15 behind me. Sure enough, he made it $15, he got 3 callers by the time it got back to me. I made it $100 and only the first caller tanked called. Flop came T 8 6 with one heart. I shoved $120 effective. He tanked and called with Ah Qh. Turn & river was 33 and I won. I was shocked I got both the preflop and post flop call.
Quote

      
m