Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
I got 1k on Hall when it was -105 for some reason on Pinnacle yesterday, so now I have a reason to care about the match.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lego05
I couldn't believe this. I just went to check and sure enough Pinnacle has a line on Hall vs. Dentale. Did they actually agree on terms and a date? Extremely surprised that Pinnacle actually picked this up and has a line on it.
EDIT:
Pinnacle currently predicting Hall to have a 52.76% chance to win.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Pinnacle was actually an arb with Pokershares yesterday (I just took the Pinnacle side since I want the Hall sweat) - Hall was -105 on Pinny and Dentale was +126 on Pokershares when I looked yesterday. As of right now it's -121/+104 on Pinny.
It's only $500 US limits but yeah it has the date set for next week etc.
Weird they chose to offer a line on this given they usually only do the WSOPME each year but maybe they had a request for it. I'm going to say that even though Pinny is usually a sharp book, they'll have put absolutely zero effort into setting the line given the low limits. Hopefully they offer lines on more poker events going forward.
Ya, if it is -121 Hall / +104 Dentale, then they're figuring Hall has a 52.76% chance to win and fair odds are +111.69/-111.69
I do think it is weird they offer on this. I wonder what are the rules on how they would grade it in different circumstances. What if someone just gets up and leaves and refuses to keep playing? What if this happens at about even? What if someone is like 95% chance to win and the other one does this?
It isn't something that seems to easily lend itself to this type of commercial wagering.
Anyway, what do you think about the odds? Is there a +EV edge on someone at -121/+104?
EDIT:
I wonder what initial odds we could get if someone convinced Pinny to put up a line on a HU match between someone like Negreanu or Hellmuth vs. some random 5/10 winner on Stars whom no one has ever heard of.
Last edited by Lego05; 03-13-2017 at 01:28 AM.