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So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani)

01-03-2020 , 02:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D-Beat
British and Chinese were informed per Pompeo. What their feelings were is unknown but pretty sure they would not back It.
The official British reaction, from Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab, is as follows.



Quote:
Belgium is a strange take but it is highly unorthodox and against international agreements to assassinate high ranking officials.
It rather depends who they are, where they are and what they're doing. Suleimani was an Iranian general, travelling outside Iran with no particular legal or diplomatic excuse that I know of, and purportedly directing military or paramilitary operations against US interests and personnel, which triggers America's right to self-defence under Art.51 of the UN Charter. I'm not sure it's much different from the case of the RAF Spitfire pilot strafing Rommel's staff car in France on 17 July 1944 (though of course the pilot did not know Rommel was on board, he was just interdicting enemy road traffic).

Whether it was a good idea or not... we'll see. The Iranians may orchestrate terrorist attacks in reprisal, or try to. But this event may make Iran's military leaders more wary of strutting around the Middle East ordering up the odd smorgasbord of massacre here and there, because they will now fear that the slightest chink in their electronic hygiene, or a single report from a seemingly insignificant person by the side of the road, might bring a US drone or manned aircraft winging into range.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas

The Soleimani killing is a pretty big message to Iran, and it's saying they need to chill the **** out.
"Chill out" is not a strategy, it's a weak metaphor comparing a street encounter between toughs to geopolitical competition for a resource region.

Iran is not going to "chill out" in the sense of ceasing to influence the region. It lives there. Similarly, Saudi Arabia, Israel, etc. are not gong to stop playing the great game. Iran, like all nations, is sensitive about what happens on its borders, like in Iraq. Iraq invaded Iran about 40 years ago. Iran will remain a player there.

The strength and objectives of Iran will not change for the loss of one commander. So we have taken a highly unpredictable and dangerous risk for momentary headlines. The attack at the Iraqi airport makes sense only as tawdry political opportunism by Trump, or in promoting the Neocon's dogmatic fixation on a greater war with Iran.

You seriously want a regional war?
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:34 PM
Kibitzer in Chief




PairTheBoard
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
They poked the bear, for the umpteenth time, and the bear slapped the **** out of them. The issue now is, Iranian folks have infiltrated the Iraqi "government", and no one really knows how crazy Iran is. We ****ed up going there, and we ****ed up leaving.

The Soleimani killing is a pretty big message to Iran, and it's saying they need to chill the **** out.
one of the weird things in all of this the descriptions of this as decisive or “slapped the **** out of them”. there had been a lot myth making around this guy but at the end of the day he was just one guy and he’ll be replaced within hours by someone else and nothing will change operationally

countries unify and rally to the cause when facing outside threats and iran will too here

the us didn’t leave iraq the last time. they were kicked out by the iraqi government. there’s a good chance the same will happen now. alternatively iran and friends will just make life miserable for americans in iraq until they leave
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by campfirewest
Is the coming war with Iran going to be bigger or smaller than the one everyone predicted we would have with North Korea a while back?
Bigger for sure and engulfing the entire mideast. After the election. Move to the Southern hemisphere if you can.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
They don't operate like a diplomatic country.
It was the US that reneged on the comprehensive and successful nuclear agreement. The contemporary escalation in tension dates to this.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
We are at war with terrorists and the US and it's commander and chief has every right to protect itself against threats. What the f*** is your point? Because he is a member of the iranian military, despite being a terrorist, he can't be attacked without Congressional approval?

Being in the Iranian military doesn't give you carte blanche to commit acts of terror unchecked, and it certainly doesn't give you diplomatic immunity. The power to kill a threat to US interest is well within a potus's discretion.
You should probably look up the definition of terrorist. Him being a military commander quite relevant!
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Haywood
"Chill out" is not a strategy, it's a weak metaphor comparing a street encounter between toughs to geopolitical competition for a resource region.

Iran is not going to "chill out" in the sense of ceasing to influence the region. It lives there. Similarly, Saudi Arabia, Israel, etc. are not gong to stop playing the great game. Iran, like all nations, is sensitive about what happens on its borders, like in Iraq. Iraq invaded Iran about 40 years ago. Iran will remain a player there.

The strength and objectives of Iran will not change for the loss of one commander. So we have taken a highly unpredictable and dangerous risk for momentary headlines. The attack at the Iraqi airport makes sense only as tawdry political opportunism by Trump, or in promoting the Neocon's dogmatic fixation on a greater war with Iran.

You seriously want a regional war?

I've said it already, but Iran's diplomacy is built on subversion. You can't argue that Iran is just like everyone else attempting to influence the region.

Of course I don't want war, and neither do most proponents of this attack. However, you can't let terrorists keep hitting you. That's not foreign policy. They will keep doing it until you respond. I'm not a fan of neocon policy, but this attack was not a based on neocon stuff.

People pretend Iran is an honest actor, they are not. They have repeatedly provoked the US, and it's not like we've been bombing Iran in response. We've ignored it, until we couldn't.

Lastly, Iran can't target anything meaningful. They really have no play, and the US just made that clear. They will lose way more than they can get with one of their subversive acts, due to clear US capabilities that was exhibited.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huskalator
Do you believe that this will result in hundreds of thousands of dead civilians? If so, how do you think that will play out?
Will? No, it isn't certain, but it is on the table, most likely Iraqi civilians caught in the crossfire when Iran backs Iraq in kicking out the entirety of the American presence there, and then Trump and his team or warmongers decide they can't look weak. Bloodshed in Iran, Israel, and US interests around the world. On US soil is unlikely, but nonzero.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
We are at war with terrorists and the US and it's commander and chief has every right to protect itself against threats. What the f*** is your point? Because he is a member of the iranian military, despite being a terrorist, he can't be attacked without Congressional approval?

Being in the Iranian military doesn't give you carte blanche to commit acts of terror unchecked, and it certainly doesn't give you diplomatic immunity. The power to kill a threat to US interest is well within a potus's discretion.
This is broadly correct. Declared wars are not a thing since 1945, because ultimatums and the resulting declarations of war amount to a threat of force forbidden by the UN Charter. So we're in a permanent world of mush and grey areas and undeclared wars. There doesn't seem to be anything wrong with killing an enemy military commander currently engaged on war operations against you.

Again, we don't yet know whether it was a good idea -- though, in Syria, bakers are selling special jammy pastries to celebrate the death of a monster -- but it wasn't some massive crime or outrage. And it's unlikely to cause a flat-out war, because Iran can't afford that. And if a flat-out war were America's intention, then the US Air Force would now be busily degrading Iran's air-defence network, and they aren't. (And the British probably wouldn't let the Americans use Fairford, Akrotiri or Diego Garcia, just as they didn't when the Obama administration was making contingency plans for an attack on Iran some years back. Without those bases, it gets logistically difficult.)
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 02:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Haywood
It was the US that reneged on the comprehensive and successful nuclear agreement. The contemporary escalation in tension dates to this.
Bullshit. Iran has used proxys to attack US interest before, during, and after.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 03:08 PM
Actual reaction in the Middle East:-



Thread:- https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1213063984171143169
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 03:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
Glad to see Yglesias admitting his Iraq mistake and coming around to the liars lie approach

https://www.vox.com/2020/1/3/2104807...mpeo-iran-lies


Finally a good call by Yglesias, that panned out again





I'm telling you, the "don't trust liars" strategy is the best way to go
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 03:17 PM
Well-known UK Muslim journalist Oz Katerji's view:-

So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:03 PM
No one is arguing he wasn't bad.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
Iran's diplomacy is built on subversion. You can't argue that Iran is just like everyone else
Meaning what? Every power in the region spies, they all arm rival militias, they mount proxy attacks. Subversion? No one matches the Saudi funding of madrases promoting Wahhabi extremism, ffs.

Quote:
People pretend Iran is an honest actor.
Now we are judging countries the way we choose a plumber? All the governments in the region act as states. Shall we compile lists of atrocities by country, then anoint the shortest as Honest Actor? Asking for a friend: If he reneges on an international nuclear treaty, is he still an Honest Actor?

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you can't let terrorists keep hitting you. That's not foreign policy.
There was a recent militia shelling that Iran might be responsible for. What else you got? You must be thinking about the Wahhabis, in which case it's war with Saudi Arabia that you want. But we are not an Honest Actor in Iraq, we invaded, remember? We invade, establish bases, now call it unfair that Iran, a country on Iraq's border, builds relationships with militias? You made your bed. For reasons of your own, you've chosen to identify with the American quest for real estate in oil country. Fine, but don't be shocked by friction and fool yourself into thinking you are the Honest Actor while the others are terrorists. The death toll we inflicted on Iraq dwarfs all the terrorist cabals put together.

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Lastly, Iran can't target anything meaningful. They really have no play,
So maybe they'll negotiate a nuclear deal or something.

Iran is not interested in provoking the US. But it can't forgo influence in Iraq -- the country on its border that once started a war that killed a million people. You can respond to this situation by escalating or negotiating. How's Trump's abrogation of the nuclear treaty working out for the US contractor who was just killed?

Last edited by Bill Haywood; 01-03-2020 at 04:16 PM.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:09 PM
Didn't our closest and presumably more honest ally kidnap the head of state of Lebanon and then make him air his retirement on TV and also bonesaw an a reporter under our protection for being too progressive and being a dissident?

Last edited by Huehuecoyotl; 01-03-2020 at 04:15 PM.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:26 PM
He gets a pension from the DoD go easy on him.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:26 PM
It's so god damn tiring that those who support acts such as this never ever acknowledge the role the US has played in escalating things to get here. It's as if Iran sat back and kept poking a bear and we did nothing until now. It's complete bullshit.

Speaking of the US Contractor killed do we actually know anything about him or her, like I don't know a name?
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:29 PM
Oz Katerji goes on at greater length, and quite interestingly, here. The comeback will probably be messy, but will probably not for the most part affect Americans.

https://www.newstatesman.com/world/m...dshed-far-over

Quote:
But the reality is that if a new war is on the horizon, it is unlikely to be Americans who will suffer the most. It will be terrified and trapped civilians across the Middle East, which would in a sense be a continuation of Soleimani’s life’s work. We should also disabuse ourselves of the notion that there isn’t an ongoing war still raging in Iraq, Syria and beyond. Soleimani’s wars have engulfed his victims for decades, Middle Eastern civilians are the ones paying the price, and every action or inaction from global superpowers has a price in blood. We live in dangerous, unprecedented, terrifying times. But for tonight at least, our thoughts should be with the families of Qasem Soleimani’s victims. For better or for worse, a brutal tyrant is dead.

Last edited by 57 On Red; 01-03-2020 at 04:35 PM.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
Didn't our closest and presumably more honest ally kidnap the head of state of Lebanon and then make him air his retirement on TV and also bonesaw an a reporter under our protection for being too progressive and being a dissident?
Assassinating Saudi leaders will not reduce pressure on dissidents. This is best handled by a private expression of American diplomatic concern.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:31 PM
Israel is watching.
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 57 On Red
The official British reaction, from Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab, is as follows.





It rather depends who they are, where they are and what they're doing. Suleimani was an Iranian general, travelling outside Iran with no particular legal or diplomatic excuse that I know of, and purportedly directing military or paramilitary operations against US interests and personnel, which triggers America's right to self-defence under Art.51 of the UN Charter. I'm not sure it's much different from the case of the RAF Spitfire pilot strafing Rommel's staff car in France on 17 July 1944 (though of course the pilot did not know Rommel was on board, he was just interdicting enemy road traffic).

Whether it was a good idea or not... we'll see. The Iranians may orchestrate terrorist attacks in reprisal, or try to. But this event may make Iran's military leaders more wary of strutting around the Middle East ordering up the odd smorgasbord of massacre here and there, because they will now fear that the slightest chink in their electronic hygiene, or a single report from a seemingly insignificant person by the side of the road, might bring a US drone or manned aircraft winging into range.
So you do or don't think this assassination will serve as a deterrent?

Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I've said it already, but Iran's diplomacy is built on subversion. You can't argue that Iran is just like everyone else attempting to influence the region.

Of course I don't want war, and neither do most proponents of this attack. However, you can't let terrorists keep hitting you. That's not foreign policy. They will keep doing it until you respond. I'm not a fan of neocon policy, but this attack was not a based on neocon stuff.

People pretend Iran is an honest actor, they are not. They have repeatedly provoked the US, and it's not like we've been bombing Iran in response. We've ignored it, until we couldn't.

Lastly, Iran can't target anything meaningful. They really have no play, and the US just made that clear. They will lose way more than they can get with one of their subversive acts, due to clear US capabilities that was exhibited.
Who is pretending Iran is an honest actor?

And would you not call American troops meaningful targets?
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 04:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DisGunBGud

Speaking of the US Contractor killed do we actually know anything about him or her, like I don't know a name?
Maybe let their family have some privacy? What are you going to do with a name anyway?
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote
01-03-2020 , 05:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DisGunBGud
It's so god damn tiring that those who support acts such as this never ever acknowledge the role the US has played in escalating things to get here. It's as if Iran sat back and kept poking a bear and we did nothing until now. It's complete bullshit.

Speaking of the US Contractor killed do we actually know anything about him or her, like I don't know a name?
How many military/terrorist actions has the US taken against Iranian forces/embassies?
So, Iraq... (Update: US kills Iranian military leader Soleimani) Quote

      
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