***Election Week Sweat Thread*** (renamed) - Page 37 - Politics and Society -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Two Plus Two Forums Other Topics Politics and Society

***Election Week Sweat Thread*** (renamed)

View Poll Results: Presidential Prediction?

Biden wins a landslide

42 50.00%

Biden ekes it out

29 34.52%

Trump ekes it out

8 9.52%

Trump wins a landslide

5 5.95%

Closed Subscribe

...

Page 37 of 170

First

17 27 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 47 57 87 137

Last

Page 37 of 170

First

17 27 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 47 57 87 137

Last

11-04-2020 , 02:37 AM

#901

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

WI gona call the result in 2 hours

11-04-2020 , 02:38 AM

#902

nucleardonkey

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 1,252

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChicagoRy

I don't see how Biden gets GA either based on his margins for what is left.

ATL center goes 85 for Biden, but agreed that doesn't look enough. Depends a lot what is not counted.

11-04-2020 , 02:39 AM

#903

SpinMeRightRound

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 2,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

Biden has moved from +400 to +275 recently. That's not getting called tonight. Most of the Fulton Co. vote hasn't been counted.

Biden has drifted a lot just now. Thought you said that those mid west states were a lock for him? Those mail in votes probably won't be enough.

11-04-2020 , 02:40 AM

#904

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

Biden has drifted a lot just now. Thought you said that those mid west states were a lock for him? Those mail in votes probably won't be enough.

I think WI is better for biden and MI for trump right now. at least how it looks rn

11-04-2020 , 02:40 AM

#905

ChicagoRy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,589

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

Biden has moved from +400 to +275 recently. That's not getting called tonight. Most of the Fulton Co. vote hasn't been counted.

What's your definition of most? 72% is counted so far according to NYT.

11-04-2020 , 02:41 AM

#906

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

what site are you guys on? both that I've seen have Biden at +130

11-04-2020 , 02:41 AM

#907

sublime

Mr. Roper

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 22,527

Quote:

Originally Posted by the pleasure

so trump just isn't going to speak?

He waiting on Joe to concede.

11-04-2020 , 02:41 AM

#908

kevinb1983

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 1,684

as soon as tonight's rubble settles and he's slightly ahead, guarantee this authoritarian goes live proclaiming its game over, we're ending this here and now, its going to courts!

11-04-2020 , 02:41 AM

#909

Bobo Fett

Carpe Diem

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 57,426

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMVP

Trump gets Georgia and PA it's over, he's a solid betting favourite in both markets right now.

Assuming Biden gets Nevada, then he needs just 2 out of WI, MI, GA, PA. And NC could sub in for one of them.

11-04-2020 , 02:42 AM

#910

Dennisa

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 2,192

Quote:

Originally Posted by nucleardonkey

ATL center goes 85 for Biden, but agreed that doesn't look enough. Depends a lot what is not counted.

Plus exit polls have shown Trump to of gained a small amount of male African American support versus 2016. That could make a bit of different in Fulton county.

11-04-2020 , 02:43 AM

#911

zipppy

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 3,150

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dennisa

Plus exit polls have shown Trump to of gained a small amount of male African American support versus 2016. That could make a bit of different in Fulton county.

Again, exit polls mean even less this year since the people being polled are disproportionately conservative republicans.

11-04-2020 , 02:44 AM

#912

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

win or loss.

Trump really ****ing went hard and so did his voters, they all got out and really mass voted more so than what we all thought. whether you think about silent voter syndrome or not.

11-04-2020 , 02:45 AM

#913

KingOfFelt

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,877

I feel like Biden is a pretty good bet right now if he is above even odds.

11-04-2020 , 02:46 AM

#914

sublime

Mr. Roper

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 22,527

Quote:

Originally Posted by the pleasure

what site are you guys on? both that I've seen have Biden at +130

Pinnacle.
Trump -190
GA Trump -400
PA Trump -280
MI Trump -200
WI Trump -130

11-04-2020 , 02:46 AM

#915

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

Quote:

Originally Posted by sublime

Pinnacle.
Trump -190
GA Trump -400
PA Trump -280
MI Trump -200
WI Trump -130

wow

11-04-2020 , 02:49 AM

#916

a_r_K

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 340

Quote:

Originally Posted by KingOfFelt

I feel like Biden is a pretty good bet right now if he is above even odds.

You gotta be joking he needs a miracle down big in every remaining state and the polls where clearly off once again.

11-04-2020 , 02:49 AM

#917

kevinb1983

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 1,684

Quote:

Originally Posted by the pleasure

win or loss.

Trump really ****ing went hard and so did his voters, they all got out and really mass voted more so than what we all thought. whether you think about silent voter syndrome or not.

disagree! it boils down to people choosing party over country. there is no real reason polls should be so skew'd other than pure tribalism. don't identify with Trump but still vote Trump cause R policy.

11-04-2020 , 02:50 AM

#918

sublime

Mr. Roper

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 22,527

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

-400? Trump is -240 on Bovada. He was -600 a little while ago.

Both could be wrong but unless the betting markets have changed a ton, Pinny is wayyyyyy sharper than Bovada. Probably not a huge difference in prices once vig worked out but I trust pinny number much more.

11-04-2020 , 02:50 AM

#919

KingOfFelt

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,877

Biden just went from -105 to +160 in the last few minutes on 365. What happened?

11-04-2020 , 02:51 AM

#920

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

bovada has been favorign trump so ****ing hard all night too

11-04-2020 , 02:51 AM

#921

Merry Christmas

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2019 Posts: 386

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

-400? Trump is -240 on Bovada. He was -600 a little while ago.

Why do u insist on quoting Bovada, a joke of a book and not truly representative of the current market?

11-04-2020 , 02:52 AM

#922

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

Quote:

Originally Posted by KingOfFelt

Biden just went from -105 to +160 in the last few minutes on 365. What happened?

PA votes and MI had a slight 1% lead for trump last 10 mins.

but these odds are changing every 15 mins or refresh rate, -/+ 150 either way

11-04-2020 , 02:53 AM

#923

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,529

I thought trump could steal NV, really unfortunate for reds that its Goggin for biden pretty hard

11-04-2020 , 02:53 AM

#924

KingOfFelt

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,877

Quote:

Originally Posted by a_r_K

You gotta be joking he needs a miracle down big in every remaining state and the polls where clearly off once again.

You just looking at the total votes counted? Now I get why the odds are so weird. People just aren't grasping that in a lot of the cases remaining votes to be counted are likely to be heavily weighted for the dems.

Polls were def wrong though. Much closer than expected.