Alright...I'm gonna chime in again...I've been arguing for some time now that the RNG is not random but that doesn't mean it's rigged, and other people have argued that if it's not random it must be rigged.
I am a winning player at every poker game I play, with 50% avg ROI or so in MTTs and around 32K in total profits...I'm a slightly winning player at 6max cash with 2K in profits, 22% overall ROI in SNG's which include all of em -- 6max stt's, don's, 180s...I played nl live as well and made 27 bucks an hour at 1/2, but i discovered limit poker and started to like it coz you can play longer hours, not as grueling and in vegas i made a pretty steady $21/hour at 8/16
I'm not braggin or anything I'm just saying I know what I'm doin and I know my odds and equity in the pots I play...
So after banging the MTT circuit in June for 3500 bucks, I decided to try limit poker on stars, beginning with 3/6, a level which I should be able to beat.
Well, I had a terrible time obv, losing about 4K overall in less than 3 weeks...I had to drop all the way down to the micro's coz that was the only game I could beat, I got slaughtered bad and I don't think it had to do with my play, tho I did play horribad in some spots, I don't think I played nearly poorly enough to lose
In fact I have never been able to beat any level but micros at Poker Stars and i think it has little to do with my skill and the reason I say this is because after 60K hands I can say that I never, NOT ONCE, hit a combination draw, and there were a few hundred hands where I actually had that hand in raised and re-raised pots...I never realized my full equity the entire time I played over the 60K hands
When I say combination draws, I am talking about situations where I was anywhere between 45 and 70% to win the hand, and the only ones I won where the ones villains folded
When I say never I mean it in the sense that I can't recall any in my mind, I am sure I did hit one or maybe two but I can guarantee it's less than a handful after 60K hands
Today was the last straw, I simply believe my equity is lost for good into the RNG and I feel like it's sucking odds out from under me
Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 Limit Hold'em - 5 players
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2+2 Hand Converter
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Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is CO with 4
5
1 fold,
Hero raises,
BTN 3-bets, SB calls,
1 fold, Hero calls
Flop: (10 SB) 6
2
7
(3 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets,
BTN raises, SB calls, Hero calls
Turn: (8 BB) 2
(3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks,
BTN bets, SB calls, Hero calls
River: (11 BB) T
(3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks,
BTN bets, SB calls, Hero folds
In fact I stopped trying to use my FE...in this hand here I would definitely try and get 4 bets in on the flop...but all that does is cost me the chase equity, because it was clear that these hands wouldn't get there....the way I played this hand above means I'd have to go away from good poker...
I really believe that the only reason I win in Mtt's SNG's and cash is coz i can control the odds so much that the rng can't get me but in limit that's impossible
60K hands and full analysis coming...