Every week that passes without this bill becoming law, the greater the chance
that Republicans will win back control of the House before a single vote is cast.
one analysis projects the GOP gaining up to 13 seats and thus retaking the House based on gerrymandering alone.
Are the republicans ever taking the house again? Maybe I I’m underestimating how much gerrymandering and voter suppression bills are being passed. Maybe if COVId continue to be a mess and the economy and stock market finally crash, yeah maybe they win. Now senate or presidency, yeah very easily could happen.
Even if republicans where to take the house 0.0001% chance they make Trump speaker. Idiots like Marjorie and Gaetz are fans but I think most DC republicans wish he’d go away.
This isnt the main reason imo. The job of SOTH is about advancing the goals of the party and preserving the majority. Trump doesnt care about either of those things. In Trump's mind, the Republican party's only purpose is to serve him personally.
I dont think he could handle the move psychologically either. Agreeing to be SOTH would be too close to an admission by Trump that he is not the rightful president. And it would feel like an intolerable step down.
FWIW, Trump also would be an ineffective SOTH. To do that job well, you need a strong understanding of the political challenges that each member faces. And you need to know when to wield the stick and when to wield the carrot.
According to Roman Catholic theology, the seven deadly sins are the seven behaviors or feelings that inspire further sin. They are typically ordered as: pride, greed, lust, envy, gluttony, wrath, and sloth.
I've got T on all of them except sloth. I can't say he's slothful - that wouldn't be fair to him
.
Last edited by FallawayJumper; 08-22-2021 at 04:44 PM.
Are the republicans ever taking the house again? Maybe I I’m underestimating how much gerrymandering and voter suppression bills are being passed. Maybe if COVId continue to be a mess and the economy and stock market finally crash, yeah maybe they win. Now senate or presidency, yeah very easily could happen.
Republicans have a much better chance of taking the House back in 2022 than the senate or presidency in 2024. They have a decent chance at all of them but the House is at least 2:1 favorite for Republicans. The only thing that can mess it up for them is if it somehow becomes an election about Trump.
According to Roman Catholic theology, the seven deadly sins are the seven behaviors or feelings that inspire further sin. They are typically ordered as: pride, greed, lust, envy, gluttony, wrath, and sloth.
I've got T on all of them except sloth. I can't say he's slothful - that wouldn't be fair to him
.
Lol Trump thinks exercise is unhealthy and humans die because they are born with a set amount of energy that gets used up. He didn't read the presidential daily briefing and he watched TV minimum 5x as much as any other POTUS.
Lol Trump thinks exercise is unhealthy and humans die because they are born with a set amount of energy that gets used up. He didn't read the presidential daily briefing and he watched TV minimum 5x as much as any other POTUS.
Republicans have a much better chance of taking the House back in 2022 than the senate or presidency in 2024. They have a decent chance at all of them but the House is at least 2:1 favorite for Republicans. The only thing that can mess it up for them is if it somehow becomes an election about Trump.
Curious why do you say that? My feeling on Dems keeping the Congress is simply based on the large population blocks tend to vote democratic. Also been longer since they took the house.
Curious why do you say that? My feeling on Dems keeping the Congress is simply based on the large population blocks tend to vote democratic. Also been longer since they took the house.
Republicans have the advantage in the House in terms of population distribution; if the house popular vote is 50/50 republicans would be very likely to take the house. I think they will take it back in 2022 because:
1. Dems have a very small edge in the house to begin with
2. The states gaining seats (TX, FL) will do their best to help Republicans. There is a pretty good chance that when you run 2020 vote totals with 2022 districts Republicans will already have the House.
3. Midterms with a new POTUS have recently tended to go against his party.
And in terms of the senate, there is quite a bit of luck in who controls it. Just a random example, Sherrod Brown’s seat in Ohio. He won it in 2006 which was one of the worst midterms ever for republicans. He won re-election in 2012 off Obama’s coattails. Then won in 2018 which was again one of the worst midterms ever for republicans. He likely loses if he had to run in 2010, 2014, 2016 or 2020 or if Romney beat Obama in Ohio or if Clinton beat Trump in the 2016 general. And there is a really good chance he loses if he runs again in 2024.
Republicans have the advantage in the House in terms of population distribution; if the house popular vote is 50/50 republicans would be very likely to take the house. I think they will take it back in 2022 because:
1. Dems have a very small edge in the house to begin with
2. The states gaining seats (TX, FL) will do their best to help Republicans. There is a pretty good chance that when you run 2020 vote totals with 2022 districts Republicans will already have the House.
3. Midterms with a new POTUS have recently tended to go against his party.
As much I dislike trump , in the Netflix series on tyrant , they specify a common trait like this one :
Tyrants needs a team at the top surrounding them , team that is indefectible
(i suppose it’s why trump fires everyone as soon he sense a doubt , luckily for them they are not in North Korea or Irak pre 2000..)
to carry orders no matter what .
I dislike William Barr even more ! ( and all those senators at that time )
Trump had the excuse of being a bit « insane » .
Hopefully it is a start .
Last edited by Montrealcorp; 08-24-2021 at 03:31 AM.