Quote:
Originally Posted by AlmostShark
Filter for sngs please. Shouldn't take a genius to realize that having sngs where you can only win 8 starting stacks per game (assuming you talk 9-man sngs) and a mtt where you can win hundreds of starting stacks in a single hand don't belong in the same graph for chip equity. You have seen how much your freeroll bink screwed up the y-axis, haven't you? And still did not get the idea to filter it out (and the other mtts also of course, it's easy)?
Also, 4.78x is not the way you measure it, because this alone basically gives no information. If you have 1000 chips starting stacks, and are expected to win 4780 chips after 500 games, but really only win 1000, then that says nothing. Because this difference is explainable by one single bad beat hand, thus isn't "immensly high". Shouldn't also take a genius to figure that one out.
500 sngs isn't much of a sample at all (even world class players happen to have 1000+ game downswings caused by variance alone), but if you were expecting to win 478k chips and only won 100k or something remotely similar, then I'd say it's worth to look closer at your data. I honestly can't tell anything, because you weren't smart enough to filter your data as explained above.
Also, your tracker has the ability to graph "expected $ won" compared to "$ won", and that is the only somewhat accurate way to judge if you did run bad over a sample or not. You can lose all your chips and win money in the same sng, that means you run worse than expected concerning chips, and still better than expected concerning money in said sng. That's why chip ev is indeed meaningless.
Just assume you come in second for every 9 man sng you play. Your roi is a whopping 180% or something, while running horrible in chip ev.
You surely realized by now that an average IQ absolutely should suffice to understand all that by simply thinking through the question "How can I post a meaningful graph?", but oh well.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlmostShark
1- This are SNG's not MTT. This only has like 4 MTT's here
And, as explained, it's dumb to have both in the same graph.
2- I've been playing $0.35, not moving up with $50 roll even with all the badbeats.
A little over the top, but better your bankroll is too big than too small. Sngs have immense, frequently underestimated variance.
3- Is it that hard to accept PROOF that you guys were asking for that this is unlikely ? Pls stop giving excuses and admit this is weird. What is proof for you anyway ?
Proof would be something like running with a 5 SD deviation from the mean over a meaningful sample, and that's not what we guys demand, it is what mathematically educated people worldwide would demand. Wiki helps, if you want to check or understand (You'd be the first riggie looking it up, so I don't hold my breath on that one).
4- Thanks for trying to help
YW
Last edited by franxic; 03-12-2014 at 05:40 PM.