http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/19...87/index6.html

That is the link to Jman (galfond) vs Boosted J's heads up battle at 25/50 3+ years ago.

After 1,200 hands JMAN was +$5,000
1,500 hands in it was dead even $0
3,000 hands in JMAN was -$45,000
6,500 hands in JMAN was +$15,000
11,500 hands in JMAN was +$32,000
16,000 hands in JMAN was +$50,000
18,000 hands in JMAN was +$90,000
21,000 hands in JMAN was +$20,000

So half-way through the match, both of them were within 5 buy-ins of each other, after each of them being up at least $45k (9 BIs) at one point. They ended up quitting and calling off the match.

My point: The swings in this are going to be absolutely nutso, and if anyone thinks these first few sessions indicate anything in either player's direction, you're insane. It'd be ridiculous for anyone to jump to ANY kind of conclusion at this point whatsoever.

I think you may be making the same fallacy you're claiming everyone else is making ducy?

facepalm.jpg

LOL soooo true

EV Graph pls

so based on a small sample of 7k hands no one should make any judgements?

but based on a HUUUUUUUUUGE sample of 21k hands we should see clearly that the durrrr/jungle challenge will have sick swings back and forth guaranteed and the lead will shift between them repeatedly right?


good to know.

Session and overall number updated

http://www.fulltiltpoker.com/poker-f...rrrr-challenge

did they play anything after those 5k hands?

What am i "claiming"? I've said since post 1 that I think people will underestimate the swings in this match. I also was quoted as saying that "I don't think 50k hands will be enough to be a true indicator, unless one of them has a huge edge over the other, which I don't believe either do. At least they're running it twice to help battle variance".

I just don't think an 8 buy-in swing is a lot at all in this match (and the Jman/Boosted match is a testament to that)... although most are up in arms.

I said "don't jump to conclusions"

Of course if durrr is donk calling a 4-straight board with 7 high on the river, a judgment can be made about his play. But I'm really failing to understand why a lot of people in this thread are making statements like, "this is over", "this challenge is finished" (conclusive remarks). It's pure idiocy.

Like I said, I don't think many people in here believe either of them have a massive edge over the other (does anyone at these limits?)... yet there's dozens of replies in here failing to attribute variance to anything 7k hands in.

lol easier to write, but u obv hope he is gaypoker cuz ur gay2. that said, fu

? don't see them playing

Curious to see the impact on the sessions running and FTP traffic spikes

I would guess a negligible affect.

62/38 for 7000 hands may be a pretty strong indicator of an edge.......not to mention previous matchups

according to hsdb 956 hands jungleman +148K

have a really really good feeling that this will be happening again tonight. the good thing is that its not like durrrr is countdown to busto. he had that +500k day playing omaha which i think could help his mentality knowing he is only 200k in the hole instead of 700k. i know it would help mine but im obv not a high stakes player




like i said, i think durrrr will have funds in his account tonight and be ready to go! lol

One of the many data requests I have into the FTP bean counters.

It's got to be psychologically -EV to be constantly short online and having to split tables, reload, etc all the time. I thought the same thing during the isildur battles. Why doesn't durrrr just put like 50 BI's in his account and play?

Jungleman is such a beast, and he's prolly gonna win this challenge with a significant margin (like 2M or so)...
I think Jungleman vs Sauce or URnotINdanger2 would have been a closer match although its fun with the "Old king of nlhu" vs "New king of nlhu" aspect of the game

25.000$ isn't different than $25 DUCY?

I've been playing professionally for years and I was dumbfounded for like 20 minutes by 9-high

It's actually pretty tricky.

thread needs more shoops imo

it is in Euroland yo

(d) Durrrr did not send $0.02 to kidpoker