Quote:
Originally Posted by grizy
We could look at a decades long history of Hamas being *******s with hostages and then getting massively rewarded and see where that got Israel.
Even when they don’t get rewarded by Israel with a lopsided prisoner exvhange, nobody punishes them and Iran rewards them.
In game theory terms, kidnapping as many Israelis as possible has been a strictly dominant strategy for Hamas for decades. Creating human suffering not just for the Israelis but also the Palestinians.
It’s long past time to change the equation before they do even worse than Oct 7.
Well, hostage deals are only part of it. More generally, the UN/US/EU/Gulf States have been rewarding Hamas (and more generally Palestinian govts) handsomely for belligerence. The resistance really is a business first and foremost.
For example, in 2021 Hamas attacked Israel and Biden gave them billions to stop. They made out extremely well in that confrontation, so maybe they were expecting an even bigger bonanza in response to 10/7.
And the only reason the equation has changed at all this time is because Israel has decided to change the equation herself. If the UN/US/EU got their way, Hamas would have been handsomely rewarded again with a generous hostage for prisoner swap and promises for billions more in "aid" in response to October 7th.
As far as why the world supports such an obvious broken incentive structure. I would say 2 things:
1. The promise of Arab money, especially Qatar.
2. Demographic realities. Between the far left and recent immigration of highly antisemitic populations; leftist parties in much of the western world need to appease large antisemitic constituencies to win elections and hold power.
Last edited by Dunyain; 06-08-2024 at 07:44 PM.