Quote:
Originally Posted by a dewd
If you take 100% of the criminals in the world, what percent do you think conspired to run an illegal operation? Most criminals are non violent thieves or people that exploit societal loopholes. Very very small percent of the bad people created full blown shadow operations. We are not talking about an overly bright group here.
Those percentages will transfer over to poker. The grimy people are out to cheat the system for the moat part. The rules are laid out so they find leaks in it to exploit. Screen sharing, bot play, chip dumping late in MTTs, etc...
You have some good points/arguments here, but you, just like the opposite side, exhibit strong bias toward what you want to believe, or what you want other people to believe. So far so good.
You want us to believe that the rig is too sophisticated and too risky to be implemented. Well, not too sophisticated as I explained, not easy to catch, math matters indeed, but it requires looking into something else, something that neither the sites make easy to extract, nor the existing and widely available softwares can easily extract; as you keep saying, and I fully agree, the programmers are smart people. Regarding the risk; well, there is a risk in commiting any crime, and the risk is to be caught and punished. Smart people commit sophisticated crimes, they weigh the pros and contras very well, and often get away with the crime or get caught only after many years.
Quote:
Originally Posted by a dewd
The operators that are bad people, just steal money. They already have your money. They only need to just not give it back.
In your universe, this seems to be the only possible crime. Well, because it has already happened, and it is well known, it is difficult to not admit it could happen again. Does this imply the non-existence of any other possible crime? Which has not been detected as of yet? I think not.
Quote:
Originally Posted by a dewd
To create some rig in software, you need skilled people. You then need them to be so afraid of going public one day, when they see their efforts made someone many millions and they got 20K out of it, that the hold the dark secrets forever. That doesn't happen and the only conclusion you can draw is all software people are stupid and just do as told.
Skilled people - yes, no argument about it. You mention math here often. Let us do some Venn diagram then. We have the set of skilled programmers/bosses A and the set of criminal minds B. It is possible that the two sets have an intersection, is not it. Who does reside in the intersection? Exactly the type of people I am talking about. No one has come forward and admitted to crimes, well, that is not difficult to understand, is it? Is not the safest choice to just wait to be caught (with a comparatively good probability that you will not be), rather than helping the authorities to put you in place? Madoff and the Enron guys, they did not go to FBI and admitted that they are skillful crooks, they were caught first, right? So expecting skillful programmers to admit to a rig is like a very low probability event, something like me losing a thousands times in a row a sequence of 10 coin flips online... Bosses, those who actually profited the most, coming forward, that is even lower probability event.
Quote:
Originally Posted by a dewd
Our very own ConspiracyTheoryJuice falls into the dolt category, but he has his degree from Short Bus Academy. Most programmers are capable of thought and they will realize that it is their efforts that made some business people rich and cheated tens of thousands. There are whistleblower programs. It's how Madoff got caught, Enron, etc.... The snitch gets paid to snitch, yet another concept dopey ConspiracyTheoryJuice cannot grasp.
The sets of programmers and business people (bosses) also have intersection; and let us not forget how it all started initially; often the bosses and the programmers were the same person. Take Party Poker - the initial owners were Ruth Parasol, she has various education, including business and law degrees, but also extensive computer knowledge; she ran real estate management business but also online pornography and phone sex lines before she launched Starluck Casino Online in 1998. The next year the software engineer Anurag Dikshit became a partner and that is how PartyGaming was born. In 2008, Anurag Dikshit pleaded guilty to violation of the Federal Wire Act, agreed to cooperate with prosecutors, and personally paid $300 million to the United States Department of Justice as part of his plea. Also involved with PartyGaming was Vikrant Bhargava, who has degrees in management and electrical engineering, a billionaire who now has a private investment company, Veddis Ventures, registered in, you guessed it, the great country of Gibraltar. For those of you who do not know where most of the online poker come from, Gibraltar spreads over 5.6 square kilometers. Imagine the great resources in exercising control over online gaming, investing, etc this country has. Overall, nothing shady implied. Malta and the Isle of Man are a kind of similar jurisdictions. Another person involved in PartyGaming was Russ de Leon, the former husband of Ruth Parasol, also a billionaire, and founder of Evolve software, a bit of criminal mind himself, here is a couple of quotes from
https://www.pokernews.com/news/2014/...vron-17788.htm
Russ DeLeon, best known as an online poker magnate after becoming a major PartyGaming stockholder after the company's 2005 IPO, is being sued by the Chevron Corp. after financing a controversial and long-running environmental lawsuit that allegedly used fraudulent and racketeering means to obtain a $19 billion judgment in an Ecuadorian court.
On March 4, U.S. District Judge Lewis Kaplan of New York called the lawsuit a massive fraud against the company in which the plaintiffs violated the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act.
Gee, it is easy to trust guys like that to provide fair online experience, is not it... Anyone with "clean" bio involved in PartyGaming? Please enlighten me.
Chris (Jesus) Ferguson might ring a bell as one of the founders of Full Tilt. He has a Ph. D. in Computer Science (focusing on virtual network algorithms); it is difficult to imagine that he was not involved in creating the FT software.
From the Wikipedia page on Chris Ferguson:
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On September 20, 2011, the U.S. Justice Department filed a motion to amend a civil complaint, complaining that Ferguson and three other directors of the poker website Full Tilt Poker were running a Ponzi scheme that paid out $444 million of customer money to themselves and the firm's owners.
The amended complaint alleged that Chris Ferguson, Howard Lederer, and Rafe Furst "lined their own pockets with funds picked from the pockets of their most loyal customers while blithely lying to both players and the public alike about the safety and security of the money deposited."
Quote:
Originally Posted by a dewd
There is zero chance this would stay quiet. There is zero chance the math of the output would not catch it. The criminal mind is not some elaborate intricate web.
Well, it seems the criminal mind can network pretty well, and it seems that things remain pretty quiet only until they are not quiet anymore.
Quote:
Originally Posted by a dewd
Option A, get people to freely send is their money and keep 100% of it or option B, let's spend a ridiculous amount of energy, time, and money creating a subtle rig where we go increase our bottom line 4% with 100% chance of getting caught in the future.
OK, your bottom line increase will be way more than 4%, while the chance of getting caught, well, I would sadly admit could be less than 100%. Regarding the bottom line: imagine what I see at the tables. I play with a bunch of shills every night, accounts that entirely contribute to the bottom line. I am a huge depositor, and so are few others; perhaps some occasional depositors also marked as marks, and that is all; all of the non-mark accounts are collecting accounts, directly contributing to the bottom line - definitely way more than 4%; unless you have some research that supports your claim, that is. I guess that would not be open to the public, so no link/quote can be expected...
Last edited by dacy; 05-25-2020 at 06:57 PM.