Quote:
Originally Posted by Pyromantha
Maybe I'm missing something, why did you expect 17.4%?
Chance of your two cards + 5 board cards making no pair should be:
1 * 48/51 * 45/50 * 42/49 * 39/48 * 36/47 * 33/46 = 32.4%
This is assuming you play every hand to the river irrespective of the board etc, so you would expect to see rather less 'no pair' hands than this, but I have no idea where 17.4% comes from.
I took the OP to mean that he failed to pair his non-pair hole cards by the river "31 freakin percent" of the time, while he expected this to happen only 17.4% of the time.
And that makes even less sense, since it should actually happen
44/50 * 43/49 * 42/48 * 41/47 * 40/46 = 51.3% of the time,
which means he's running so hot that we'd have to consider whether the site was actually rigged in his favor.
TBH, I can't figure out what he was trying to say.