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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,508 34.88%
No
5,615 55.84%
Undecided
933 9.28%

11-28-2011 , 09:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
live poker full of crooks and liars therefore it is rigged. if you disagree, you're a ******!

http://www.cnn.com/2011/11/28/showbi...html?hpt=hp_t2
Correct, and what do you think happens when they decide to start an on line poker site, king ******?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blatantlyrigged
And what time period are we talking? It might go on for some time, but eventually a complete reversal WILL happen. Lets see one of these graphs.
You asked.
Now, you need to be a member of PTR to see these. (It's free to join).
Top 3 all-time winners at 2NL:
1. Blackrain79. 3.1 million hands. http://www.pokertableratings.com/sta...ch/BlackRain79
2. Farttalk45. 2.3 million hands. http://www.pokertableratings.com/sta...rch/farttalk45
3. OZN2007terra. 3 million hands. http://www.pokertableratings.com/sta...h/OZN2007terra

3 million hands, 2 years, graphs going upwards constantly. When does the doomswitch kick in?

Now you link me to someone who's played 2 million hands of one stake level over 2 years and hit a brick wall at some point and gone on a "doomswitch" downswing.
It's your big chance to prove your theory. You could destroy OLP by showing this evidence.

The world is waiting for you...
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Correct, and what do you think happens when they decide to start an on line poker site, king ******?
perhaps the kind of thing that is described in this article? and not some mysterious, impossible rig that evades all analysis yet is "obvious" to a bunch of lunatics online who cant agree on what the rig actually is.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtySmokes
You asked.
Now, you need to be a member of PTR to see these. (It's free to join).
Top 3 all-time winners at 2NL:
1. Blackrain79. 3.1 million hands. http://www.pokertableratings.com/sta...ch/BlackRain79
2. Farttalk45. 2.3 million hands. http://www.pokertableratings.com/sta...rch/farttalk45
3. OZN2007terra. 3 million hands. http://www.pokertableratings.com/sta...h/OZN2007terra

3 million hands, 2 years, graphs going upwards constantly. When does the boomswitch kick in?

Now you link me to someone who's played 2 million hands of one stake level over 2 years and hit a brick wall at some point and gone on a "doomswitch" downswing.
It's your big chance to prove your theory. You could destroy OLP by showing this evidence.

The world is waiting for you...
2 years!!!! Big deal. I said it could go on for a while, Im talking about more then 2 years.
Like I said, get back to me in a few years. By then you will have been busted.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
perhaps the kind of thing that is described in this article? and not some mysterious, impossible rig that evades all analysis yet is "obvious" to a bunch of lunatics online who cant agree on what the rig actually is.
Complete fail, shill. I know how and why its rigged.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
perhaps the kind of thing that is described in this article? and not some mysterious, impossible rig that evades all analysis yet is "obvious" to a bunch of lunatics online who cant agree on what the rig actually is.
Go back to trolling the religion threads to prove how smart you are...no one is buying your bull**** here.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Why can't I assume that the cheating ****s are cheating me with the rake too....somewhere doesn't someone in the accounting ask why a 5% owner is withdrawing 40 million dollars.
Where are you going to draw the line in what you will start off by assuming they are doing? Any possible way to cheat is automatically assumed? Is there any other situation where you would make the same assumption? If someone is found to be cheating in one part, you assume that every part is cheating?

Of course not. You don't trust them, you should be wary. You should be on the lookout. You should do your due dilligence. But we don't just assume that everything is wrong.


[/quote]
I don't know what financial statements you are referring to. The charter of the AGC says they have the right to examine all records, software and data of their licensees on demand. I presume this power was broad enough to identify outright theft from the players, won't you agree?[/QUOTE]

Huh? outright theft is not rigging. I thought you were saying that you could figure out rigging from rake structure and profits taken in. Now I have no idea what you're saying.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 09:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blatantlyrigged
2 years!!!! Big deal. I said it could go on for a while, Im talking about more then 2 years.
Like I said, get back to me in a few years. By then you will have been busted.
So I'm safe to play for another two years and 3 million hands before I'm gonna get doomswitched?
Cool. I'd been under the the impression that poker was rigged and it was impossible to make money playing it.
I'm glad you've admitted that the rigging isn't as obvious as you made out.

You know that 3 million hands is a helluva lot, by the way, don't you? I mean, a couple of million hands more than Doyle Brunson has played in his life. Daniel Negreanu says he's only played 300,000.
I think I'm safe to say that if it takes more than 3 million hands before the rigging starts, and I only play about 2000 a week, I'm never gonna get affected by it. This is GREAT NEWS!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 10:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by otatop
I don't know the exact numbers (I haven't done stats in about 8 years), but I think 5% is too high a number. spadebidder's bet for a rigging system that would increase rake was a 5% rig, and I recall him saying it'd be far too obvious.
ok Thanks for answering ( By all means Im not picking on you....You just was the lucky 1 who answered) Next question....Ok lets say the number is 3% to catch a rigged site...Now my math maybe crazy but thats 30,000 hands per 1 million...Now Ill get to my theory & I have said it before! These hands are all pre written there is no RNG its all written & if a site was to rig.... it would easy to do so .....Just throw in a set up hand every 33 hands & it will be undetected......I know Im gonna get hated on...But think about it ......How easy this would be with a program nerd to do so
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-28-2011 , 10:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blatantlyrigged
Complete fail, shill. I know how and why its rigged.
oh, this is news!

please, give us the rigging algorithm that evades statistical analysis over billions of hands.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Go back to trolling the religion threads to prove how smart you are...no one is buying your bull**** here.
wtf
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 02:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
Where are you going to draw the line in what you will start off by assuming they are doing? Any possible way to cheat is automatically assumed? Is there any other situation where you would make the same assumption? If someone is found to be cheating in one part, you assume that every part is cheating?
Assumption No. 1: Those who have a criminal record for cheating (or stealing), have cheated before and will cheat again.

Assumption No. 2: Those who cheat or steal from you one way will cheat or steal from you another way.

For example, Bernard Tapie will never see a dime of money if he buys FT poker. He was convicted of fixing soccer games in the past, do I think that means he would rig FT to benefit the house? Abso****inglutely.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
But we don't just assume that everything is wrong.
If you want to give them the benefit of the doubt on everything, that is your perogative. If it involves my money, they get no favorable assumption from me.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
Huh? outright theft is not rigging. I thought you were saying that you could figure out rigging from rake structure and profits taken in. Now I have no idea what you're saying.
I consider financial statements of the company to be a specific item, generally reported to the public, IRS or the accountants. Deducing a rig from a financial statement would be virtually impossible.

If you mean having the money earned by the company factored into the equation, yes that is what I meant.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 02:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
yet another classic tactic used by religious bullies: if you don't subscribe to my worldview, you are living a life of hate and fear! cmon, man

look, i'm an atheist. .
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
they've also pretty much admitted that no amount of evidence could ever convince them otherwise, so this thread is a huge exercise in futility.

you pretty much have a better chance of deconverting your average creationist than you do the average rigtard.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
even i granted you all this rubbish, the abrahamic god as described in the bible does not follow.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
its the same kind of "truth" which creationists and 9/11 "truthers" cling to - the kind that only crazy people try to pass off as fact.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaLowball
i comment in this thread because one of my biggest pet peeves in life is people who subscribe to bad arguments with no evidence to back it up. i get sucked into these kinds of debates - whether it be with 9/11 "truthers", creationists, or now rigtards - all the time.

so really, when i see comments like "if this thread and our comments meant nothing, you wouldnt waste your time commenting", all i can do is laugh. its the same kind of pathetic little defense mechanism that creationists and truthers use to avoid providing good arguments.
Now do you understand?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 03:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtySmokes
I did get back to you (via PM). I was extremely patient with you. I looked into my database to find every single time that I'd won with TPTK vs. TPWK. If I remember correctly, it had only happened twice in about 25,000 hands. I remarked about the sample size being too small to have any statistical meaning.
As you write above, the situation is "seemingly standard". This is confirmation bias. It seems standard, but doesn't actually happen very often.
In case you hadn't noticed in the last few years, online poker players have become a bit better than they were a decade ago. There aren't as many calling stations. Winning players try and avoid playing dominated hands. They don't don't often call three streets with TPWK, as much as you want them to.

In the past you might have been able to win money by value-towning people with TPTK. In my database, TPTK doesn't even break even at showdown. It loses money. I've been overvaluing single-pair hands. It's a leak in my game. I'm trying to fix it. You're not fixing a leak. You're complaining that either calling stations aren't paying you off, or that the game is somehow rigged against you when you have top pair.
Get a grip.
No, I replied to your PM saying look at all hands that weren't all in but went to showdown when you were the PFR in a regular raised pot.

How often do you get value against your opponent's TPWK or MP hand?

These hands are far more frequent at 888 and this is why you've won more there.

If I'm in position against a mega fish, he will check call down with any top pair hand, regardless of his kicker. Completely standard if you can table select.

Just open HEM and go through the filters again, this time with any hand value for you, and look at the hands that get to showdown in comparison to PS.

PS, I don't lose money with TPTK, it's a very profitable hand for me cos I've worked on being able to get away from it. You keep coming back to this I'm crying cos it's rigged argument, and it's nonsense. Just because I think it's rigged doesn't mean I don't adjust to win. Experienced players, whether they think it's rigged or not are adjusting- they are adjusting sub consciously to the patterns they see every time they play- it's called experience.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 03:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TPTK27
No, I replied to your PM saying look at all hands that weren't all in but went to showdown when you were the PFR in a regular raised pot.

How often do you get value against your opponent's TPWK or MP hand?

These hands are far more frequent at 888 and this is why you've won more there.

If I'm in position against a mega fish, he will check call down with any top pair hand, regardless of his kicker. Completely standard if you can table select.

Just open HEM and go through the filters again, this time with any hand value for you, and look at the hands that get to showdown in comparison to PS.

PS, I don't lose money with TPTK, it's a very profitable hand for me cos I've worked on being able to get away from it. You keep coming back to this I'm crying cos it's rigged argument, and it's nonsense. Just because I think it's rigged doesn't mean I don't adjust to win. Experienced players, whether they think it's rigged or not are adjusting- they are adjusting sub consciously to the patterns they see every time they play- it's called experience.
All this proves, assuming you have a decent sample size, and aren't making anything up, is that some sites are fishier than others.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 03:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SCS
All this proves, assuming you have a decent sample size, and aren't making anything up, is that some sites are fishier than others.
I have a gallon of wine and a gallon of water.

I take a teaspoonful from the wine and add it to the water, and mix.

I then take a teaspoonful of the resultant mixture and add it back to the wine.

Of the two mixtures, is there more wine in the water than there is water in the wine? Or is the opposite true?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 04:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blatantlyrigged
Looks like I just wasted my time with my last post to you. How would you know about the play of a decade ago?
ya pm he wants your ip address. Another shill tactic. probably his bossess idea

Last edited by hellojello; 11-29-2011 at 04:14 AM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 04:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blatantlyrigged
This sounds very realistic, and right in line with how the events unfold. Of course you dont win immediatly as a new player, never said that. Cant win when you dont have a clue of how to play. But once you start to learn and play smart, the software kicks in and gives you a huge advantage to get you hooked. (Your tracked by your IP address.)
Eventually, depending on profits accumulated,etc., those winning hands start to drop off considerably. Sooner or later your profits will be gone along with your initial deposit. But believe me, you WILL redeposit. That is why its rigged the way it is, that redeposit is KEY.
You wont believe this now of course, but, if youre really not an affiliate/promoter, etc., you will.
Try emailing sarcastically to the site. Cash out over 2k and send a tyvm email. I can show you pattern that will change the most shilled believers head around about certain things. I also realize there is little to no point in doing so so I'll let events like Black Friday run its course because once yo taste the pudding you can't keep your dirty hands of the pie.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 04:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtySmokes
Right....
So if link you to some players who have graphs covering more than one million hands and the graph goes constantly upwards, then... what?
The simple fact is... players that play more hands usually do so because they are good players. Their profits don't suddenly stop at a pre-determined point. The best players' graphs go UPWARDS.
Your graph didn't go upwards, because you're not a great player. Is that really hard to understand?

Here's your big chance to prove your theory. Find me ONE player who played a million hands of profitable poker and then suddenly stopped making money at his usual stake level.

You can't find a single one, because there isn't a single player this has happened to.
You are telling OBVIOUS lies. Again.
I can show you a player who played almost 10000 games than suddenly overnight became a sensation * cough cough Dario Mineri* cough
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 05:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hellojello
ya pm he wants your ip address. Another shill tactic. probably his bossess idea
Why would he want his I.P address?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 05:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtySmokes
So I'm safe to play for another two years and 3 million hands before I'm gonna get doomswitched?
Cool. I'd been under the the impression that poker was rigged and it was impossible to make money playing it.
I'm glad you've admitted that the rigging isn't as obvious as you made out.

You know that 3 million hands is a helluva lot, by the way, don't you? I mean, a couple of million hands more than Doyle Brunson has played in his life. Daniel Negreanu says he's only played 300,000.
I think I'm safe to say that if it takes more than 3 million hands before the rigging starts, and I only play about 2000 a week, I'm never gonna get affected by it. This is GREAT NEWS!
Didnt say anything about 3 million hands. I said give it some time, a few years, then get back to me.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 05:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by joker15801
ok Thanks for answering ( By all means Im not picking on you....You just was the lucky 1 who answered) Next question....Ok lets say the number is 3% to catch a rigged site...Now my math maybe crazy but thats 30,000 hands per 1 million...
No, that isn't what he meant. He was saying the game would be rigged to increase rake by 5%. He was referring to an old discussion where that was kind of a minimum threshold to make it worth doing, and whether such a thing was even possible without it being grossly obvious to hand history analysis. Or even possible at all for that matter, as nobody has ever proposed a decent theory of how rigging the deal might add just 5% to the rake.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 06:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blatantlyrigged
2 years!!!! Big deal. I said it could go on for a while, Im talking about more then 2 years.
Like I said, get back to me in a few years. By then you will have been busted.
Again you avoid to provide any evidence, so in a few years you will ask for another few years of time? Time to nut up or shut up Sir.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 07:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Assumption No. 1: Those who have a criminal record for cheating (or stealing), have cheated before and will cheat again.

Assumption No. 2: Those who cheat or steal from you one way will cheat or steal from you another way.

For example, Bernard Tapie will never see a dime of money if he buys FT poker. He was convicted of fixing soccer games in the past, do I think that means he would rig FT to benefit the house? Abso****inglutely.
The best you can do with your assumptions is conclude that a heightened level of distrust is in order, which I acknowledged. You still can't logically go from that to "they have committed every crime on the books".

I'm not saying you should trust the sites. And you may be justified in saying: don't trust them on anything til they show they are legit. But that's different from starting from the assumption that they rigged the deal.

Quote:
If you want to give them the benefit of the doubt on everything, that is your perogative. If it involves my money, they get no favorable assumption from me.
You see, that's a more reasonable assumption. Don't give them the benefit of the doubt that they have a legit operation. But that said, you still need to look at each factor individually to conclude that any specific scheme is going on.



Quote:
I consider financial statements of the company to be a specific item, generally reported to the public, IRS or the accountants. Deducing a rig from a financial statement would be virtually impossible.

If you mean having the money earned by the company factored into the equation, yes that is what I meant.
I really don't know what you mean: how do company revenues in the slightest help you figure out if its rigged or not?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 08:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Now do you understand?
so basically, because i participate in other threads, i cannot participate in this one? why not? because it dispels the narrative that i'm some kind of shill?

f*ck you, i'll post in whichever thread i wish.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
11-29-2011 , 01:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
You still can't logically go from that to "they have committed every crime on the books".
I can very logically conclude that cheaters cheat and thieves steal. Maybe you can't see any logical correlation between rigging the outcome of a sporting event and rigging a game in which you control all the data, but I can.

As for your "every crime on the books" theory...perhaps you are stretching your logical inferences, have an over active imagination or have poor reading comprehension skills.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
I really don't know what you mean: how do company revenues in the slightest help you figure out if its rigged or not?
It doesn't. But assuming a financial motive to rig, there must be financial "footprint" caused by the rig.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote

      
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