I don't have a better solution than digging through HM and assessing an opponents range, which I do quite often against my most commonly faced foes. I expect to see a hand like KQs shown down more than 98o as it has more value, but I assume if I see 98o a couple times then he's made this hand a standard part of his range in the given scenario I am studying and therefore assuming he's playing it approx 3x as often as KQs on the simple basis that offsuit hands make up .9% and suited make up .3%. I know it's not optimal to assume your opponents ranges are static when assessing their exact range makeup (meaning he might only raise 98o when a certain tight opponent is on his direct left, but elects to fold it when a tough reg is on his left), but that's how I personally go about it since I don't know of a better solution. If you have any ideas though I am all ears.

Awesome, my new home was featured on PokerStars' blog yesterday.

saw that- nice work! prestigiously enough, it was also posted in the 'most baller setup' thread. Many people may now hold indirect anger towards you for demolishing that thread.

WP bro,

would you do SNE playing only nl400-1k 20bb cap next year?

why not?

hey, gratz for the well.

2 questions...

- ive been out of the loop for couple of months (moving,etc),
even tho i got lucky to transfer most of my bankroll before black friday on FTP, u think iyho the rest of it is gone or u optimist some of us will get paid ?

- u think limit holdhem might resurect someday ?

thx

Are You just renting this house or did you buy it ?

And how many FPPs did it cost / is rent ?

Wow this house is the nuts. Amazing stuff there !

Sick house, any Ogopogo sightings yet?

Absolutely, I really don't like playing nl200 and lower, though it's quite fishy, my strategy becomes more and more optimal the more hand histories I have on my opponents and with such a large player pool at the lower stakes it makes decision making more difficult for mass tabling. And as far at the 10/20 and 25/50 are concerned, it's hard to mass table other stakes while playing them as some of the best regulars like trueteller isn't grinding for SNE and will demolish you are not playing very close attention. So with that said, the best stakes to grind SNE for me are 2/4 (400nl) through 5/10 (1knl). I hope I can have the discipline to leave 25/50 alone next year as my runbad there has really been eating at my emotional stability during the grind and adversely affecting my health. It's just hard to quit when my EV graph has been positive, thought process is that runbad should turn around any day now...



1. I didn't have any money on FTP fortunately. My Pokerstars contract specified that I may only play on Stars, so before I signed I cashed out every dime on FTP. Which is something I had planned on doing anyway, as FTP always felt shady to me in the past. IMHO you probably won't see much (most like $0) money returned. Sadly it's comparable to investing in ENRON, and when it went under for being fraudulent, all investors were ****ed.

2. I think the possibility of it coming back to life is decent. It's alive and well in many casinos, especially the more backwoods, hole-in-the-wall types, found in southeastern United States. And if we happen to hit a new era of online poker from a surge of mainstream marketing following new legislation in the U.S., then you may see a mini golden era and an increase in the volume of all games.


I'm renting, my lease is $5K/month, which is a steal for a $4mil house.

haha, just learned about it the other day, no sightings, but I heard the reward is $2mil.

Hi needbeer, I just want to know how much do you need to win at the cap tables at the levels <NL200 and beat the rake? at others forums I have found that the rake its around 2-3bb/100, its that true?
Is the rake higher at Sh tables instead of Fr tables?
Do you think that the level at SH tables is higher than the FR tables?
ty

yes

Hi needbeer,

any updates on these "old" numbers? They average out to 5bb/100 or 2.5 ptBB. Looking at PTR I find it unrealistic that anyone could achieve this in the current cap games under grinding conditions.

FWIW, i manage to achieve pretty much the winrates by position you mention from UTG to the BU but cannot come anywhere near to what you posted in the Blinds.

Partly because I have to improve in those spots but also because you just dont get spots like CU opens to 3.5x, BU calls and you ship ATs in the BB like you would in the old days when playing vs opponents with 100 bb stacks.

So here's my question again

What winrate by position numbers are you aiming for these days?

makelovenotwar, unfortunately you can't play equal amount of hands from UTG and BB.

I have distribution of hands played from each position like that (filtered 3-6 plrs):

BU/SB/BB - n hands
CO - 0.9 * n hands
HJ - 0.8 * n hands
UTG - 0.5 * n hands

So, the actual winrate (if I were so skillfull to achieve numbers Kevin mentioned) would be

(0.5*14+0.8*15+0.9*19+23-10-30)/(3+0.9+0.8+0.5) = 19.1 / 5.2 = 3.67 bb/100,

which is still impressive.

I don't play much SSNL, but as far as I'm aware, yes 2-3bb/100 sounds about right. It is difficult to beat the rake if you're not table selecting at SSNL, but the good news is it's fairly easy to table select from all the recreational players. It's possible to achieve SNE at .5/1 CAP, one of my students did it last year, and that really takes the edge off getting ~70% rakeback at those stakes.

The rake itself isn't higher at FR tables, it's capped per pot just like in SH, but the frequency in which you will likely contribute to the rake is going to be higher at SH and therefore you will be paying more rake $ in total at SH tables.



Goblet nailed it. It's impossible to play an equal amount of hands from all positions because even if you try to play only 6max, tables break.. and break quite frequently the higher in stakes you go.

It's common for players to achieve the goals UTG-BTN, positional poker is easy. But it's quite difficult to achieve them from the blinds. I'm not saying I can, I personally average around -15 and -35 from the blinds. But I know -10 and -30 can be achieved, as proven by players like Quix, and that's why I have set them as my goals because like the rest of you I'm always striving to be the best possible.

Plz coach me on how to find 9000 sq ft lakefront mansions for $5k a month

Hi needbeer,
I just saw the 24 tabling vid on your blog (awesome setup!)
Forgive me if its already been posted, I couldn't find it going through the thread. I would like to know what model keypad you have and the specific TableNinja key assignments that you use. Thanks!

haha.. I just use vacation rental site vrbo.com cause it's pretty easy to navigate, has furnished homes, and the owners always seem to be open to negotiation on long term rentals. I guess I'm just good at sweet talkin cause they wanted a lot more initially.. that or I'm just lucky.

Glad you liked it!
If anyone else wants to see the video I made last night, here it is; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwDLbceGEY4

Yeah, the thread has gotten rather large so no problem, I'm not sure if I answered that already or not. Even if I have, I never mind if someone asks a question I've already answered, I'm not one of those aholes that gets upset over something silly like that. I started this well to help people, so I really don't mind at all.

It's a Logitech Wireless Number Pad N305
http://www.logitech.com/en-ca/keyboa...d/devices/6355

My hotkeys are just bet amounts in bb amounts rather than pot size percentages since I play cap games. Such as number keys 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,0 equal bet amounts like 1.5bb, 2bb, 2.5bb, 3bb, 4bb, 5bb, 6bb, 8bb, 10bb, 12.5bb.. I also have a hotkey (+) for allin. I don't have a hotkey for fold, instead I use my right mouse button to fold hands.

What model keypad do you have?

And if you don't mind me asking, can you post the specific hotkeys you use please?

DON'T TEST ME ROY!@# YOU'RE ALREADY ON THIN ICE!!!! WHERE ARE MY UG VIDEOS!?!?!?!

+1! I check UG daily in the hope for his debut clip! (also hoping it contains a cooking segment)

(nonetheless, wp roy)

p.s. wizard u are involuntarily dominating the most baller setup thread once again. Not long before /thread is announced imo

I talked to him, he'll have them up pretty soon. I'm looking forward to it as well. PLO is def a game I'm interested in learning.

And lol @ a cooking segment. "The Grind" by GodlikeRoy! In our new UG series Roy takes you through the grinding of his own fresh ingredients for meal preparation! In his first video, Roy demonstrates how to grind your own whole wheat flour right from home!