Have not been doing too well on poker at the moment and i think part of reason is because i am running bad but i am having trouble understanding the all data on holdem manager 2, over 240 6 max $15 games my net winnings is -$145.60 but my $Ev (Expected Value) is 135.29, does this mean im running bad over this period of games? My bb/100 is 2.71?
For SNG you don't really use bb/100, but rather ROI, unless you're saying your bb/100 is your standard WR in cash games? Also, 240~ is a 'small sample size', however given all that and the sample size, it's quite possible you are running bad.
In this situation, I would go through those 240 games and compile a number of key hands, specifically those that knocked you out. If you lost alot of 70/30 flips, then yeah you're running bad.
Thanks, yeah i know it is a small sample size and i do not play cash games, i was wondered if there was any data that shows how you are running in sngs, roi? i know it means return on investment but that is just tournement roi (where u finish isnt it?), also on the tounrments winngs graph there is a luck adjusted box aswell and my luck adjusted line is about $150 higher than my actual profit line?
Generally speaking, EV lines and luck adjusted lines are something you should put very little value in. They can somewhat show if you're running good/bad but for the most part, you shouldn't pay alot of attention to them.
ROI is used in SNG just as in tourneys because SNG are just mini-tourneys. You put up a single amount, and your profit is based on the ROI of that investment.
From what Ive always been told, EV lines are a vague/semi-accurate indicator because you aren't 'all-in' every hand and there's a large % of hands where you don't showdown. For a true EV line, if you could see every opponents hand and the entire board, it would be far more accurate.
I may be off, but that's how I view EV lines. They can be an indicator of runbad/good, but it shouldn't be taken at face value, more like the most likely scenario given the lack of information.
