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DN/Ivey Bracelet bet

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05-13-2014 , 11:32 PM

KeepEvolving

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 401

DN posted on twitter that he is giving even odds at wether or not him or Ivey win a bracelet. Min wager 5k- max wager 1 million. Only summer Vegas events count.
Thoughts????? At even odds, I believe there is too much value to pass this up. I don't think that they will do it.

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05-13-2014 , 11:46 PM

Go Get It

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 12,529

As much as I believe you, link?

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05-13-2014 , 11:49 PM

MeleaB

See my Commercial Software thread

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 5,414

Link for anyone not familiar with Twitter:

https://twitter.com/RealKidPoker

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05-13-2014 , 11:58 PM

Love_the_game

grinder

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 543

how many events are there in the summer?

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05-14-2014 , 12:01 AM

JimmyAggassi

banned

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 271

they might have the better end of the bet considering there are going to be many small field 10k events (limit 2-7, no limit 2-7, millionaire maker). and maybe ivey knows which cards are marked.

just look at the schedule though the key events are obviously the 10k ones, of course they are time consuming also.

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05-14-2014 , 12:02 AM

KeepEvolving

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 401

There are 15 events with a buyin of 10k or more. This is where they will have their best shot.

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05-14-2014 , 12:20 AM

Love_the_game

grinder

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 543

i can see 1 of them winning one.

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05-14-2014 , 12:30 AM

Diet Mountain Dew

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 459

Quote:

Originally Posted by Love_the_game

i can see 1 of them winning one.

thanks for your opinion

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05-14-2014 , 12:31 AM

hAmThEkIlLeR

grinder

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 569

1. Ivy gets Rio to pay him not to play mini baccarat.

2. Ivy crushes the Casino Employee's no-limit event.

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05-14-2014 , 12:47 AM

#10

-sham-

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 1,751

Phil Ivey
2000 $2,500 Pot Limit Omaha $195,000
2002 $2,500 7 Card Stud Hi/Lo $118,440
2002 $2,000 S.H.O.E. $107,540
2002 $1,500 7 Card Stud $132,000
2005 $5,000 Pot Limit Omaha $635,603
2009 $2,500 No-Limit 2-7 Draw Lowball $96,367
2009 $2,500 Omaha Hi/Lo / 7 Card Stud Hi/Lo $220,538
2010 $3,000 H.O.R.S.E. $329,840

Daniel Negreanu
1998 $2,000 Pot Limit Hold'em $169,460
2003 $2,000 S.H.O.E. $100,440
2004 $2,000 Limit Hold'em $169,100
2008 $2,000 Limit Hold'em $204,874

I'd say the chances of them winning the bet are good.

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05-14-2014 , 12:57 AM

#11

Willyoman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10,468

Quote:

Originally Posted by -sham-

Are the chances good?

From 2010 to 2013, over 4 world series, when the games have been toughest, only one of them won one (say 10 times fast) bracelet.

Don't recall if Ivey sat out one of those years, but either way, I don't think it's even money.

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05-14-2014 , 01:02 AM

#12

el_zilcho

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 388

Quote:

Originally Posted by Willyoman

Are the chances good?

From 2010 to 2013, over 4 world series, when the games have been toughest, only one of them won one (say 10 times fast) bracelet.

Don't recall if Ivey sat out one of those years, but either way, I don't think it's even money.

only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one
only one of them won one

Spoiler:

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05-14-2014 , 01:07 AM

#13

PhilFILLphilPHIL

banned

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 3

Phil started offering 3-1 on him winning a bracelet one year and ended up taking bets at evens at the series drew nearer.

Both playing a sick schedule, could easily be 50%+ to win a bracelet. Is One Drop a bracelet event? If so, that's a ~3.5% chance of bracelet in one event (not even including whatever edge they have on the field).

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05-14-2014 , 01:10 AM

#14

PhilFILLphilPHIL

banned

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 3

In fact I'd estimate they have a 30% combined of winning a bracelet in a 10k+ event, so if you factor in the bigger fields, it's pretty close. I'd take DN/Ivey's side of the bet.

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05-14-2014 , 01:10 AM

#15

Willyoman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10,468

Yeah, One Drop capped at 56 is key.

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05-14-2014 , 01:26 AM

#16

isplashcranberrys

old hand

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 1,407

Are WSOPE events counted?

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05-14-2014 , 01:28 AM

#17

Loopshot1

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 1,236

^^No^^

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05-14-2014 , 01:44 AM

#18

12bigworm81

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,040

Details on how to bet?

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05-14-2014 , 01:44 AM

#19

BruhKGB

grinder

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 416

Wonder what the odds are of a complete random getting paid if they won? Would hate to get stiffed 5k and have DN try to pull some "old school" jedi mind trick on me.

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05-14-2014 , 01:56 AM

#20

12bigworm81

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,040

Assume escrow. No worry of payout

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05-14-2014 , 02:09 AM

#21

Fritzy

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 3,495

Quote:

Originally Posted by isplashcranberrys

Are WSOPE events counted?

2014 WSOPE events count

Spoiler:

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05-14-2014 , 02:31 AM

#22

The2ndIvey

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 143

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fritzy

2014 WSOPE events count

Spoiler:

Nah, DNegs said this Summer meaning only the Vegas events.

I'd probably bet against them, though.

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05-14-2014 , 02:55 AM

#23

Fritzy

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 3,495

I would lay 10000-1 that neither of them win a WSOPE bracelet this year.

http://www.wsop.com/news/2013/Nov/46...NT-FORMAT.html

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05-14-2014 , 04:49 AM

#24

Big_Mick00

Verified Coach MTT

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 8,714

Quote:

Originally Posted by The2ndIvey

Nah, DNegs said this Summer meaning only the Vegas events.

I'd probably bet against them, though.

You missed the joke, I don't blame you, it wasn't very good.

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05-14-2014 , 05:01 AM

#25

PunnyYouSayThat

Tattoo Commissioner

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 5,097

DN, how do we book action??

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