Quote:
Originally Posted by ferdinand
The problem is the pattern of good runs after depositing and this **** happening day in day out against new depositers after that good run ... I also have hands like these going my way, make no mistake. The problem is why on earth am I always ahead (first week) or always behind (several days in a row till I cash out and move sites)? I have ZERO downswings on online poker sites after depositing in and thats where I built my bankroll. The minute I smell Im getting cheated by sites I leave and keep profiting elsewhere ( I once decided to stay firm and play through the downswing, going progressively down in limits as I saw my bankroll vanishing. Lost almost half the roll beeing overly rolled for the stakes I was playing). On Bodog for instance, on the first 2 weeks playing there I made quads roughly every 1k hands for 10k hands in a row, made a royal and saw other two on the table !! I mean COME ON !!!
This is not a pokerstars specific issue. I see this at pokerstars, full tilt, betfair, titan poker and bodog. Same pattern over and over again ...
The red arrows are switching sites points (Have no HH from Bodog...). This is my graph to date (doesnt include bonus or rakeback):
http://img510.imageshack.us/i/graphred.jpg/
So
prove it. Buy HH's for the site where you think this riggedness is happening, buy the first 10k hand histories for say 1000 people from a tracking site, combine them and do the math on AIPF hands with confidence intervals, SD and all that crap, the same style as spadebidder. Pay someone to do it if you don't know how yourself. Should cost you only a few hundred $ but first make this specific request, some tracking sites will oblige I'm sure.
If after that, the numbers differ significantly from the expected outcome, you will have proven your theory mathematically and become a hero, make lots of $$$.
Or if you're on a low budget, just make an account for a tracking site and look at the win-rates for a big number of players on their first say 10k hands (or whatever number you think the run-good stops at)
Or the way of the monteroy, just keep making new accounts where this is happening and run good all your life, make lots of $$$. I mean this last one would cost you nothing and would make you tons, what's stopping you?
Also, +1 to posting that hand + your theory in BBV