Quote:
Originally Posted by truthsbehind
But 11% means it is more unlikely than likely. 11% is not 89%. And why Pokerstars chose me to run that bad. Why i must be that unlucky. I am just a player like aynone else but who knows maybe Pokerstars has a ranking system where they decide who is allowed to win and who not. But lets say it was just bad luck in past but why then it keeps like that. It just doesnt look normal.
You continue to be suprised by something with an 11% likelihood happening to you. That's insane. Why didn't you answer my questions about how you react to similar and less likely things happening?
Oh, and by the way, neither Poker Stars nor anyone else specifically chose you to be part of the 11%. It's not personal. Why you'd take it personally, I do not know.
You know what would be a dead solid piece of evidence of rigging? If no one ever ran below EV for 5 to 6 sessions out of 6. That would be case closed right there.
Do you realize that in any hand the results are above EV for one or more players and below EV for one or more players and they EXACTLY even out?
Try to take a deep breath and step back and realize this thread has a self-selection bias.
Only players who run more poorly than they believe they should post here. Try to find all the posts in this thread of people saying that they run way too hot over large sample sizes, therefore it must be rigged. But, as I just said, any time someone is under EV someone else is over EV by
exactly the same amount. So where are these people who believe the game is rigged because they run too well? There's an 11% of people after each 6 sessions that were
above EV for 5 or 6 of those sessions after all.
Face it, you are only here
because you were unlucky. If you ran much closer than you did to expectations then someone else would have run worse and then
they'd be the one fussing in here. But as long as the deal is fair,
someone has to be a part of that 11%. This time it was you. But it was never personal, and it was inevitably someone.
Consider this for a second. Let's say that if you added up the player totals from all online cardrooms each day it was a million players. I don't know the actual number, but it doesn't quite matter, the point is the same. Then in that case, on average, something that is a million to one shot happens to a player EVERY DAY. Surely they have a better case for a rigging. They can truthfully say, look, this is a million to one against, AND IT HAPPENED TO ME! And then the next day someone else could post that something that was a million to one shot happened to them. And then the same the next day, and the next, and the next forever. Wow, that looks like strong evidence that the games are rigged. But the truth is that's what a
fair deal looks like if everyone posts their unusual experiences.
And you want to complain that something that only happens 11% of the time happened to you. Shoot, we have that many daily posters IN THIS THREAD. It would be odd if something that frequent DIDN'T occur to one of THIS THREAD'S daily posters EVERY DAY!
Last edited by AaronT; 04-02-2012 at 08:50 PM.
Reason: Some of this assumes that there is only one event per player per day. The argument is even stronger when this is corrected.