Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
Not really, usually we start off suspecting a crime because we notice something suspicious. We don't go around looking for people to be suspicious of even though we have no other reason to supect something is up.
I shouldn't have called it step 2 since its really step 1. We generally only look to motive once we have a real suspicion of a crime.
Cliff notes - don't bother debating anyone who says "all poker rooms are rigged!" as that is like debating a 9/11 fanatic or a religious nut on the street. Waste of time as debates go, just let them believe what they need to believe.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
Sure, but most riggies don't make that claim. BR is not representative there. And you don't see any other riggie backing up BR. They all think he's a tool and/or gimmick. Most focus on the site they are playing at.
No idea who backs up "BR" and I have no idea what that guy says. He is not a gimmick, just a failed bonus whore who is a zealot now, and his beliefs are what sustain him.
Ask any of the other riggies if they think it is only a certain site, and I bet most will not claim they think a specific one is but the rest or most are not. Most will veer toward the businesses are greedy angle.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arouet
meh, sometimes it does, sometimes it doesn't. Most of the real riggies have left the thread now anyway.
That's because they have, or when they appear they get drowned out by the spammers (on both sides), so it is ironic that "BR" pretty much stifles the guys who would potentially support him.
I am heading out, so let me toss a long winded reply to the potential riggie leader. If you want to debate him further after feel free to carry on with it! I will try to use some phase 2 points!
Have fun
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
I agree with you that method is as important as motive and opportunity. And it is the leg of the triad that is the hardest to prove. Evaluating one's own HH's doesn't provide conclusive results to allow one to claim it is proof of rigging. One needs access to the entities data, software and financials to prove its methods.
People have discovered soft playing, super users and other forms of cheating doing hand history analysis. AS well, one can use very powerful tools with sharkscope and PTR to analyze play, and players do that all the time. Look at the recent ipoker bot thread for an example of the detailed work done to determine which players were bots.
The fact you cannot do this type of work does not invalidate the power of others able to do it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
As I have no ability to access this information, but the easiest way of proving cheating is to "follow the money". The Feds are doing just that and what are we finding out: funds aren't segregated, deposits not received, 10 million dollar loans to the site's owners... Noah's recent article was based on information received directly from FT, not evaluating someone's hand histories.
This is a different topic than whether Full Tilt rigs its $1 MTTs. I would completely agree they ran a shoddy operation, and no doubt more and more details will come out (secrets are hard to keep) that will shed light on that.
Interesting that riggies will believe the "secret rig" will be maintained even as other secrets get revealed (as they always do when investigated). Oh yeah, the programmers sign a non-disclose thing or something...
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Each time I have poised a rig, I have asked for methods of detecting without receiving any responses other than "wouldn't Spade's analysis show this" red herring bull****. Then the Wikis of the shilltard world want to argue its a "bad business practice" not "stealing" and Monty starts his constant proclamations of "no-secrets" rendering any debate worthless. These two may enjoy arguing about freeroll rigs but I find it pointless.
The moment you invent a rig that makes sense in terms of financial gain, zero risk of being caught, and somehow nobody ever revealing it then I will be the first to jump on and help it along.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
A long time ago, I asked the shills to provide a method of rigging that be profitable to the company and the silence was deafening.
I posted my "non-action hand" theory several times. Riggies do not like it because all it does is make money (albeit not enough to be worthwhile) without targeting them, so they cannot complain about doomswitches of any kind with my theory.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
I guess I would rather be accused of having a criminal mind by a virgin spineless internet nerd than turn a blind eye to the possibility that I have been cheated.
No idea what the criminal mind thing is about, frankly I don't think you have a particularly adept criminal mind. You can worry about being cheated, but eventually if you believe everyone is out to get you then you are paralyzed by that paranoia.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
These companies have engaged in business practices that would not be tolerated in any regulated industry in the U.S.;
The most naive beliefs of some riggies is that US legislation will in any way shape or form cause any riggie from stopping to believe it is rigged. They will simply believe the US is in on it. US government is the biggest source of conspiracies around, so adding another is not a big deal.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
The internet certainly offers a gambling operation a method of securing acceptable profit margins operating a fair game by simply stacking the odds in their own favor using the rules of the game.
They actually do this by charging a rake. Pokerstars wins every cash hand a little (when a flop is seen), and they win 10% of the prize pool in every tournament roughly.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
It also offers the ability to secure additional profits by operating an unfair game, copying the methods used historically to cheat at gambling, with less opportunity for the players to identify such methods.
Paranoia without definition is paranoia. Conspiracies can be a fun hobby for some.
All the best.
Last edited by Monteroy; 08-02-2011 at 12:59 PM.